Name of System 系統名稱 |
TY (CAT. 1) FITOW 一級颱風菲特 |

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Bulletin Number 發佈編號 |
#3 |
Time of Report 報告時間 |
2007/08/31, 18:45 HKT (10:45 UTC) |
Time of Observation 觀測時間 |
2007/08/31, 14 HKT (06 UTC) |
Position 位置 |
27.1 N, 154.8 E |
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 |
80 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 100 knots 節) |
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 |
65 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 95 knots 節) |
Pressure (JMA) 氣壓 (日本氣象廳) |
970 hPa |
Movement 移向和移速 |
325 deg 度 (NW 西北), 6 knots 節 |
Area(s) that will be affected 受影響地區 |
N/A |
Forecast Track 預測路徑圖 |
 |
Overview 總覽 |
FITOW moved WNW to NW in the past 24 hours, gradually making its turn towards the west. Meanwhile its intensity remained rather stable during the same period, with only slight intensification. As of 06 UTC, FITOW was centred 1720 km (930 NM) southeast of Tokyo, Japan.
菲特昨夜轉向西北偏西至西北移動,同時增強了少許。在 06 UTC, 菲特集結在東京之東南約 1720 公里 (930 海里)。
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Movement Analysis 路徑分析 |
Subject to the influence of the building ridge NE of the storm, FITOW turned NW last night. However models diverge concerning the later movement of the system - with a few of them depicting a SW movement due to a strengthening ridge south of Japan. Nevertheless, the majority of the models forecast a weaker ridge south of Japan, allowing FITOW to be influenced more by the subtropical ridge NE of it. In this sense, a general WNW motion can be maintained.
In the extended forecast period, a mid-latitude trough is expected to induce a weakness in the ridge, allowing FITOW to recurve.
菲特開始受到在其東北面的脊場影響,於過去24小時轉向西北移動。預報模式對菲特的移向有一定的分歧,部分模式預計在日本南部的脊場將會增強並引導菲特向西南方移動,但大部分的預報模式均預計在菲特東北面的脊場將會比日本南部的脊場強,菲特因而能繼續向西北偏西移動。在 t+72 以後,預料一道西風槽將會在副熱帶高壓脊形成一個弱點,菲特將會逐步轉向偏北方向移動。 |
Intensity Analysis 強度分析 |
As of 06 UTC, FITOW's convection wraps 1.05 on the log10 spiral which yields a T-number of 4.0-4.5 or equivalently 65-80 knots wind (typhoon category 1). FITOW's restricted equatorward outflow, together with the introduction of drier air, have led to its decrease in intensification rate in the past 24 hours. It is expected that FITOW will intensify at less than climatological rate in the remainder of the forecast period.
在 06 UTC,菲特的T號碼為4.0-4.5,即 65-80 節的風速 (一級颱風)。菲特的橫向輻散通道有被阻礙之勢,加上較乾燥的空氣,使得菲特的增強速度減慢。預料菲特將在其後72小時以比氣候平均值稍慢的速度增強。 |
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響 |
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
菲特於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。 |
Next Update 下次更新 |
19 HKT, 2007/09/01 (or earlier 或更早) |
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