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Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋

Current TC Map 即時氣旋資訊Current TC information

Tropical Cyclone Report 熱帶氣旋報告 [Our partner site's TC report 按此看友站的氣旋報告]

Justification for re-issuance: changed #8 of MITAG and #9 of HAGIBIS to final status.
修正發佈原因 : 更改米娜 #8 及海貝思 #9 至最後發佈

1. 24W (MITAG 米娜)

Name of System 系統名稱 STS MITAG 強烈熱帶風暴 米娜

Bulletin Number 發佈編號 #8C FINAL BULLETIN 最後發佈
Time of Report 報告時間 2007/11/27, 17:30 HKT (09:30 UTC)
Time of Observation 觀測時間 2007/11/27, 14 HKT (06 UTC)
Position 位置 20.5 N, 122.8 E
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 50 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 70 knots 節)
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 45 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 65 knots 節)
Pressure 氣壓 992 hPa
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 ESE 東南偏東 at 10 knots 節
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 N/A

Forecast Track 預測路徑圖
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖

MITAG has started to recurve last night. At 14 HKT, MITAG was centred about 680 km (370 NM) NNE of Manila.

米娜於昨晚開始轉向偏東方向移動。在 14 HKT,米娜集結在馬尼拉之東北偏北約 680 公里 (370 海里)。

Movement Analysis 路徑分析

MITAG will travel E to ENE in the remainder of the forecast period along the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge..

預料米娜將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東至東北偏東方向移動

Intensity Analysis 強度分析

Current T-number: T3.0/4.0/W1.0/24 HRS
Due to the combined effect of increased vertical wind shear and substantially lower sea surface temperatures, MITAG should weaken gradually and will eventually transit into an extratropical cyclone.

現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/4.0/W1.0/24 HRS
受到高垂直風切變及較冷海水的影響米娜將逐漸減弱並轉化為溫帶氣旋。

Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

米娜於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響

Next Update 下次更新

This is the final bulletin on MITAG.

這是本站對米娜的最後一次發佈

Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Not Applicable 不適用



Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告 (請按發佈編號顯示內容)

+24W (MITAG 米娜) Bulletin 發佈 #7 (2007/11/26, 16:00 HKT)

Name of System 系統名稱 TY (CAT. 1) MITAG 一級颱風 米娜

Bulletin Number 發佈編號 #7
Time of Report 報告時間 2007/11/26, 16:00 HKT (08:00 UTC)
Time of Observation 觀測時間 2007/11/26, 14 HKT (06 UTC)
Position 位置 19.0 N, 120.5 E
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 70 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 95 knots 節)
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 65 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 90 knots 節)
Pressure 氣壓 975 hPa
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 NW 西北 at 8 knots 節
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 Luzon Strait 呂宋海峽

Forecast Track 預測路徑圖
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖

MITAG made landfall at Luzon last night and has now emerged from the Philippines. At 14 HKT, MITAG was centred about 490 km (260 NM) N of Manila.

米娜於昨晚登陸呂宋,並在今天進入呂宋海峽。在 14 HKT,米娜集結在馬尼拉之北約 490 公里 (260 海里)。

Movement Analysis 路徑分析

MITAG will recurve to the northeast in the remainder of the forecast period as it passes through the ridge axis of the subtropical ridge..

預料米娜將橫過副熱帶高壓脊脊線,繼而向東北方向移動。

Intensity Analysis 強度分析

Current T-number: T4.0/4.5/W0.5/24 HRS
Due to the combined effect of increased vertical wind shear and substantially lower sea surface temperatures, MITAG should weaken gradually in the next 96 hours and will eventually transit into an extratropical cyclone.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.5/W0.5/24 HRS
受到高垂直風切變及較冷海水的影響米娜將逐漸減弱並於轉向後轉化為溫帶氣旋。

Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

米娜於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響

Next Update 下次更新

19 HKT, 2007/11/27 (or earlier 或更早)

Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Not Applicable 不適用

+24W (MITAG 米娜) Bulletin 發佈 #6 (2007/11/25, 16:00 HKT)

Name of System 系統名稱 TY (CAT. 1) MITAG 一級颱風 米娜

Bulletin Number 發佈編號 #6
Time of Report 報告時間 2007/11/25, 16:00 HKT (08:00 UTC)
Time of Observation 觀測時間 2007/11/25, 14 HKT (06 UTC)
Position 位置 16.4 N, 123.7 E
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 80 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 110 knots 節)
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 70 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 95 knots 節)
Pressure 氣壓 965 hPa
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 NW 西北 at 10 knots 節
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 Northern Philippines 菲律賓北部

Forecast Track 預測路徑圖
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖

MITAG accelerated to the northwest today. At 14 HKT, MITAG was centred about 340 km (190 NM) NE of Manila.

