MEGI has weakened into a category 2 typhoon. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 430 km (230 NM) E of Hong Kong. The Strong Wind Signal was replaced by the Standby Signal at 18:05 HKT, and the latter was cancelled at 20:40 HKT.

鮎魚已減弱為二級颱風。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在香港以東約 430 公里 (230 海里)。一號戒備信號於下午 6 時 05 分取代三號強風信號，而戒備信號亦於下午 8 時 40 分取消。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

The subtropical ridge has extended slightly. A N/NNW movement is expected until landfall.

副熱帶高壓脊稍為西伸，預料鮎魚將向北至西北偏北移動直至登陸。

Current T-number: T4.5/5.0/S0.0/24 HRS
MEGI's eye becomes harder to spot on IR imagery. It is expected to weaken as it nears land due to intrusion of increasingly drier air and cooler sea surfaces. Rapid weakening will occur after landfall.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.0/S0.0/24 HRS
鮎魚風眼在紅外線衛星雲圖上變得難以辨認。預料它將於登陸前受乾空氣和較低海溫影響而減弱。鮎魚登陸後將快速減弱並消散。

Strong north to northwesterly winds may still occasionally affect high grounds.

高地間中或會吹強風程度北至西北風。

23 HKT, 2010/10/23 (Sat 六) or earlier 或更早

MEGI moved N/NNE in the past 12 hours at around 8 km/h. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 440 km (240 NM) ESE of Hong Kong. The Strong Wind Signal was issued at 05:40 HKT.

鮎魚於過去 12 小時向北至東北偏北移動，時速約 8 公里。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在香港東南偏東約 440 公里 (240 海里)。三號強風信號於上午 5 時 40 分發出。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

As seen from upper level weather charts, major troughs have passed and lifted northwards. This is favourable for westward extension of the subtropical ridge, but it still takes some time for MEGI to regain westward track component. A north turning to NW/NNW is likely.

從高空天氣圖可看到數條大型西風槽已通過並北抬，此情況有利副熱帶高壓脊再度西伸。由於增強及西伸需時，預料鮎魚將向北後轉西北至西北偏北移動。

Current T-number: T5.5/5.5/S0.0/24 HRS
MEGI continued to maintain intensity. It is expected to weaken as it nears land due to intrusion of increasingly drier air and cooler sea surfaces. Rapid weakening will occur after landfall.

現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/5.5/S0.0/24 HRS
鮎魚繼續維持強度。預料它將於登陸前受乾空氣和較低海溫影響而稍稍減弱。鮎魚登陸後將快速減弱並消散。

Strong to gale force northerlies are blowing in offshore areas and on high grounds. Winds will continue to be strong in the next two days, and wind direction will gradually turn to the west. MEGI is still strong and cannot be overlooked.

離岸地區和高地正吹強至烈風程度偏北風。預料隨後兩天風勢仍然強勁，而風向則會於稍後轉向偏西。由於鮎魚仍強，市民仍需留意其發展。

23 HKT, 2010/10/22 (Fri 五) or earlier 或更早

MEGI has turned north. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 540 km (290 NM) SE of Hong Kong. The Standby Signal #1 was issued at 16:35 HKT.

鮎魚轉向偏北移動。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在香港東南約 540 公里 (290 海里)。一號戒備信號於下午 4 時 35 分發出。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

The northward motion commenced earlier than expected, with the continental ridge disappearing completely. The N-S oriented Pacific subtropical ridge should drive MEGI north in the next 24 to 48 hours. That ridge might rebuild and extend westward later, and MEGI may turn NW at that time.

北移比預期早出現。高空天氣圖顯示中國南部的高壓單體已消失。預料現時呈南北向的太平洋副熱帶高壓脊將於未來 24 至 48 小時帶領鮎魚向北移動。該脊預料於稍後西伸，鮎魚或會轉向西北。

Current T-number: T5.5/5.5/S0.0/24 HRS
MEGI has more or less maintained intensity, but dry air intrusion seems to have started. As MEGI gained latitude faster than expected, the current forecast calls for a slight decrease in strength due to drier air and shear elevation. Rapid weakening will occur after landfall.

