CHOI-WAN is the 88th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, meaning colourful cloud and is also the name of a housing estate. This name was used in 2003 and 2009.
CHOI-WAN is the 88th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, meaning colourful cloud and is also the name of a housing estate. This name was used in 2003 and 2009.
CHOI-WAN is expected to move north quickly along the western periphery of the subtropical ridge.
彩雲將沿副熱帶高壓脊西部向北快速移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/S0.0/24 HRS
CHOI-WAN has a large, ragged eye. Its intensity is not expected to change much as it moves north and while it undergoes extratropical transition, which should be complete by t+48.
CHOI-WAN is the 88th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, meaning colourful cloud and is also the name of a housing estate. This name was used in 2003 and 2009.
The weakness in the subtropical ridge is located north of CHOI-WAN. The storm is expected to turn north in the next 12 hours and then accelerate along the western periphery of the Pacific subtropical ridge.
副熱帶高壓脊的弱點於彩雲以北,預料彩雲會於未來 12 小時北轉,其後沿太平洋副高西部向北加速移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
CHOI-WAN is wrapping an eye. It is expected to intensify in the next 24 hours in warm seas with decent outflow, and should start to weaken after t+36 as it enters cooler seas. Extratropical transition should be complete by t+72.
CHOI-WAN is moving westwards quickly. At 8 am, CHOI-WAN was centred about 1400 km (760 NM) ESE of Iwo Jima.
彩雲正以高速西移。在上午 8 時,彩雲集結在硫磺島東南偏東約 1400 公里 (760 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
CHOI-WAN is the 88th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, meaning colourful cloud and is also the name of a housing estate. This name was used in 2003 and 2009.
The subtropical ridge is weakening and a break is evident near 150°E. As a result, CHOI-WAN is expected to turn north near t+24. The storm is forecast to accelerate to the north thereafter due to the dominance of the subtropical ridge to its east.
CHOI-WAN is expected to intensify in the next 36 hours in warm seas with decent divergence aloft. As the storm moves further north, it will enter cooler seas and will start to weaken near t+48. Extratropical transition should start by t+72 and be complete by t+96.
CHOI-WAN has intensified into a severe tropical storm. At 8 am, CHOI-WAN was centred about 630 km (340 NM) W of Wake Island.
彩雲已增強為強烈熱帶風暴。在上午 8 時,彩雲集結在威克島以西約 630 公里 (340 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
CHOI-WAN is the 88th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, meaning colourful cloud and is also the name of a housing estate. This name was used in 2003 and 2009.
CHOI-WAN will move WNW quickly along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 36 hours. The ridge will weaken at that time, allowing CHOI-WAN to turn sharply to the north near t+48. The storm is forecast to accelerate to the north thereafter due to the dominance of the subtropical ridge to its east.
CHOI-WAN is gradually intensifying in warm seas. It is expected to intensify until t+72, after which it will enter cooler seas and will weaken gradually. Extratropical transition should start by t+96 and be complete by t+120.
CHOI-WAN has intensified into a tropical storm; the JTWC assigned it the storm number 23W. At 8 am, CHOI-WAN was centred about 50 km (25 NM) SW of Wake Island.
CHOI-WAN is the 88th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, meaning colourful cloud and is also the name of a housing estate. This name was used in 2003 and 2009.
The subtropical ridge north of CHOI-WAN has strengthened over the past 12 hours and has filled the weakness. The storm is now accelerating to the WNW, and such motion is expected to continue until t+72. The ridge will weaken at that time, allowing CHOI-WAN to turn sharply to the north.
CHOI-WAN's convections consolidated over the past 18 hours. The storm will intensify gradually in the next 72 hours in warm seas. As outflow improves, more substantial development is expected near t+72. The storm will start to weaken after t+96 as sea temperatures decrease.
Tropical disturbance 99W has intensified into a tropical depression. The JMA upgraded it into a tropical storm and named it CHOI-WAN. At 2 pm, CHOI-WAN was centred about 80 km (40 NM) S of Wake Island.
CHOI-WAN is the 88th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, meaning colourful cloud and is also the name of a housing estate. This name was used in 2003 and 2009.
There is a shallow break in the subtropical ridge north of CHOI-WAN. The storm is expected to move NW in the short run. As the ridge strengthens and fills the break, CHOI-WAN will accelerate to the WNW along its southern periphery through t+72.
CHOI-WAN is a relatively large system and its convections are restricted to its periphery. Intensification is expected to be slow initially. As the storm better organizes itself and enters a region with weaker vertical wind shear, more development is expected beyond t+36.