米娜於過去 24 小時加速向西北移動。在 14 HKT,米娜集結在馬尼拉之東北約 340 公里 (190 海里)。

Movement Analysis 路徑分析

MITAG will travel WNW to NW in the next 36 hours along the southwestern periphery of the retreating subtropical ridge. The forecast after t+36 calls for a recurving scenario supported by most numerical models along the western periphery of the ridge.

預料米娜於未來 36 小時將沿副熱帶高壓脊之西南部向西北偏西至西北移動。其後,隨著副熱帶高壓脊的東退,米娜將沿它的西部轉向北至東北移動。

Intensity Analysis 強度分析

Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/S0.0/24 HRS
Due to good ambient environments but reduced heat content as MITAG travelled to a higher latitude, MITAG should be able to maintain strength before making landfall. After that, the combined effect of increased vertical wind shear in the South China Sea and the lack of moisture in the terrain of Luzon will cause MITAG to weaken. After recurvature, MITAG should transit into an extratropical cyclone.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/S0.0/24 HRS
米娜現正處於頗好的大氣環境之中。可是由於米娜的緯度逐漸增加,海水的熱量逐漸減少,預料米娜將在登陸前維持強度。當米娜橫過菲律賓,它將會受水氣的缺乏及高垂直風切變影響而顯著地減弱。米娜將於轉向後轉化為溫帶氣旋。

Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響

Combined with the NE monsoon, strong winds may set in two days later.

受到米娜和東北季候風的共同影響,香港鄰近地區可能會在兩天後吹強風

Next Update 下次更新

19 HKT, 2007/11/26 (or earlier 或更早)

Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Not Applicable 不適用

+24W (MITAG 米娜) Bulletin 發佈 #5 (2007/11/24, 16:00 HKT)

Name of System 系統名稱 TY (CAT. 2) MITAG 二級颱風 米娜

Bulletin Number 發佈編號 #5
Time of Report 報告時間 2007/11/24, 16:00 HKT (08:00 UTC)
Time of Observation 觀測時間 2007/11/24, 14 HKT (06 UTC)
Position 位置 14.6 N, 126.0 E
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 85 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 115 knots 節)
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 75 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 105 knots 節)
Pressure 氣壓 955 hPa
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 NW 西北 at 4 knots 節
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 Northern Philippines 菲律賓北部

Forecast Track 預測路徑圖
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖

MITAG has been moving slowly towards the northwest today. At 14 HKT, MITAG was centred about 530 km (290 NM) E of Manila.

米娜於過去 24 小時向西北緩慢移動。在 14 HKT,米娜集結在馬尼拉之東約 530 公里 (290 海里)。

Movement Analysis 路徑分析

MITAG will travel WNW to NW in the next 48 hours along the southwestern periphery of the retreating subtropical ridge. The forecast for extended period calls for a recurving scenario supported by most numerical models along the western periphery of the ridge.

預料米娜於未來 48 小時將沿副熱帶高壓脊之西南部向西北偏西至西北移動。其後,隨著副熱帶高壓脊的東退,米娜將沿它的西部轉向北至東北移動。

Intensity Analysis 強度分析

Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/S0.0/24 HRS
Due to good ambient environments but reduced heat content as MITAG has remained quasi-stationary for about two days, MITAG should be able to maintain strength before making landfall. After that, the combined effect of increased vertical wind shear in the South China Sea and the lack of moisture in the terrain of Luzon will cause MITAG to weaken. After recurvature, MITAG should transit into an extratropical cyclone.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/S0.0/24 HRS
米娜現正處於良好的大氣環境之中。可是由於米娜已經徘徊了兩天,海水的熱量逐漸減少,預料米娜將在登陸前維持強度。當米娜橫過菲律賓,它將會受水氣的缺乏及高垂直風切變影響而顯著地減弱。米娜將於轉向後轉化為溫帶氣旋。

Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響

Combined with the NE monsoon, strong winds may set in three days later.

受到米娜和東北季候風的共同影響,香港鄰近地區可能會在三天後吹強風

Next Update 下次更新

19 HKT, 2007/11/25 (or earlier 或更早)

Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈暴增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10

Notes 註:
1) "Signal" represents having issued that signal or above. "信號" 指該信號或更高
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的概率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 60 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上

+24W (MITAG 米娜) Bulletin 發佈 #4 (2007/11/23, 22:00 HKT)

Name of System 系統名稱 TY (CAT. 2) MITAG 二級颱風 米娜

Bulletin Number 發佈編號 #4
Time of Report 報告時間 2007/11/23, 22:00 HKT (14:00 UTC)
Time of Observation 觀測時間 2007/11/23, 20 HKT (12 UTC)
Position 位置 13.8 N, 126.7 E
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 85 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 115 knots 節)
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 75 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 105 knots 節)
Pressure 氣壓 955 hPa
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 NNW 西北偏北 at 3 knots 節
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 Seas East of the Philippines 菲律賓以東海域

Forecast Track 預測路徑圖
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖

MITAG has been moving slowly today. At 20 HKT, MITAG was centred about 620 km (330 NM) E of Manila.

