MERANTI has turned northwest and is now crossing northeastern South China Sea just off the coast of western Taiwan. It has also weakened into category 4. At 2 pm, MERANTI was centred about 50 km (25 NM) W of Kaohsiung. The HK Observatory issued the #1 Standby Signal at 10:10 am today.

莫蘭蒂開始向西北移動，現正橫過南海東北部並掠過台灣以西海域，同時減弱至四級強度。在下午 2 時，莫蘭蒂集結在高雄以西約 50 公里 (25 海里)。香港天文台於今早 10 時 10 分發出一號戒備信號。

MERANTI is the 106th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Malaysia, and is the name of a type of trees producing soft wood suitable for construction. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.

莫蘭蒂為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 106 個名字，由馬來西亞提供，為一種樹的名字，其木質較軟，是常用的建築材料。此名曾於 2004 及 2010 年使用。

The subtropical ridge is seen building to the southeast of MERANTI, and has weakened to the west of the storm. This is the likely reason for the storm to turn northwest earlier than predicted. MERANTI will move northwest turning to north along the southwestern to western periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 36 hours, and later recurve inland.

副熱帶高壓脊於莫蘭蒂東南方增強，西方則減弱，令風暴開始向西北移動的時間比預期早。預料莫蘭蒂將於未來 36 小時沿副高西南轉西部向西北轉北移動，其後於內陸轉向。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T6.0/7.0/W1.5/24 HRS

MERANTI intensified slightly last night, but its eye is now filling quickly and eyewall cloud-top temperatures have risen appreciably. With increased land interaction, MERANTI will continue to weaken before and after landfall, and dissipate inland near t+48.

莫蘭蒂昨晚稍為增強，但現在其風眼正被填塞，眼牆雲頂溫度明顯上升。隨著陸地影響增加，風暴將於餘下時間繼續減弱，並預料會於約 48 小時後在內陸消散。

Very hot and hazy weather will continue to affect Hong Kong today. Northwesterly winds may strengthen slightly tomorrow (mid-autumn festival) especially at offshore areas and on high ground. MERANTI's outer rainbands may also bring showers to the territory.

香港今天天氣酷熱及有煙霞。西北風或於明日 (中秋節) 略為增強，尤其是離岸地區及高地。莫蘭蒂的雨帶亦有機會為本港帶來驟雨。

2016/09/15 (Thu 四), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

As MERANTI turns northwest sooner than expected, higher signals are deemed unlikely at this point.

由於莫蘭蒂比預期較早向西北移動，改發更高信號的機會較小。

MERANTI intensified into the second category 5 super typhoon this year yesterday, and is moving steadily towards the Luzon Strait. At 2 pm, MERANTI was centred about 480 km (260 NM) SE of Kaohsiung.

莫蘭蒂昨日增強為本年度第二個五級超級颱風，並正穩定移向呂宋海峽。在下午 2 時，莫蘭蒂集結在高雄東南約 480 公里 (260 海里)。

MERANTI is the 106th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Malaysia, and is the name of a type of trees producing soft wood suitable for construction. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.

莫蘭蒂為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 106 個名字，由馬來西亞提供，為一種樹的名字，其木質較軟，是常用的建築材料。此名曾於 2004 及 2010 年使用。

MERANTI will continue to move WNW along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 24 hours. As the ridge retreats ahead of a propagating trough, MERANTI will turn northwest after t+24 and move towards the Guangdong-Fujian border. The storm is expected to turn poleward inland as it moves along the western periphery of the weakened ridge. Interaction between MERANTI and MALAKAS is deemed unlikely at this point.

莫蘭蒂將於未來 24 小時繼續沿副熱帶高壓脊西南部向西北偏西移動。隨後西風槽到來令副高東退，這將使莫蘭蒂向西北移動，趨向廣東及福建交界附近。登陸後，預料莫蘭蒂將沿副高西部向北移動。現時預料莫蘭蒂及馬勒卡將不會出現相互影響的情況。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T7.5/7.5/D1.0/24 HRS

MERANTI's central dense overcast continued to deepen last night and is currently assessed at 150 knots (278 km/h). The storm is expected to weaken as it experiences land interaction, but it will still enter into the South China Sea as a violent typhoon unless it takes damage by making landfall at Taiwan. MERANTI should continue to weaken steadily in northeastern South China Sea, and the rate of weakening will increase after landfall.

