Name of System 系統名稱 |
TY (CAT. 2) NARI 二級颱風 百合 |

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Bulletin Number 發佈編號 |
#2 |
Time of Report 報告時間 |
2007/09/14, 17:30 HKT (09:30 UTC) |
Time of Observation 觀測時間 |
2007/09/14, 14 HKT (06 UTC) |
Position 位置 |
25.0 N, 128.1 E |
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 |
95 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 115 knots 節) |
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 |
85 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 120 knots 節) |
Pressure (JMA) 氣壓 (日本氣象廳) |
955 hPa |
Movement 移向和移速 |
310 deg 度 (NW 西北), 11 knots 節 |
Area(s) that will be affected 受影響地區 |
Ryukyu Islands 琉球群島 |
Forecast Track 預測路徑圖 |
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Overview 總覽 |
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NARI moved WNW turning to NW in the past 24 hours, intensifying rapidly during the same period. At 06 UTC, NARI was centred 140 km (80 NM) SSE of Okinawa.
百合於過去 24 小時向西北偏西至西北移動,並迅速增強。於 06 UTC,百合集結在沖繩島東南偏南約 140 公里 (80 海里)。
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Movement Analysis 路徑分析 |
A broad subtropical ridge is anchored ENE of NARI. With the ridge as the primary steering force, it is expected that NARI will travel NW along the southwestern periphery of the ridge in the next 12-24 hours, gradually turning to NNW. Between t+24 and t+36, NARI will cross the ridge axis, and will be subjected to the westerlies to induce a recurvature.
一個廣闊的副熱帶高壓脊正處於百合東北偏東部,百合將於未來 12 至 24 小時沿該脊之西南部向西北轉西北偏北移動。預料百合將會在 24 至 36 小時之後橫過副熱帶高壓脊的脊線,隨後受西風帶的影響轉向東北移動。 |
Intensity Analysis 強度分析 |
As of 06 UTC, NARI's T-number was 5.0, or equivalently carried 90 knots wind (typhoon category 2). Due to excellent poleward outflow, NARI has intensified at greater than climatological rate during the past 24 hours. It is forecast that NARI will strengthen at climatological rate before crossing the ridge axis due to the improving poleward outflow and low to moderate vertical wind shear. NARI's strength should decrease after crossing the ridge axis as it will be subjected to lower sea surface temperatures and higher vertical wind shear.
在 06 UTC,百合的T號碼為5.0,即 90 節的風速 (二級颱風)。受到極好的極向輻散通道影響,百合在過去 24 小時急速增強。預料繼續受到良好的極向輻散通道及輕微至中等的垂直風切變影響,百合可於未來 24 小時以氣候平均值增強。當百合橫過脊線以後,它將受較冷的海水及強烈垂直風切變的影響而減弱。 |
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響 |
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
百合於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。 |
Next Update 下次更新 |
19 HKT, 2007/09/15 (or earlier 或更早) |
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