米娜於過去 24 小時移動緩慢。在 20 HKT,米娜集結在馬尼拉之東約 620 公里 (330 海里)。

Movement Analysis 路徑分析

MITAG will travel WNW to NW in the next 36 hours along the southwestern periphery of the retreating subtropical ridge. The forecast for extended period is of less confidence due to the potential interaction between MITAG and another storm in the South China Sea HAGIBIS.

預料米娜於未來 36 小時將沿正在東退的副熱帶高壓脊之西南部向西北偏西至西北移動。由於米娜有可能跟另一在南海中部的熱帶氣旋海貝思發生藤原效應,t+96 以後預測之準確度會比較低。

Intensity Analysis 強度分析

Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/S0.0/24 HRS
Due to good ambient environments, MITAG should be able to intensify slightly before making landfall. After that, the combined effect of increased vertical wind shear in the South China Sea and the lack of moisture in the terrain of Luzon will cause MITAG to weaken.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/S0.0/24 HRS
受到良好的輻散通道及頗高海水溫度的影響,預料米娜將在登陸前稍作增強。當米娜橫過菲律賓,它將會受水氣的缺乏及高垂直風切變影響而顯著地減弱。

Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

米娜於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響

Next Update 下次更新

19 HKT, 2007/11/24 (or earlier 或更早)

Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Not Applicable 不適用

+24W (MITAG 米娜) Bulletin 發佈 #3 (2007/11/22, 20:00 HKT)

Name of System 系統名稱 TY (CAT. 2) MITAG 二級颱風 米娜

Bulletin Number 發佈編號 #3
Time of Report 報告時間 2007/11/22, 20:00 HKT (12:00 UTC)
Time of Observation 觀測時間 2007/11/22, 14 HKT (06 UTC)
Position 位置 14.3 N, 128.6 E
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 85 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 115 knots 節)
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 75 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 105 knots 節)
Pressure 氣壓 955 hPa
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 W 西 at 8 knots 節
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 Seas East of the Philippines 菲律賓以東海域

Forecast Track 預測路徑圖
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖

MITAG travelled W in the past 24 hours and it developed an eye today. At 14 HKT, MITAG was centred about 820 km (440 NM) E of Manila.

米娜於過去 24 小時向西北偏西移動,並發展出一風眼。在 14 HKT,米娜集結在馬尼拉之東約 820 公里 (440 海里)。

Movement Analysis 路徑分析

MITAG will travel W to WNW in the next 36 hours along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to retreat by t+48, which introduces some N component to MITAG's track. The forecast for extended period is of less confidence due to the potential interaction between MITAG and another storm in the South China Sea HAGIBIS.

預料米娜於未來 36 小時將沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西至西北偏西移動。在48小時以後,該副熱帶高壓脊將會東退,米娜路徑的向北分量將增加。由於米娜有可能跟另一在南海中部的熱帶氣旋海貝思發生藤原效應,t+96 以後預測之準確度會比較低。

Intensity Analysis 強度分析

Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/D1.5/24 HRS
Contributed by good outflow channels and favourable sea surface temperatures, MITAG has been intensifying at high than meteorological rate and this trend is expected to continue before its landfall. After that, the combined effect of increased vertical wind shear in the South China Sea and the lack of moisture in the terrain of Luzon will cause MITAG to weaken.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/D1.5/24 HRS
受到良好的輻散通道及頗高海水溫度的影響,米娜於過去 24 小時以高於氣候平均值速度增強。預料此趨勢將在米娜登陸前持續。當米娜橫過菲律賓,它將會受水氣的缺乏及高垂直風切變影響而顯著地減弱。

Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

米娜於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響

Next Update 下次更新

23 HKT, 2007/11/23 (or earlier 或更早)

Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Not Applicable 不適用

+24W (MITAG 米娜) Bulletin 發佈 #2 (2007/11/21, 18:00 HKT)

Name of System 系統名稱 TS MITAG 熱帶風暴 米娜

Bulletin Number 發佈編號 #2
Time of Report 報告時間 2007/11/21, 18:00 HKT (10:00 UTC)
Time of Observation 觀測時間 2007/11/21, 14 HKT (06 UTC)
Position 位置 14.2 N, 132.5 E
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 45 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 60 knots 節)
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 40 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 55 knots 節)
Pressure 氣壓 992 hPa
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 WNW 西北偏西 at 10 knots 節
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 Seas East of the Philippines 菲律賓以東海域

Forecast Track 預測路徑圖
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖

24W travelled WNW in the past 24 hours and was named MITAG. At 14 HKT, MITAG was centred about 1240 km (670 NM) E of Manila.

