NEOGURI has recurved into a NNE direction. At 14 HKT, NEOGURI was centred about 250 km (130 NM) WSW of Hong Kong. The Observatory has issued the Strong Wind Signal Number 3 at 20:40 HKT on 18th April.

浣熊開始轉向東北偏北移動。在 14 HKT，浣熊集結在香港西南偏西約 250 公里 (130 海里)。香港天文台已於 4 月 18 日 20:40 HKT 發出三號強風信號。

NEOGURI will travel NE to NNE along the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge in the remainder of the forecast period.

預料浣熊將於餘下時間沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北至東北偏北移動，趨向華南沿岸。

Current T-number: T3.5/4.0/W1.0/24 HRS
NEOGURI is forecast to weaken rapidly as a result of lack of moisture from the ocean, higher vertical wind shear and land interaction.

現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/4.0/W1.0/24 HRS
預料浣熊將由於缺乏由海洋提供的水氣、垂直風切變增強及陸地影響而急速減弱。

NEOGURI will bring heavy rain, strong winds and rough seas to Hong Kong and adjacent areas from today to Monday. Obtain information related to NEOGURI regularly to ensure safety. Also notice that NEOGURI may be very close to Hong Kong on Sunday (although weakened).

浣熊會於今天至下星期一為香港及鄰近地區帶來大雨、狂風和大浪。請定時留意關於浣熊的最新消息以確保安全。同時亦請留意雖然浣熊即將減弱，它可能於週日非常接近本港。

23 HKT, 2008/04/19 (or earlier 或更早)

NEOGURI has been moving N in the past 12 hours. At 20 HKT, NEOGURI was centred about 460 km (250 NM) SW of Hong Kong. The Observatory has issued the Strong Wind Signal Number 3 at 20:40 HKT on 18th April.

浣熊於過去 12 小時大致向北移動。在 20 HKT，浣熊集結在香港西南偏南約 460 公里 (250 海里)。香港天文台已於 4 月 18 日 20:40 HKT 發出三號強風信號。

NEOGURI is reaching the NW edge of the subtropical ridge, and a turn to NNE / NE may be observed in the next 24 hours. As seen from steering charts, as NEOGURI weakens, it will turn into a more northeasterly direction as it is subject to steering from lower and lower levels.

隨著浣熊逐漸移到副熱帶高壓脊的西北邊緣，浣熊很可能於未來 24 小時開始其東北偏北至東北的路徑。從駛流圖可以得知，當浣熊減弱，它將會受到較低層大氣環境的影響而向較為偏東北的方向移動，趨向華南沿岸。

Current T-number: T4.5/5.0/W0.5/24 HRS
NEOGURI is forecast to weaken slightly before making landfall at western Guangdong, after which It will weaken rapidly as a result of lack of moisture from the ocean, higher vertical wind shear and land interaction.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.0/W0.5/24 HRS
預料浣熊將在登陸廣東西部沿岸前稍微減弱，隨後將由於缺乏由海洋提供的水氣、垂直風切變增強及陸地影響而急速減弱。

NEOGURI will bring heavy rain, strong winds and rough seas to Hong Kong and adjacent areas from today to Monday. Obtain information related to NEOGURI regularly to ensure safety. Also notice that NEOGURI may be very close to Hong Kong on Sunday (although weakened).

浣熊會於今天至下星期一為香港及鄰近地區帶來大雨、狂風和大浪。請定時留意關於浣熊的最新消息以確保安全。同時亦請留意雖然浣熊即將減弱，它可能於週日非常接近本港。

16 HKT, 2008/04/19 (or earlier 或更早)

NEOGURI continued to move NNW in the past 12 hours, maintaining intensity in the meantime. At 08 HKT, NEOGURI was centred about 550 km (300 NM) SSW of Hong Kong. The Observatory has issued the Standby Signal Number 1 at 16:15 HKT on 17th April.

浣熊於過去 6 小時維持強度並持續向西北偏北移動。在 08 HKT，浣熊集結在香港西南偏南約 550 公里 (330 海里)。香港天文台已於 4 月 17 日 16:15 HKT 發出一號戒備信號。

The NW edge of the subtropical ridge retreated a bit last night. NEOGURI is expected to recurve after crossing the ridge axis and move in a NNE direction near landfall.

