NALGAE has made landfall at Hainan Island. At 14 HKT, NALGAE was centred about 600 km (320 NM) SW of Hong Kong.
尼格已於海南島登陸。在下午 2 時,尼格集結在香港西南約 600 公里 (320
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
NALGAE is the 129th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wing. This name was last used in 2005.
尼格為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 129 個名字,由北韓提供,解作翅膀。這個名稱曾於 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
Under the influence of a low-level ridge, NALGAE is expected to move W towards Vietnam in 36 hours.
受低層高壓脊影響,預料尼格將西移並於 36 小時內登陸越南中北部。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/18 HRS
NALGAE's structure continued to deteriorate. This weakening trend will continue as the storm is in close proximity to landmass, and dissipation is expected in two days' time.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/18 HRS
尼格的結構繼續轉差。由於尼格靠近陸地,預料它將減弱並於兩天後在陸上消散。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
尼格於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
19 HKT, 2011/10/05 (Wed 三) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NALGAE continued to move west in northern South China Sea. At 20 HKT, NALGAE was centred about 510 km (280 NM) SSW of Hong Kong. The Observatory issued the #3 Strong Wind Signal at 06:40 HKT today, and the signal remained in force until 19:10 HKT when it was replaced by the Strong Monsoon Signal.
NALGAE is the 129th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wing. This name was last used in 2005.
尼格為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 129 個名字,由北韓提供,解作翅膀。這個名稱曾於 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
Under the influence of a low-level ridge, NALGAE is expected to move W towards southern Hainan Island and will make its final landfall at central to northern Vietnam.
受低層高壓脊影響,預料尼格將西移至海南南部,最後於越南中北部登陸。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.5/W0.5/24 HRS
NALGAE's low-level circulation centre remains exposed. Shear is moderate but sea temperatures are rather low (around 25-26 degrees). NALGAE will weaken slightly as it interacts with landmass near Hainan, and rapid weakening will follow once NALGAE makes landfall at Vietnam.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.5/W0.5/24 HRS
尼格的低層環流中心仍然外露。尼格一帶風切中等,但海溫較低 (25 至 26 度)。預料尼格將於靠近海南時稍為減弱,繼而在登錄越南後快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Hong Kong will continue to be affected by strong northeasterly winds due to the combined effect of the monsoon and NALGAE. Flooding may occur at low-lying areas during high tide tonight.
受尼格和東北季候風之共同影響,香港將繼續吹強風程度東北風。今晚漲潮時低窪地區可能出現水浸。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/10/04 (Tue 二) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
The Observatory has replaced tropical cyclone signals by the Strong Monsoon Signal, meaning that the monsoon has become the dominant force in contributing to Hong Kong's strong winds.
NALGAE has weakened into a severe tropical storm. At 20 HKT, NALGAE was centred about 590 km (320 NM) SSE of Hong Kong. The #1 Standby Signal was issued at 10:40 HKT today.
NALGAE is the 129th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wing. This name was last used in 2005.
尼格為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 129 個名字,由北韓提供,解作翅膀。這個名稱曾於 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge retreated further east, but is still exerting some influence in southern China. NALGAE is expected to move WNW along the southwestern periphery of the ridge.
副熱帶高壓脊中心繼續東退,但其影響力仍擴展至華南一帶。預料尼格將沿其西南部向西北偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.5/4.0/W0.5/24 HRS
NALGAE's structure deteriorated last night and the low-level circulation centre was partially exposed. Shear is moderate while sea temperatures are rather low. The storm is expected to maintain current intensity or intensify slightly before reaching Hainan.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/4.0/W0.5/24 HRS
尼格的結構昨晚轉差,低層環流中心部分外露。尼格一帶風切中等,但海溫較低。預料尼格在到達海南前大約維持強度或稍為增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Coupled with a surge of northeast monsoon, Hong Kong will be affected by strong east to northeasterly winds on Monday and Tuesday together with occasional squally showers.
受尼格和一股東北季候風之影響,預料香港將於周一和周二吹強風程度的東至東北風,間中有狂風驟雨。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/10/03 (Mon 一) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1 (Cnl. 取消)
Low 低
Medium 中等
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Strong Wind 強風 #3
High 高
High 高
High 高
Low 低
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
Low 低
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率,首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
NALGAE made landfall at Luzon this morning as a super typhoon. It has since then weakened into a category 2 typhoon. At 20 HKT, NALGAE was centred about 810 km (440 NM) SE of Hong Kong.
NALGAE is the 129th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wing. This name was last used in 2005.
尼格為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 129 個名字,由北韓提供,解作翅膀。這個名稱曾於 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The centre of the subtropical ridge is moving to the east. NALGAE is expected to move WNW along the south to southwestern periphery of the ridge.
