KIROGI is now approaching the Kuril Islands. At 14 HKT, KIROGI was centred about 560 km (300 NM) ENE of Sapporo.
鴻雁正趨向千島群島。在下午 2 時，鴻雁集結在札幌東北偏東約 560 公里 (300 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
KIROGI is the third name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wild goose. This name was used in 2000 and 2005.
鴻雁為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 3 個名字，由北韓提供。此名字曾於 2000 及 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
KIROGI will move NNW to N along the western periphery of the subtropical ridge.
鴻雁將沿副熱帶高壓脊西部向北或西北偏北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/18 HRS
As KIROGI travels north, increase in wind shear will accelerate its transition into an extratropical cyclone.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/18 HRS
隨鴻雁北上，風切開始增加，預料將加快溫帶氣旋轉化過程。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
鴻雁於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
This is the final bulletin on KIROGI.
這是本站對鴻雁的最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告
(請按發佈編號顯示內容)
KIROGI continued to move NW. At 20 HKT, KIROGI was centred about 1160 km (630 NM) ESE of Sapporo.
鴻雁繼續向西北移動。在下午 8 時，鴻雁集結在札幌東南偏東約 1160 公里 (630 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
KIROGI is the third name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wild goose. This name was used in 2000 and 2005.
鴻雁為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 3 個名字，由北韓提供。此名字曾於 2000 及 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge northeast of KIROGI is NW-SE oriented and this should allow KIROGI to move NW to NNW.
鴻雁東北方的副熱帶高壓脊呈西北-東南向，預料鴻雁將向西北至西北偏北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
Wind shear near KIROGI is not high, but sea temperatures are rather low. It appears that KIROGI will gradually turn into a subtropical low as it travels further north where water temperatures cannot sustain tropical cyclone development.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
鴻雁附近風切不高，但海溫偏低。隨著鴻雁北移，其所在之處海溫將不足以支持熱帶氣旋發展，風暴或會轉化為一副熱帶低壓。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
鴻雁於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/08/10 (Fri 五), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
13W's convections improved this morning. It was even upgraded by the JMA into a tropical storm and named KIROGI. Considering these factors bulletins are reissued for this system. At 14 HKT, KIROGI was centred about 1940 km (1050 NM) SE of Sapporo.
KIROGI is the third name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning wild goose. This name was used in 2000 and 2005.
鴻雁為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 3 個名字，由北韓提供。此名字曾於 2000 及 2005 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge is well-established to the northeast of KIROGI. The storm will move NW turning to NNW as it approaches the ridge axis at around 40°N.
副熱帶高壓脊於鴻雁東北面，預料鴻雁將向西北移動，於到達在北緯 40 度附近的脊線時轉向西北偏北。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/S0.0/18 HRS
As KIROGI travels north, sea temperatures will become hostile (below 24 degrees) and this will lead to its weakening into a tropical depression.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/S0.0/18 HRS
鴻雁北移將進入冷洋面 (低於 24 度海溫)，屆時將開始減弱為熱帶低氣壓。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
鴻雁於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/08/09 (Thu 四), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
13W continues to move north. At 14 HKT, 13W was centred about 900 km (490 NM) NNW of Wake Island.
13W 繼續北移。在下午 2 時，13W 集結在威克島西北偏北約 900 公里 (490 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
N/A 不適用
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The ridge to the west of 13W has weakened. As 13W travels north, the subtropical ridge northeast of the storm will assume steering influence and 13W will turn NW.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
13W is expected to maintain strength initially but weaken gradually later, as sea temperature continues to drop.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
預料 13W 將於初期維持強度，其後受較冷海水影響而逐漸減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
13W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/08/07 (Tue 二), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
13W is moving irregularly as it is steered by the ridges to its west, southeast and northeast. The western ridge is expected to weaken, and the eastern ridges will gradually drive the storm north. The northeastern ridge may strengthen later so that 13W's track should become more equatorward by t+72.
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
Sea temperatures are marginal for storm development. As 13W travels north seas will get even cooler, and should not be favourable for 13W to intensify.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
13W 附近海溫尚可，但隨著它北移海溫將進一步降低，這將會令 13W 的發展受限制。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
13W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/08/06 (Mon 一), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