莫蘭蒂的中心密集雲帶於昨晚繼續發展，現時估計風速為 150 節 (每小時 278 公里)。受地形影響，預料莫蘭蒂將會減弱，但除非它登陸台灣令結構受損，否則風暴仍會以猛烈颱風姿態進入南海。預料莫蘭蒂將於南海東北部繼續減弱，減弱速度會於登陸後加快。

MERANTI's subsidence will result in very hot and hazy weather in Hong Kong tomorrow. Northwesterly winds are expected to strengthen on Thursday (mid-autumn festival) as the storm draws near. There will also be squally showers which may last until the weekend.

與莫蘭蒂相關的下沉氣流將於明日香港帶來酷熱天氣，並有煙霞。當莫蘭蒂於周四 (中秋節) 進一步靠近香港，預料本地西北風將會增強。本港亦會受狂風驟雨影響，直至周末。

2016/09/14 (Wed 三), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

MERANTI is experiencing rapid intensification and is now a category 4 super typhoon. At 2 pm, MERANTI was centred about 1050 km (570 NM) ESE of Kaohsiung.

莫蘭蒂出現爆發性增強，成為一四級超級颱風。在下午 2 時，莫蘭蒂集結在高雄東南偏東約 1050 公里 (570 海里)。

MERANTI is the 106th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Malaysia, and is the name of a type of trees producing soft wood suitable for construction. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.

莫蘭蒂為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 106 個名字，由馬來西亞提供，為一種樹的名字，其木質較軟，是常用的建築材料。此名曾於 2004 及 2010 年使用。

MERANTI is expected to move WNW along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 48 hours. A mid-latitude trough is expected to arrive near that time and the ridge may retreat somewhat, allowing MERANTI to take a poleward turn. Apart from the uncertainty associated with the timing of the ridge's retreat, the developing 18W may also influence the development of the subtropical ridge. Some models are even predicting interaction between the two systems, but we consider this scenario unlikely at this point, at least not before MERANTI makes landfall in southeastern China.

預料莫蘭蒂將於未來 48 小時沿副熱帶高壓脊西南部向西北偏西移動。隨後一道西風槽將到來並令副高略為東退，令莫蘭蒂朝較北方向移動。除了與副高東退時間相關的不確定性外，正在發展的 18W 亦有機會影響副高的發展。部分數值模式更預料兩氣旋將相互影響，但本站暫時估計此情況於莫蘭蒂登陸中國東南沿岸前發生的機會不大。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T6.5/6.5/D2.0/24 HRS

MERANTI has developed a solid central dense overcast with a small eye at the centre. The storm is in a pool of very warm waters (29 to 30 degrees) with little shear and decent divergence, and further intensification is likely in the next 24 hours. At that point, MERANTI is expected to reach the peak intensity supported in the region, and should start to weaken as it is influenced by landmasses. Rapid weakening should follow after MERANTI makes landfall in southeastern China.

莫蘭蒂發展出一紮實中心密集雲帶，中心有一細小風眼。風暴附近海溫較高 (29 至 30 度)，加上垂直風切變偏低且輻散良好，預料風暴會於未來 24 小時繼續增強。屆時莫蘭蒂或將到達該區可容納強度上限，並因陸地影響而開始減弱。莫蘭蒂減弱的速度將於登陸中國東南部後加快。

As MERANTI approaches the Luzon Strait, its subsidence will result in very hot and hazy weather in Hong Kong tomorrow and on Wednesday. Squally showers will become more frequent on Thursday when MERANTI gets closer.

隨著莫蘭蒂靠近呂宋海峽，其相關下沉氣流將於明日及周三為香港帶來酷熱天氣，並有煙霞。當莫蘭蒂於周四進一步靠近香港，狂風驟雨將漸轉頻密。

2016/09/13 (Tue 二), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

MERANTI has gradually intensified into a typhoon. At 2 pm, MERANTI was centred about 1620 km (870 NM) ESE of Kaohsiung.

莫蘭蒂逐步增強為一颱風。在下午 2 時，莫蘭蒂集結在高雄東南偏東約 1620 公里 (870 海里)。

MERANTI is the 106th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Malaysia, and is the name of a type of trees producing soft wood suitable for construction. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.