現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/5.5/S0.0/24 HRS
鮎魚大致維持強度，但似乎已開始受乾空氣影響。由於鮎魚偏北速度比預期快，預料它將受乾空氣和較高垂直風切變影響而稍稍減弱。鮎魚登陸後將快速減弱並消散。

Forecasts have shifted the location of landfall from west of Hong Kong to east of Hong Kong. Due to the combined effect with the monsoon, northerlies will strengthen gradually and is expected to turn to northwest later. MEGI is still a strong system and its potential impacts to the territory cannot be overlooked.

預測登陸位置由香港以西改至香港以東。受季候風共同影響，本港北風將逐漸增強，稍後風向轉為西北。鮎魚強度仍高，其影響不能忽視。

23 HKT, 2010/10/21 (Thu 四) or earlier 或更早

MEGI resumed westward track at a reduced speed. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 740 km (400 NM) SSE of Hong Kong.

鮎魚回復偏西路徑，但速度減慢。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在香港東南偏南約 740 公里 (400 海里)。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

The mid-latitude trough has weakened the continental ridge positioned near southern China and this caused a reduction in MEGI's forward speed. The steering mechanism will gradually turn back to the N-S oriented Pacific subtropical ridge and a NNW track is expected in the near future. That ridge is expected to build and extend westward later and MEGI should gradually turn NW/WNW.

在中國南部的高壓被西風槽侵蝕，鮎魚速度減慢。預料現時呈南北向的太平洋副熱帶高壓脊將於短期內帶領鮎魚向西北偏北移動。該脊預料會於稍後西伸，鮎魚因而轉向西北或西北偏西移動。

Current T-number: T5.5/5.5/S0.0/24 HRS
MEGI has intensified slightly following its emergence from the Philippines. Although MEGI successfully draws moisture from the southwesterly airstream, its eye is still ragged and the northern semicircle appears weak. MEGI will gradually intensify in weak shear and high temperature environment, but is expected to weaken slightly before landfall as drier air intrudes and sea temperatures are lower.

現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/5.5/S0.0/24 HRS
鮎魚在進入南海後稍為增強。雖然鮎魚成功引進西南氣流，其北部對流仍然較弱，而風眼仍呈不規則狀。鮎魚將在低風切和高海溫的環境下再度增強，但乾空氣入侵及較低海溫將令鮎魚於登陸前減弱。

Winds will strengthen from the east / northeast on Friday with the potential of increasing further to beyond gale force. As MEGI is a strong system and there is large uncertainty in its track, members of the public should be aware of the cyclone's latest development.

本地風勢 (以東至東北風為主) 將於周五增強，其後可能增至烈風程度或更高。由於鮎魚強度高且路徑仍未明朗，市民應密切注意其發展。

23 HKT, 2010/10/20 (Wed 三) or earlier 或更早

MEGI made landfall at northeastern Luzon near noon today, and it gradually weakened overland. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 240 km (130 NM) NNW of Manila.

鮎魚於中午在呂宋東北部登陸，其後在陸上減弱。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在馬尼拉西北偏北約 240 公里 (130 海里)。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

Ridging to the north of MEGI should drive it west for some time after it enters South China Sea. A propagating trough is now expected to weaken the ridge so that forward speed decreases. The magnitude of northward track component will depend on how much the ridge will be eroded.

鮎魚以北的副熱帶高壓脊將於初期帶領鮎魚向西移動。預料一道西風槽將對副高構成打擊，鮎魚前進速度減慢。鮎魚轉向幅度將取決於西風槽對副高打擊的強弱程度。

Current T-number: T5.0/5.5/W2.5/24 HRS
After striking Luzon at peak intensity, MEGI's central dense overcast disintegrated due to airflow disruption by the mountains and a lack of moisture. However, as forward speed is expected to decrease after MEGI enters South China Sea, it will have sufficient time to reorganize itself in a favourable environment. Re-intensification into a category 4 system is likely.

現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.5/W2.5/24 HRS
鮎魚以近巔峰強度登陸菲律賓，其後由於受到高山阻礙和缺乏濕氣，其中心密集雲區瓦解。但是，由於預測鮎魚在南海的速度不高，它將有充足時間重整，有望重新增強至四級颱風強度。

Due to the combined effects of MEGI and northeast monsoon, local winds will strengthen on Thursday from the northeast / east.

