NANMADOL has made landfall at Fujian. At 20 HKT, NANMADOL was centred about 490 km (260 NM) NE of Hong Kong.
南瑪都已於福建登陸。在下午 8 時,南瑪都集結在香港東北約 490 公里 (260
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
NANMADOL decelerated as it lingers in Taiwan Strait. At 20 HKT, NANMADOL was centred about 540 km (290 NM) ENE of Hong Kong.
南瑪都於台灣海峽徘徊。在下午 8 時,南瑪都集結在香港東北偏東約 540 公里 (290
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
NANMADOL made landfall at southern Taiwan this morning and entered Taiwan Strait later this afternoon. At 20 HKT, NANMADOL was centred about 580 km (320 NM) ENE of Hong Kong.
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
NANMADOL is expected to move NW and make landfall at Fujian tomorrow. Under the influence of a building ridge in China, NANMADOL will turn west after landfall.
Current T-number: T3.0/3.5/W1.0/24 HRS
NANMADOL weakened into a severe tropical storm after passing Taiwan. The storm is surrounded by landmass and intensification is not expected. NANMADOL will weaken rapidly after its final landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.5/W1.0/24 HRS
南瑪都於橫過台灣後減弱為強烈熱帶風暴。由於風暴被陸地包圍,預料它將不會增強,並於最後一次登陸後迅速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Subsidence associated with NANMADOL will continue to affect Hong Kong on Tuesday and Wednesday, resulting in hazy and very hot weather.
南瑪都的下沉氣流將令香港於周二和周三繼續受煙霞和酷熱天氣影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/08/30 (Tue 二) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率,首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
NANMADOL is expected to move N or NNW into Taiwan due to the combined steering force from the subtropical ridge NE of the storm and the high pressure SE of it. As the trough currently in China is showing signs of weakening, latest forecast calls for an intensification of the subtropical ridge that will force NANMADOL to move west towards Fujian.
Current T-number: T4.0/4.5/W1.0/24 HRS
Despite good ambient environment, proximity to land is limiting NANMADOL's strength and its structure continued to deteriorate today. NANMADOL is expected to weaken slightly before landfall, and rapidly afterwards.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.5/W1.0/24 HRS
雖然周邊環境良好,由於南瑪都靠近陸地,它的強度受到限制,今日結構轉差。預料南瑪都於登陸前將稍為減弱,隨後減弱速度將會加快。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Subsidence associated with NANMADOL will continue to affect Hong Kong in the next few days, resulting in hazy and very hot weather.
南瑪都的下沉氣流將令香港於未來數天繼續受煙霞和酷熱天氣影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/08/29 (Mon 一) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率,首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
NANMADOL made landfall at northeastern tip of Luzon this morning, but re-entered sea soon afterwards. At 20 HKT, NANMADOL was centred about 400 km (220 NM) SSE of Kaohsiung.
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
Under the competitive forces of the subtropical ridge NE of the storm and another ridge SE of it, NANMADOL has been moving slowly. NANMADOL is expected to track NNW towards Taiwan under the combined steering force, and will later move N. Track forecast for the extended taus remains uncertain as models diverge greatly on this.
Current T-number: T5.0/5.5/W1.5/24 HRS
NANMADOL's clear eye disappeared as it neared Luzon this morning. Still divergence is good and should allow NANMADOL to intensify slightly as it crosses Luzon Strait. Rapid weakening follows as it makes landfall at Taiwan. NANMADOL's future change in intensity depends greatly on its track.
現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.5/W1.5/24 HRS
隨著南瑪都登陸呂宋,它清晰的風眼消失。該區輻散仍然良好,預料南瑪都於橫過呂宋海峽時仍有增強的空間。當南瑪都登陸台灣,它將會快速減弱。減弱的幅度很大程度上取決於其路徑。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Subsidence associated with NANMADOL will continue to affect Hong Kong next week, resulting in hazy and very hot weather.