影響浣熊的副熱帶高壓脊西北沿於昨晚稍稍東退。預料當浣熊橫過脊線後將會沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部轉向東北偏北移動。

Current T-number: T5.0/5.0/S0.0/24 HRS
The arriving weak northeast monsoon allowed NEOGURI's outflow channel to improve and thus maintaining intensity in the past 12 hours. The system's intensity should have peaked by now and it is forecast to weaken slightly before skirting the eastern coast of Hainan, after which It will weaken rapidly as a result of lower sea temperatures, higher vertical wind shear and land interaction.

現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.0/S0.0/24 HRS
一股微弱東北季候風為浣熊提供良好的輻散通道，令其於過去 12 小時維持強度。浣熊已到達巔峰強度，預料它將在橫過海南以東海域前稍微減弱，隨後將由於海水溫度逐漸減低、垂直風切變增強及陸地影響而急速減弱。

NEOGURI may bring heavy rain, strong winds and rough seas to Hong Kong and adjacent areas from later today to Monday. Obtain information related to NEOGURI regularly to ensure safety.

浣熊將於今天稍後至下星期一為香港及鄰近地區帶來大雨、狂風和大浪。請定時留意關於浣熊的最新消息以確保安全。

23 HKT, 2008/04/18 (or earlier 或更早)

NEOGURI maintained intensity in the past 6 hours. At 20 HKT, NEOGURI was centred about 680 km (370 NM) SSW of Hong Kong. The Observatory has issued the Standby Signal Number 1 at 16:15 HKT.

浣熊於過去 6 小時維持強度。在 20 HKT，浣熊集結在香港西南偏南約 680 公里 (370 海里)。香港天文台已於 16:15 HKT 發出一號戒備信號。

NEOGURI has been moving N in the past six hours. It is expected to recurve after crossing the ridge axis and move in a NE direction near landfall.

浣熊於過去 6 小時向偏北方向移動。預料當浣熊橫過脊線後將會沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部轉向東北加速移動。

Current T-number: T4.5/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS [W0.5/06 HRS]
NEOGURI has been intensifying slightly in the past 24 hours due to enhanced outflow channels brought by the arriving westerly trough. The system's intensity should have peaked by now and it is forecast to weaken slightly before making landfall at eastern Hainan, after which It will weaken rapidly as a result of lower sea temperatures, higher vertical wind shear and land interaction.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS [W0.5/06 HRS]
西風槽繼續為浣熊提供良好的輻散通道，令該系統於過去 24 小時繼續增強。浣熊已到達巔峰強度，預料它將在登陸海南東部前稍微減弱，隨後將由於海水溫度逐漸減低、垂直風切變增強及陸地影響而急速減弱。

NEOGURI may bring heavy rain, strong winds and rough seas to Hong Kong and adjacent areas from tomorrow to Monday. Obtain information related to NEOGURI regularly to ensure safety.

浣熊將於明天至下星期一為香港及鄰近地區帶來大雨、狂風和大浪。請定時留意關於浣熊的最新消息以確保安全。

13 HKT, 2008/04/18 (or earlier 或更早)

NEOGURI has intensified further in the last 24 hours and has started a more northerly track. At 14 HKT, NEOGURI was centred about 750 km (410 NM) SSW of Hong Kong. The Observatory has issued the Standby Signal Number 1 at 16:15 HKT.

浣熊於過去 24 小時略作增強，並開始其偏北路徑。在 14 HKT，浣熊集結在香港西南偏南約 750 公里 (410 海里)。香港天文台已於 16:15 HKT 發出一號戒備信號。

NEOGURI has turned poleward last night, followed by a NNW track. NEOGURI is expected to recurve after crossing the ridge axis and move in a NE direction near landfall.

浣熊昨晚轉向偏北方向移動，而當浣熊橫過脊線後將會沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部轉向東北加速移動。

Current T-number: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS
NEOGURI has been intensifying slightly in the past 24 hours due to enhanced outflow channels brought by the arriving westerly trough. The system's intensity should have peaked by now and it is forecast to weaken slightly before making landfall at eastern Hainan, after which It will weaken rapidly as a result of lower sea temperatures, higher vertical wind shear and land interaction.

