Name of System 系統名稱 |
TY (CAT. 1) PEIPAH 一級颱風 琵琶 |

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Bulletin Number 發佈編號 |
#4 |
Time of Report 報告時間 |
2007/11/06, 17:30 HKT (09:30 UTC) |
Time of Observation 觀測時間 |
2007/11/06, 14 HKT (06 UTC) |
Position 位置 |
18.6 N, 118.5 E |
1-min. Average Wind Speed 1分鐘平均風速 |
75 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 95 knots 節) |
10-min. Average Wind Speed 10分鐘平均風速 |
70 knots 節 (Gusts 陣風: 90 knots 節) |
Pressure 氣壓 |
970 hPa |
Past 6-hr Movement 過去6小時移向和移速 |
NW 西北 at 5 knots 節 |
Area(s) that are affected 受影響地區 |
Central and northern South China Sea 南海中北部 |
Forecast Track 預測路徑圖 |
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Overview 總覽 |
HKO Satellite Image 香港天文台衛星圖 |
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PEIPAH remained quasi-stationary in the past 24 hours, but generally drifting northwestwards. Meanwhile, PEIPAH became more organized today and has developed a banding eye. At 14 HKT, PEIPAH was centred 610 km (330 NM) SE of Hong Kong.
琵琶於過去 24 小時移動緩慢,但大致向西北移動。此外,琵琶的結構逐漸轉好,並發展出一雲捲風眼。在 14 HKT,琵琶集結在香港之東南約 610 公里 (330 海里)。
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Movement Analysis 路徑分析 |
PEIPAH is now predominantly steered by the subtropical ridge ENE of it, inducing a weak NW movement. A transition in the steering mechanism from the subtropical ridge to a new ridge that extends from northern Vietnam should occur in the next one or two days, after which PEIPAH will travel SW to WSW along the southeastern periphery of the newly-established ridge.
琵琶正沿副熱帶高壓脊的西南部向西北方向移動。隨著在越南北部的另一個高壓脊的建立及東移,琵琶將於一兩天內沿該脊的東南部轉向西南或西南偏西移動。 |
Intensity Analysis 強度分析 |
Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24 HRS
PEIPAH is currently situated in an average environment, with moderate sea temperature and vertical wind shear. PEIPAH's future strength will be highly dependent on its future track. In this bulletin, PEIPAH will be able to avoid the high-shear area and remain at typhoon strength before making landfall at Vietnam.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24 HRS
琵琶正處於大致適中的環境,該區海水溫度尚可,而垂直風切變則為中等。琵琶將來所位處的緯度將決定究竟琵琶能否再度增強。在本發佈中,琵琶將以西南偏西的方向移動,從而避開高垂直風切變之地帶,並維持強度直至登陸越南。 |
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響 |
Seas south to southeast of Hong Kong may experience strong winds in the next few days.
香港以南/東南的海域將於未來幾天受強風影響。 |
Next Update 下次更新 |
23 HKT, 2007/11/07 (or earlier 或更早) |
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率 |
Signal 信號 |
t+12 |
t+24 |
t+36 |
t+48 |
t+72 |
t+96 |
t+120 |
t+144 |
Standby 戒備 #1 |
Low |
Low |
Low |
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Strong Wind 強風 #3 |
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Gale/Storm 烈暴風 #8 |
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G/S Incr. 烈暴增強 #9 |
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Hurricane 颶風 #10 |
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Notes 註:
1) "Signal" represents having issued that signal or above. "信號" 指該信號或更高。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的概率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 60 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。 |