莫蘭蒂為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 106 個名字，由馬來西亞提供，為一種樹的名字，其木質較軟，是常用的建築材料。此名曾於 2004 及 2010 年使用。

MERANTI is expected to move WNW along the southern turning to southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 72 hours. A mid-latitude trough is expected to arrive near t+72 and the ridge may retreat somewhat, allowing MERANTI to take a poleward turn. There is some uncertainty in the timing of the ridge's retreat, but the numerical models are showing better agreement than yesterday.

預料莫蘭蒂將於未來 72 小時沿副熱帶高壓脊南轉西南部向西北偏西移動。隨後一道西風槽將到來並令副高略為東退，令莫蘭蒂朝較北方向移動。副高東退的時間尚有不確定性，但數值模式預測比昨天較為一致。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/D2.0/24 HRS

MERANTI's is intensifying quite fast thanks to the low vertical wind shear and warm sea temperatures in the region. The storm will continue to intensify in the next 48 hours, with the possibility of rapid deepening. Thereafter, MERANTI's strength depends on whether it tracks across Taiwan as it turns north.

受惠於低垂直風切變及較高海溫，莫蘭蒂的增強速度較快。預料風暴會於未來 48 小時繼續發展，並有機會出現爆發性增強。至於其後莫蘭蒂的強度將取決於它會否靠近或登陸台灣。

As MERANTI approaches the Luzon Strait, its subsidence may result in very hot and hazy weather in Hong Kong on Tuesday and Wednesday.

隨著莫蘭蒂靠近呂宋海峽，其相關下沉氣流或於周二及周三為香港帶來酷熱天氣，並有煙霞。

2016/09/12 (Mon 一), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

16W has intensified into a tropical storm, and was named MERANTI. At 2 pm, MERANTI was centred about 690 km (370 NM) WNW of Guam.

16W 已增強為熱帶風暴，被命名為莫蘭蒂。在下午 2 時，莫蘭蒂集結在關島西北偏西約 690 公里 (370 海里)。

MERANTI is the 106th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Malaysia, and is the name of a type of trees producing soft wood suitable for construction. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.

莫蘭蒂為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 106 個名字，由馬來西亞提供，為一種樹的名字，其木質較軟，是常用的建築材料。此名曾於 2004 及 2010 年使用。

MERANTI is expected to move WNW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 72 hours. At that time, a mid-latitude trough is forecast to propagate eastward in northern China and erode the ridge, allowing MERANTI to recurve. Numerical models are predicting a stronger ridge than yesterday and thus the forecast track is shifted to the west accordingly.

預料莫蘭蒂將於未來 72 小時沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西北偏西移動。隨後一道西風槽將於中國北部東移並侵蝕副高，令莫蘭蒂轉向。數值模式預測副高強度比昨天的預測為強，因此預測路徑向西調整。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS

MERANTI's low-level circulation centre is partially exposed with most convections displaced to its south. Vertical wind shear is expected to decrease; as the storm moves move into a pool of warmer waters, intensification is expected in the next 72 to 96 hours, with a chance of explosive deepening near t+72.

莫蘭蒂的低層環流中心部分外露，大部分對流被切離至其南半圓。預料垂直風切變將下降，加上莫蘭蒂將移進較暖海域，預料風暴將於未來 72 至 96 小時增強，更有可能於 72 小時後出現爆發性增強。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料莫蘭蒂於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2016/09/11 (Sun 日), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

N/A 不適用

Tropical disturbance 98W near Guam has intensified into tropical depression 16W. At 2 pm, 16W was centred about 260 km (140 NM) W of Guam.

於關島附近的熱帶擾動 98W 已增強為熱帶低氣壓 16W。在下午 2 時，16W 集結在關島以西約 260 公里 (140 海里)。

N/A 不適用

16W is situated in the southern periphery of a broad subtropical ridge. As the ridge strengthens north of 16W, the storm is expected to move WNW in the next 72 hours.

16W 正處於一廣闊副熱帶高壓脊之南沿。隨著該脊於 16W 以北增強，預料風暴將於未來 72 小時向西北偏西移動。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS

16W is showing decent banding signature but its convections are rather loose. It will move into a pool of warmer waters and atmospheric conditions are conducive to tropical cyclone development. 16W should strengthen steadily in the next 72 hours.

16W 旋捲性頗佳，但對流較為鬆散。預料 16W 將移進較暖海域，加上大氣環境有利熱帶氣旋發展，預料風暴將於未來 72 小時穩定增強。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料 16W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2016/09/10 (Sat 六), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

N/A 不適用