AERE is the 111th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the United States, which is a Marshallese word for "storm". This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
AERE is expected to move NE turning to ENE along the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
艾利將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北轉東北偏東移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T1.5/2.0/W0.5/24 HRS
AERE turned smaller in size. It is expected that the storm will undergo extratropical transition soon and should be complete by around 36 hours' time.
現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/2.0/W0.5/24 HRS
艾利稍為縮小。預料艾利將開始溫帶氣旋轉化，在約 36 小時後完成。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
艾利於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
This is the final bulletin on AERE.
這是本站對艾利的最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告
(請按發佈編號顯示內容)
AERE has started to recurve. At 20 HKT, AERE was centred about 600 km (320 NM) SW of Okinawa.
艾利開始轉向東北移。在 20 HKT，艾利集結在沖繩島西南約 600 公里 (320
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
AERE is the 111th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the United States, which is a Marshallese word for "storm". This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
AERE has crossed the subtropical ridge axis and is now recurving along its northwestern periphery. Motion speed should increase as it reaches the westerlies.
艾利已橫過副熱帶高壓脊脊線，並開始沿該脊西北部向東北移動。預料艾利在併入西風帶的同時將逐漸加速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/2.5/W0.5/24 HRS
AERE starts to enter seas with lower temperature. The storm is expected to start extratropical transition in about a day's time and transition should be complete by Thursday.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.5/W0.5/24 HRS
艾利開始進入海溫較冷的洋面。預料艾利將於一日後開始溫帶氣旋轉化，並於星期四完成。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
艾利於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/05/11 (Wed 三) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
AERE is the 111th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the United States, which is a Marshallese word for "storm". This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
AERE is now crossing the subtropical ridge axis, and will recurve along its northwestern periphery in the next 2 to 3 days.
艾利正橫過副熱帶高壓脊脊線，預料其後將沿該脊西北部轉向東北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS
AERE's structure has deteriorated as it touched Luzon. As AERE continues to move northward, sea temperatures will drop and shear will rise. AERE should weaken and extratropical transition should occur in 2 to 3 days' time.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS
登陸呂宋令艾利的結構受到破壞。隨著艾利繼續北移，海面溫度將逐步下降而垂直風切變則會提升，令艾利繼續減弱。艾利將於兩至三日內轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
艾利於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/05/10 (Tue 二) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
AERE has intensified slightly over the past 24 hours, and has started taking a more northerly track. At 20 HKT, AERE was centred about 230 km (130 NM) E of Manila.
AERE is the 111th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the United States, which is a Marshallese word for "storm". This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
AERE is situated in the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. It is expected that AERE will round the western side of the ridge and recurve near Taiwan.
艾利繼續處於副熱帶高壓脊的西南沿。預料艾利將沿副高西部逐漸轉北，繼而在台灣附近轉向東北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
AERE's low-level circulation centre was again partially exposed this morning. Due to its proximity to land, AERE is expected to maintain its current intensity until landfall, after which the mountainous Luzon will weaken the storm considerably. Weakening trend continues as it re-enters sea, due to the relatively high shear and lower sea temperatures near and north of the Luzon Strait.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
艾利的低層環流中心今早部分外露。由於艾利已接近陸地，預料它將在登陸前維持強度，其後受呂宋陸地影響將明顯減弱。呂宋海峽和其北面海域垂直風切變較高且海溫較低，艾利將難以再度增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
艾利於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/05/09 (Mon 一) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
AERE is the 111th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the United States, which is a Marshallese word for "storm". This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
Attacked by mid-latitude troughs, the subtropical ridge northeast of AERE has shown signs of retreat. AERE is thus expected to recurve along the western periphery of the ridge in the long run.
受西風槽的影響，艾利東北面的副熱帶高壓脊有東退跡象。預料艾利將沿副高西沿逐步轉向。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS
AERE's convections are tightening and its structure in the southern semicircle has improved. In a generally favourable environment east of the Philippines, AERE should continue to strengthen into a severe tropical storm in the next 12 to 24 hours. AERE is expected to weaken considerably as it makes landfall at Luzon. Weakening trend continues as it re-enters sea, due to the relatively high shear and lower sea temperatures near the Luzon Strait.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24 HRS
艾利的對流變得緊密，而南部結構轉好。在環境良好的情況下，預料艾利將於未來 12 至 24 小時內增強為強烈熱帶風暴。登陸呂宋將令艾利明顯減弱，而呂宋海峽一帶垂直風切變頗高且海溫稍低，這亦不利於艾利的發展。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
艾利於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/05/08 (Sun 日) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) "Signal" represents having issued that signal or above. "信號" 指該信號或更高。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的概率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
03W is currently situated in the southwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge. The ridge should guide the storm in a northwesterly motion over the next 72 hours. Speed is expected to increase as steering influence strengthens.
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
03W is organizing gradually, and is symmetrical in shape due to the extremely low vertical wind shear in its vicinity. Together with sufficient sea temperature (about 30 degrees) and favourable outflow channels, 03W should strengthen progressively in the next 72 hours.
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