24W 於過去 24 小時向西北偏西移動,並被命名為米娜。在 14 HKT,米娜集結在馬尼拉之東約 1240 公里 (670 海里)。

Movement Analysis 路徑分析

MITAG will travel W to WSW in the next 48 hours along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to retreat by t+72, which introduces some N component to MITAG's track. As MITAG weakens when traversing the Philippines, it will be driven by the low-level easterlies and will travel W into the South China Sea.

預料米娜於未來 48 小時將沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西至西南偏西移動。在72小時以後,該副熱帶高壓脊將會東退,米娜路徑的向北分量將增加。當米娜橫過菲律賓時,它將會減弱並由低層偏東氣流引導,轉向偏西移動並進入南海。

Intensity Analysis 強度分析

Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
Gradual intensification is expected as MITAG travels west due to moderate wind shear and favorable sea surface temperatures. Its strength will decrease when it traverses the Philippines.

現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
受到中等垂直風切變及頗高海水溫度的影響,預料米娜可在未來72小時逐漸增強。當米娜橫過菲律賓,它將會顯著地減弱。

Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

米娜於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響

Next Update 下次更新

20 HKT, 2007/11/22 (or earlier 或更早)

Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Not Applicable 不適用

+24W (MITAG 米娜) Bulletin 發佈 #1 (2007/11/20, 18:00 HKT)

Name of System 系統名稱 TS 24W 熱帶風暴 24W

Bulletin Number 發佈編號 #1
Time of Report 報告時間 2007/11/20, 18:00 HKT (10:00 UTC)
Time of Observation 觀測時間 2007/11/20, 14 HKT (06 UTC)
Position 位置 12.6 N, 137.3 E
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 35 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 50 knots 節)
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 30 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 45 knots 節)
Pressure 氣壓 1000 hPa
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 NW 西北 at 9 knots 節
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 Seas East of the Philippines 菲律賓以東海域

Forecast Track 預測路徑圖
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖

93W intensified into a tropical storm today and was given a number 24W. At 14 HKT, 24W was centred about 1770 km (960 NM) E of Manila.

93W 今天增強為熱帶風暴,並被給予臨時編號 24W。在 14 HKT,24W集結在馬尼拉之東約 1770 公里 (960 海里)。

Movement Analysis 路徑分析

Guided by the low-level easterlies, it is forecast that 24W will travel west before making landfall at the Philippines. After t+72, some models predict that there may be interaction between 24W and 23W which may lead to erratic movement of 24W. This bulletin refers to ECMWF forecast, which forecasts a poleward turn.

受到低層偏東氣流影響,24W將於登陸菲律賓前向西移動。在72小時以後,某些數值預報預料24W將跟23W發生藤原效應,令24W作不規則移動。本發佈根據歐洲中期預報模式,在預測後期24W將向偏北移動。

Intensity Analysis 強度分析

Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
Gradual intensification is expected as 24W travels west due to moderate wind shear and favorable sea surface temperatures.

現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
受到中等垂直風切變及頗高海水溫度的影響,預料24W可在未來72小時逐漸增強。

Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

24W於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響

Next Update 下次更新

19 HKT, 2007/11/21 (or earlier 或更早)

Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Not Applicable 不適用

Track Data from HKWW 本站之路徑資料

YYMMDDZZ Lat Long Wind
07112000 120N1380E 025
07112006 126N1373E 035
07112012 130N1365E 040
07112018 137N1348E 040
07112100 139N1335E 040
07112106 142N1325E 045
07112112 145N1319E 055
07112118 144N1308E 060
07112200 144N1294E 065
07112206 143N1285E 085
07112212 142N1277E 085
07112218 141N1272E 090
07112300 138N1268E 090
07112306 135N1268E 090
07112312 138N1267E 085
07112318 143N1265E 085
07112400 144N1263E 085
07112406 146N1260E 085
07112412 148N1252E 085
07112418 151N1249E 080
07112500 157N1244E 080
07112506 164N1237E 080
07112512 171N1228E 080
07112518 177N1220E 075
07112600 184N1210E 075
07112606 190N1205E 070
07112612 203N1206E 065
07112618 207N1211E 060
07112700 210N1219E 055
07112706 205N1228E 050

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