受到鮎魚和東北季候風的共同影響，本港東至東北風將於星期四增強。

23 HKT, 2010/10/19 (Tue 二) or earlier 或更早

MEGI deepened into a category 5 super typhoon, the first in the NW Pacific this year. It has also started to lose latitude. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 590 km (320 NM) NE of Manila.

鮎魚增強為本年西北太平洋首個五級超級颱風，且有所南移。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在馬尼拉東北約 590 公里 (320 海里)。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

MEGI is travelling WSW in the southeastern periphery of the continental ridge. An initial westward movement is expected when MEGI enters South China Sea, but subsequent movement remains uncertain as some models suggest a recurvature. This bulletin favours the more consistent ECMWF outcome which suggests a turn to the WNW/NW towards Hainan Island.

鮎魚正沿大陸高壓東南部向西南偏西移動。預料鮎魚將於進入南海初期西移，但其後不確定性增加。部分數值模式預料鮎魚將轉北；本佈跟隨歐洲中期預報中心之較穩定預報，其預測鮎魚將轉西北或西北偏西移，趨向海南一帶。

Current T-number: T7.5/7.5/D2.0/24 HRS
MEGI's central dense overcast expanded, embedding a clear eye within it. Reconnaissance aircraft shows near central wind speed in excess of 150 knots with pressure near 895 hPa. MEGI will maintain category 5 strength as it makes landfall in the Philippines. It will weaken as it crosses Luzon, but re-intensification in the South China Sea is quite likely.

現時的 T 號碼: T7.5/7.5/D2.0/24 HRS
鮎魚的中心密集雲區雲頂向外擴展，其風眼清晰可見。飛機偵測顯示氣旋中心風速超過 150 節，氣壓於 895 百帕附近。預料鮎魚將維持五級超級颱風強度直至登陸。鮎魚將在登陸期間減弱，但在南海中再次增強的可能性頗大。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours. However, due to the combined effects of MEGI and northeast monsoon, wind speeds may strengthen in the latter part of this week.

鮎魚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。但是，由於受到鮎魚和東北季候風的共同影響，香港本周後期風勢將增強。

23 HKT, 2010/10/18 (Mon 一) or earlier 或更早

MEGI has intensified further and is taking a westerly route. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 1080 km (580 NM) ENE of Manila.

鮎魚繼續增強，並開始轉往西移。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在馬尼拉東北偏東約 1080 公里 (580 海里)。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

MEGI is travelling west to the south of a weakness in the subtropical ridge. The continental ridge is expected to bring some southward component to MEGI's track as it crosses the Philippines. Model predictions of MEGI's track inside the South China Sea generally indicate that an increase in latitude is possible.

鮎魚正於副熱帶高壓脊的弱點南端西移。預料鮎魚將受大陸高壓的影響，在登陸菲律賓前後稍為南移。大部分模式預報認為鮎魚進入南海後緯度將有所增加。

Current T-number: T5.5/5.5/D0.5/24 HRS
MEGI's central dense overcast continues to develop, with cloud top temperatures decreasing in the past 12 hours. An eye has also appeared in IR imagery. MEGI will continue to intensify before making landfall at Luzon due to low shear and high ocean heat content. It will weaken as it crosses Luzon, but re-intensification in the South China Sea is quite likely.

現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/5.5/D0.5/24 HRS
鮎魚的中心密集雲區雲頂溫度於過去 12 小時有所下降，而其風眼也開始於紅外線衛星雲圖上可見。預料鮎魚將在微弱風切而熱含量高的洋面上繼續增強。鮎魚將在登陸期間減弱，但在南海中再次增強的可能性頗大。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

鮎魚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。

23 HKT, 2010/10/17 (Sun 日) or earlier 或更早

MEGI moved NW and has intensified into a typhoon. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 740 km (400 NM) NNW of Yap.

鮎魚向西北移動並增強為颱風。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在雅蒲島西北偏北約 740 公里 (400 海里)。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

Although still intact, the subtropical ridge has a slight weakness near 130°E, and the ridge has extended slightly to the south east of MEGI. This is contributing to the NW movement MEGI is experiencing. MEGI should turn due west as it reaches higher latitude, and will dip southwards when it approaches Luzon due to the continental ridge. That ridge should continue to drive MEGI westwards as it enters South China Sea.

