MALOU is expected to move NE or NNE along the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 24 hours.
預料瑪瑙將於未來 24 小時沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北或東北偏北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T1.0/1.5/W0.5/24 HRS
MALOU's core convections have thinned. The storm is expected to maintain intensity as it transforms into an extratropical cyclone in the next 24 hours.
瑪瑙中心附近對流轉薄。預料風暴將於未來 24 小時轉化為溫帶氣旋,期間強度維持。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料瑪瑙於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。
Next Update
下次更新
This is the final bulletin on MALOU.
這是本站對瑪瑙的最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO within the next 3 days 未來三天香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Statistical Model-Based TC Signal Probabilities [Experimental] 基於統計模型之熱帶氣旋警告信號機率 [試驗版]
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告
(請按發佈編號顯示內容)
MALOU will continue to move northeast along the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge, with a possible poleward deflection after t+24.
瑪瑙將於繼續沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北移動,移向或於 24 小時後較為偏北。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/1.5/S0.0/24 HRS
MALOU's stronger convections are still confined to the eastern and southern semicircles. Shear conditions are marginal and this situation will likely continue in the next 24 hours. Extratropical transition is expected between t+24 and t+36.
Tropical disturbance 96W east of Taiwan has intensified into a tropical depression. The JMA considers it a tropical storm and names it MALOU. At 2 pm, MALOU was centred about 90 km (50 NM) WNW of Okinawa.
MALOU is situated in the northwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge that covers much of the tropical northwestern Pacific. The storm is expected to move northeast steadily in the next 72 hours, nearing southern Japan on Thursday.
Divergence is restricted in MALOU's northwestern quadrant; most of its convections are in its eastern and southern semicircles. The storm is expected to intensify in moderate atmospheric environment and warm seas, potentially reaching severe tropical storm strength as it nears the Kanto region. Extratropical transition is expected near t+72.