南瑪都的下沉氣流將令香港於下周繼續受煙霞和酷熱天氣影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/08/28 (Sun 日) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率,首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
NANMADOL is now situated in the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge, and is expected to move NNW across Luzon Strait. The ridge is expected to retreat and allow a poleward turn, and will later re-extend at lower latitudes to inflict eastward track component. As NANMADOL is expected to be far away from TALAS, the chance of interaction becomes very small.
Current T-number: T6.5/6.5/D1.5/24 HRS
NANMADOL has developed a symmetric central dense overcast with a well-defined eye, but cloud top temperatures are not low enough to classify it as category 5. NANMADOL is about to reach peak intensity. Proximity to landmass for prolonged period of time will cause NANMADOL to weaken in the latter parts of the forecast period.
現時的 T 號碼: T6.5/6.5/D1.5/24 HRS
南瑪都擁有一對稱中心密集雲區,風眼明顯可見,但雲頂溫度較高,因而未達五級超級颱風程度。南瑪都已接近巔峰強度,預料在預測後期長時間靠近陸地而開始減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Subsidence associated with NANMADOL will result in hazy and very hot weather in Hong Kong next week.
南瑪都的下沉氣流將令香港於下周受煙霞和酷熱天氣影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/08/27 (Sat 六) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
Affected by a weak ridge north of the storm, NANMADOL has been moving westward in the past 24 hours. The ridge is expected to be weakened by a passing trough, after which NANMADOL should turn poleward. At later taus NANMADOL may interact with TALAS to produce a northeastern turn.
Current T-number: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS
An eye has developed but is rather unstable. Favourable sea temperatures and divergence environment will allow NANMADOL to intensify in the next 48 hours, after which storm interaction may inhibit strengthening.
現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS
南瑪都的風眼已形成,但較為不穩定。在溫暖海溫和較佳輻散環境下,預料南瑪都將於未來 48 小時逐步增強。預測後期南瑪都或會與塔拉斯相互影響,增強將受限制。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
南瑪都於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/08/26 (Fri 五) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
NANMADOL has been drifting westward at a low speed in the past 24 hours. Without significant external steering force it is expected that NANMADOL will move N/NNW under its internal force. The disturbance east of NANMADOL is developing and the two systems may interact in the extended forecast period, which may cause NANMADOL to move NE. However, models diverge greatly on NANMADOL's track forecast, and the extent of interaction as well as the results remain largely uncertain.
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/D1.0/24 HRS
A central dense overcast appears to be developing. Favourable sea temperatures and divergence environment will allow NANMADOL to intensify.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/D1.0/24 HRS
中心密集雲區似乎正在形成。在溫暖海溫和較佳輻散環境下,預料南瑪都將逐步增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
南瑪都於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/08/25 (Thu 四) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Tropical disturbance 96W in the Philippine Sea intensified into tropical depression 14W early today, and continued to intensify into a tropical storm, which was named NANMADOL. At 20 HKT, NANMADOL was centred about 710 km (380 NM) ENE of Manila.
NANMADOL is the 121st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, which is the name of a famous ruin at Pohnpei. This name was last used in 2004.
NANMADOL is now slow moving as no prominent steering force exists after the collapse of the subtropical ridge north of the storm earlier. The storm is expected to drift north slowly under the influence of the weak equatorial anticyclone to its southeast as well as the cyclone's internal force. NANMADOL is part of a monsoon gyre in which a disturbance east of it is expected to develop. Once developed, the two will undergo cyclonic movement about the common centre, meaning that NANMADOL will move NE or even E. The complex mechanism involved implies that this forecast is subject to large uncertainty.
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/INT OBS
NANMADOL has tight circulation, although convections are displaced to the west. Under favourable sea temperatures and divergence environment, NANMADOL is expected to strengthen into a typhoon gradually.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/INT OBS
南瑪都對流緊密,但較集中在氣旋西面。在溫暖海溫和較佳輻散環境下,預料南瑪都將逐步增強為颱風。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
南瑪都於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/08/24 (Wed 三) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率