副熱帶高壓脊中心略為東移,預料尼格將沿其南至西南部向西北偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/5.0/W2.0/24 HRS
NALGAE suffered a great loss in intensity as it traverses Luzon. Sea temperatures in South China Sea are rather low after the passage of NESAT, and NALGAE is expected to weaken slowly as it crosses the Sea.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/5.0/W2.0/24 HRS
尼格橫過呂宋時大幅減弱。先前納沙經過南海,該區的海溫明顯下降,預料尼格將於南海經過時緩慢地減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Coupled with a surge of northeast monsoon, Hong Kong will be affected by strong east to northeasterly winds on the next few days together with occasional squally showers.
受尼格和一股東北季候風之影響,預料香港將於未來數天吹強風程度的東至東北風,並間中有狂風驟雨。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/10/02 (Sun 日) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
There is still some chance that the Observatory will issue the strong monsoon signal instead, if it sees the monsoon as the major contributor of strong winds.
如天文台認為強風主要是由季候風帶來,它或會發出強烈季候風信號而不發熱帶氣旋警告信號。
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Medium 中等
Medium 中等
High 高
High 高
Medium 中等
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Low 低
Medium 中等
Medium 中等
Medium 中等
Low 低
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率,首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
NALGAE is the 129th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wing. This name was last used in 2005.
尼格為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 129 個名字,由北韓提供,解作翅膀。這個名稱曾於 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge is firmly established in southeastern China, and NALGAE will move west along its southern periphery. NALGAE is expected to move WNW in the extended forecast period as it moves to the southwestern periphery of the ridge.
Current T-number: T6.0/6.0/D2.0/24 HRS
NALGAE has formed an eye and its structure improved considerably. The storm is expected to intensify further before landfall due to the favourable environment there, but will suffer a great loss in intensity as it crosses Luzon. Sea temperatures in South China Sea are rather low after the passage of NESAT, and this will affect NALGAE's re-intensification there.
現時的 T 號碼: T6.0/6.0/D2.0/24 HRS
尼格發展出風眼,其結構亦大幅改善。預料在良好大氣環境下尼格將於登陸前繼續增強,然後在橫過呂宋時大幅減弱。先前納沙經過南海,該區的海溫明顯下降,這將影響尼格於南海時的發展。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Coupled with an arriving northeast monsoon, Hong Kong will be affected by strong east to northeasterly winds early next week.
受尼格和一股正南下的東北季候風之影響,預料香港將於下周初受強風程度的東至東北風影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/10/01 (Sat 六) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
If NALGAE travels more southward than predicted, the Observatory may issue the strong monsoon signal instead.
如尼格路徑比預期為南,天文台或會發出強烈季候風信號。
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Medium 中等
High 高
High 高
High 高
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Low 低
Medium 中等
Medium 中等
Medium 中等
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率,首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
NALGAE has intensified into a typhoon. At 20 HKT, NALGAE was centred about 1230 km (670 NM) ENE of Manila.
尼格已增強為颱風。在下午 8 時,尼格集結在馬尼拉東北偏東約 1230 公里 (670
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
NALGAE is the 129th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wing. This name was last used in 2005.
尼格為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 129 個名字,由北韓提供,解作翅膀。這個名稱曾於 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
NALGAE is expected to travel west in the southern periphery of a rigid subtropical ridge in the entire forecast period.
尼格將在整個預測期內沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
NALGAE's structure is well-established at the lower level. The storm is expected to intensify in a warm pool of water before making landfall at or skirting northern Luzon. It should be able to retain typhoon intensity in the South China Sea.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
尼格的低層結構完整。預料尼格將在登陸或掠過呂宋北部前於溫暖的海域中增強,亦將能於南海中維持颱風強度。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
尼格於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/09/30 (Fri 五) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率,首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
22W intensified quicker than expected and is now a severe tropical storm. It was named NALGAE by the JMA. At 20 HKT, NALGAE was centred about 860 km (460 NM) SW of Iwo Jima.
NALGAE is the 129th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wing. This name was last used in 2005.
尼格為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 129 個名字,由北韓提供,解作翅膀。這個名稱曾於 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
NALGAE is expected to move west in the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. Track speed should increase as the ridge intensifies later.
尼格將沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西移動。隨著副高稍後增強,預料尼格移速將加快。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24 HRS
NALGAE's divergence improved quickly over the past 24 hours. It is expected to strengthen into a typhoon before brushing northern Luzon.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24 HRS
尼格的輻散於過去 24 小時快速轉好,預料尼格將能在到達呂宋北部前增強為颱風。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
尼格於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/09/29 (Thu 四) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
22W is in a weak steering environment and it is now moving slowly. It is expected to move west under the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
22W 於弱流場中,移動較為緩慢。預料 22W 將沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
22W is in a region of low to moderate shear, but divergence is rather poor. The storm is expected to strengthen slowly in the next 48 to 72 hours.