現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS
西風槽繼續為浣熊提供良好的輻散通道，令該系統於過去 24 小時繼續增強。浣熊已到達巔峰強度，預料它將在登陸海南東部前稍微減弱，隨後將由於海水溫度逐漸減低、垂直風切變增強及陸地影響而急速減弱。

NEOGURI may bring heavy rain, strong winds and rough seas to Hong Kong and adjacent areas from tomorrow to Monday. Obtain information related to NEOGURI regularly to ensure safety.

浣熊將於明天至下星期一為香港及鄰近地區帶來大雨、狂風和大浪。請定時留意關於浣熊的最新消息以確保安全。

00 HKT, 2008/04/18 (or earlier 或更早)

NEOGURI has intensified rapidly in the last 24 hours, attaining typhoon status today afternoon. At 14 HKT, NEOGURI was centred about 380 km (200 NM) S of Xisha.

浣熊於過去 24 小時急速增強，並於中午增強為颱風。在 14 HKT，浣熊集結在西沙以南約 380 公里 (200 海里)。

A weakness induced by the arriving trough is clearly visible in the subtropical ridge ENE of NEOGURI, suggesting a turn to the NW/NNW is imminent. As the ridge axis is situated at about 18N, NEOGURI is expected to recurve and move in a NE direction when it approaches northern South China Sea.

一條西風槽正在浣熊東北偏東的副熱帶高壓脊造成一個弱點，表示浣熊即將轉向西北或西北偏北方向移動。由於副高脊線於約北緯 18 度，當浣熊向北移至該地區將會開始向東北移動。

Current T-number: T4.0/4.5/D1.5/24 HRS
NEOGURI has been intensifying at above climatological rate in the past 24 hours due to enhanced outflow channels brought by the arriving westerly trough. The system is forecast to intensify further under favorable environments before reaching 19N, after which It will weaken as a result of lower sea temperatures, higher vertical wind shear and land interaction.

現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.5/D1.5/24 HRS
剛到來的西風槽為浣熊提供更佳的輻散通道，令該系統於過去 24 小時急劇增強。預料浣熊能於良好環境下繼續增強，但當浣熊到達北緯 19 度時將由於海水溫度逐漸減低、垂直風切變增強及陸地影響而減弱。

The outer rainbands of NEOGURI may bring heavy rain to Hong Kong and adjacent areas in 3 days.

浣熊的外圍雨帶將於三天後為香港及鄰近地區帶來大雨。

19 HKT, 2008/04/17 (or earlier 或更早)

JMA, HKO and CWB upgraded 02W today, and JMA has named this tropical storm NEOGURI. At 14 HKT, NEOGURI was centred about 770 km (420 NM) SSE of Xisha.

JMA, HKO 及 CWB 均於今天升格 02W，而 JMA 已將 02W 命名為浣熊。在 14 HKT，浣熊集結在西沙東南偏南約 770 公里 (420 海里)。

Subject to the subtropical ridge NNE of NEOGURI, it has been moving WNW in the past 24 hours. The ridge has shown signs of retreat in the past 24 hours, and major models predict that this ridge will retreat further after t+24, allowing NEOGURI to turn poleward. The storm has also been moving slower at 10 knots in the past 24 hours. As the ridge axis is situated at about 19N, NEOGURI is expected to recurve and move in a NE direction when it approaches northern South China Sea. It should be noted that where the storm starts to recurve and the intensity it can gain play a considerable role in determining the affected area. At present, ECMWF forecasts a landfall at Pearl River Estuary in 120 hours while NOGAPS puts the storm towards the Gulf of Tonkin. GFS is somewhere in between --- making first landfall at Hainan and then recurving NE towards Pearl River Estuary. Therefore major models still differ significantly in terms of future track and landfall.