雖然副熱帶高壓脊仍完整，但於東經 130 度附近出現一個弱點。該脊亦於鮎魚東部稍為南伸，令其向西北移動。隨著鮎魚繼續北移，預料它將轉往西移動，並在大陸高壓的影響下在登陸菲律賓前後稍為南移。該高壓預料會於鮎魚進入南海初期繼續帶領鮎魚向西移動。

Current T-number: T5.0/5.0/D1.5/24 HRS
An eye developed and was discernible in visible light imageries earlier today. A central dense overcast is also evident. Shear continues to be light east of the Philippines, and ocean heat content remains high. Further intensification is very likely. MEGI should be weakened by the mountainous Luzon as it crosses the island.

現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.0/D1.5/24 HRS
鮎魚發展出一風眼，較早時於可見光雲圖中可以見到，而其中心亦發展出密集雲區。菲律賓以東風切繼續微弱，洋面熱含量高。預料鮎魚將繼續增強，但會於橫過呂宋島高山時減弱。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

鮎魚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。

23 HKT, 2010/10/16 (Sat 六) or earlier 或更早

MEGI has picked up speed and has intensified into a severe tropical storm. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 400 km (220 NM) N of Yap.

鮎魚速度加快，並增強為強烈熱帶風暴。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在雅蒲島以北約 400 公里 (220 海里)。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

MEGI is currently situated in the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to be weakened by a mid-latitude trough and will allow a WNW movement in the next 48 to 72 hours. A finger of ridge should sustain its westward movement in the extended forecast period.

鮎魚正處於副熱帶高壓脊南沿。預料該脊將受一西風槽影響而減弱，令鮎魚在未來 48 至 72 小時向西北偏西移動。副高西部的延伸將有望在 72 小時後令鮎魚維持偏西路徑。

Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
The disturbance near 130°E is affecting inflow, but its effect is diminishing. Wind shear remains very low in MEGI's path, and the divergence channels are good. With sufficient moisture and sea temperatures MEGI should intensify at (or even above) climatological rate in the next 72 hours.

現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
在東經 130 度附近的一個擾動稍為阻礙輻合，但其影響正逐漸減弱。鮎魚將途經之處垂直風切變仍然十分微弱，而其輻散通道良好。受惠於充足水氣和偏高海溫，預料鮎魚將於未來 72 小時以氣候平均值或更高速度增強。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

鮎魚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。

23 HKT, 2010/10/15 (Fri 五) or earlier 或更早

Tropical disturbance 90W SW of Guam intensified into a tropical depression earlier today (15W). It subsequently strengthened into a tropical storm and was named MEGI. At 20 HKT, MEGI was centred about 390 km (210 NM) NE of Yap.

在關島西南的熱帶擾動 90W 今早增強為熱帶低氣壓 15W，其後增強至熱帶風暴強度，被命名為鮎魚。在 20 HKT，鮎魚集結在雅蒲島東北約 390 公里 (210 海里)。

MEGI is the 109th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning catfish. This name was last used in 2004.

鮎魚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 109 個名字，由南韓提供，為一種在河流或湖泊常見的魚。此名稱曾於 2004 年使用。

MEGI is currently situated in the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to be weakened by a mid-latitude trough and will allow a WNW movement in the next 72 hours. A finger of ridge should sustain its westward movement in the extended forecast period.

鮎魚正處於副熱帶高壓脊南沿。預料該脊將受一西風槽影響而稍為減弱，令鮎魚在未來 72 小時向西北偏西移動。副高西部的延伸將有望在 72 小時後令鮎魚維持偏西路徑。

Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
Wind shear is very low in MEGI's path, and the divergence channels are good. With sufficient moisture and sea temperatures MEGI should intensify at (or even above) climatological rate in the next 72 hours.

現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
鮎魚將途經之處垂直風切變十分微弱，而其輻散通道良好。受惠於充足水氣和偏高海溫，預料鮎魚將於未來 72 小時以氣候平均值或更高速度增強。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

鮎魚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。

23 HKT, 2010/10/14 (Thu 四) or earlier 或更早