受到浣熊東北偏北的副熱帶高壓脊影響，該系統於過去 24 小時向西北偏西方向移動。該副高已於過去 24 小時逐漸東退，而各大預測模式亦指出該高壓脊將於 24 小時後加速東退，從而令浣熊轉向偏北方向移動。浣熊於過去 24 小時減速至約 10 節。由於副高脊線於約北緯 19 度，當浣熊向北移至該地區將會開始向東北移動。值得留意的是浣熊轉向的位置和可到達的強度將決定中國南部地區受影響的範圍。目前，ECMWF 預計浣熊將於 120 小時後於珠江口附近登陸，NOGAPS 預計浣熊將趨向北部灣，而 GFS 則顯示浣熊將分別於海南及珠江口作兩次登陸，可見各大模式在路徑上存在著頗大的分歧。

Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
At present, the sea surface temperature at central South China Sea is about 28 degrees. Coupled with low to moderate vertical wind shear, NEOGURI is expected to intensify into a typhoon when it traverses South China Sea. It will weaken as a result of lower sea temperatures and higher wind shear as it moves north of 18 - 20 degrees north.

現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
現時南海中部海水溫度約28度，且垂直風切變中等，預料浣熊可以於該環境中增強至颱風強度。隨後由於海水溫度逐漸減低及垂直風切變增強，浣熊將會減弱直至登陸。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours. However, extended period forecasts call for landfall in the vicinity of Hong Kong adjacent waters, which should be noticed if one engages in water activities.

浣熊於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。可是，根據 72 小時後的預測浣熊有可能靠近香港鄰近水域，參與水上活動人士應該加倍注意安全。

19 HKT, 2008/04/16 (or earlier 或更早)

JTWC has upgraded 99W into a tropical depression, and was given a temporary number 02W. 02W has intensified into a tropical storm at 20 HKT on the same day. At 20 HKT, 02W was centred about 1110 km (600 NM) SE of Xisha.

JTWC 在上午升格 99W 為熱帶低氣壓，並給予臨時編號 02W。該系統並於下午八時增強為一熱帶風暴。在 20 HKT，02W 集結在西沙東南約 1110 公里 (600 海里)。

Subject to the subtropical ridge north of 02W, it has been moving W in the past 24 hours. Major models predict that this ridge will retreat gradually after t+48 to t+72, allowing 02W to turn poleward. The additional easterly airstream is causing 02W to move faster at the time being, and this situation is expected to cease after t+24 to t+48 when the system turns poleward. As the ridge axis is situated at about 20N, 02W is expected to recurve and move in a NE direction when it approaches northern South China Sea. It should be noted that where the storm starts to recurve and the intensity it can gain play a considerable role in determining the affected area. At present, ECMWF forecasts a landfall at Shantou in 144 hours and NOGAPS favours a more western landfall (at Hainan).

受到 02W 以北的副熱帶高壓脊影響，該系統於過去 24 小時向偏西方向移動。各大預測模式均指出該高壓脊將於 48 至 72 小時後東退，從而令 02W 轉向偏北方向移動。另外，正影響該系統的偏東氣流令 02W 以更快速度向西移動，但隨著副高東退，此快速移動預計會於 24 至 48 小時後結束。由於副高脊線於約北緯 20 度，當 02W 向北移至該地區將會開始向東北移動。值得留意的是 02W 轉向的位置和可到達的強度將決定中國南部地區受影響的範圍。目前，ECMWF 預計 02W 將於 144 小時後於汕頭附近地區登陸，而 NOGAPS 則預計 02W 會於海南一帶登陸。

Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
At present, the sea surface temperature at central South China Sea is about 28 degrees. Coupled with low to moderate vertical wind shear, 02W is expected to intensify into a typhoon when it traverses South China Sea. It will weaken as a result of lower sea temperatures and higher wind shear as it moves north of 18 - 20 degrees north.

現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
現時南海中部海水溫度約28度，且垂直風切變中等，預料 02W 可以於該環境中增強至颱風強度。隨後由於海水溫度逐漸減低及垂直風切變增強，02W 將會減弱直至登陸。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours. However, extended period forecasts call for landfall in the vicinity of Hong Kong adjacent waters, which should be noticed if one engages in water activities.

02W 於未來的72小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。可是，根據 72 小時後的預測 02W 有可能靠近香港鄰近水域，參與水上活動人士應該加倍注意安全。

19 HKT, 2008/04/15 (or earlier 或更早)