Please click here for the plain text version of the track data. 請按此觀看純文字資料。
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象聽路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
NAKRI strengthened slightly last night, travelling NNE steadily at an increasing speed. At 14 HKT, NAKRI was centred about 640 km (350 NM) WNW of Iwo Jima.
NAKRI will traverse the ridge axis of the steering subtropical ridge and recurve under the influence of the westerlies..
娜基莉將橫過副熱帶高壓脊的脊線,受西風帶的影響向東北後轉東北偏東移動。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/D0.5/24 HRS
An area of warm sea surfaces and a slightly improved outflow channel have contributed to NAKRI's strengthening in the previous 24 hours. NAKRI will gradually weaken as it recurves (due to higher vertical wind shear and lower sea surface temperatures) and will start its transition into an extratropical cyclone in a baroclinic environment after t+24.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/D0.5/24 HRS 稍暖的海水及較好的輻散令娜基莉於昨天稍為增強。預料娜基莉將由於強垂直風切變及低海水溫度影響而逐漸減弱,並在斜壓環境中於 24 小時後開始轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
娜基莉於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2008/06/03 (or earlier 或更早)
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NAKRI will traverse the ridge axis of the steering subtropical ridge and recurve.
娜基莉將橫過副熱帶高壓脊的脊線向北後轉東北移動。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/4.5/W0.5/24 HRS
NAKRI will weaken as it recurves (due to higher vertical wind shear and lower sea surface temperatures) and will start its transition into an extratropical cyclone in a baroclinic environment after t+36.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.5/W0.5/24 HRS 娜基莉將由於強垂直風切變及低海水溫度影響而減弱,並在斜壓環境中於 36 小時後開始轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
娜基莉於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2008/06/02 (or earlier 或更早)
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Please click here for the plain text version of the track data. 請按此觀看純文字資料。
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象聽路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
NAKRI weakened dramatically since last night, averaging 10-15 knots in wind speed per 6 hours. At 14 HKT, NAKRI was centred about 1040 km (560 NM) WSW of Iwo Jima.
NAKRI will pass through the weakness between the high pressure cells and recurve.
娜基莉將通過圍繞它的兩個高壓中之弱點向北後轉東北移動。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.5/5.0/W2.0/24 HRS
NAKRI will weaken as it recurves (due to higher vertical wind shear and lower sea surface temperatures) and will start its transition into an extratropical cyclone in a baroclinic environment after t+60.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.0/W2.0/24 HRS 娜基莉將由於強垂直風切變及低海水溫度影響而減弱,並在斜壓環境中於 60 小時後開始轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
娜基莉於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2008/06/01 (or earlier 或更早)
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Please click here for the plain text version of the track data. 請按此觀看純文字資料。
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象聽路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
NAKRI replaced its eyewall in the past 24 hours and thus its strength has remained rather stable. At 14 HKT, NAKRI was centred about 1110 km (600 NM) SW of Iwo Jima.
A weakness is visible between the high pressure cells.The deepening mid-latitude trough will enhance the weakness and this will allow NAKRI to recurve.
圍繞娜基莉的兩個高壓中經已出現了弱點。預料一西風槽將使弱點加深並令娜基莉向北後轉東北移動。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T6.5/6.5/S0.0/24 HRS
NAKRI entered an eyewall replacement cycle earlier last night and a double eyewall was seen temporarily. This slowed down intensification during the past 24 hours. Under generally favourable environment before recurvature it is expected that NAKRI can still intensify a bit in the next 12 hours before reaching peak intensity. It will weaken as it recurves (due to higher vertical wind shear and lower sea surface temperatures) and will transit into an extratropical cyclone in a baroclinic environment after t+72 to t+96.
Please click here for the plain text version of the track data. 請按此觀看純文字資料。
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象聽路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
NAKRI underwent rapid intensification last night and has gained 30 knots in strength between 08 HKT and 14 HKT. It is now a category 4 typhoon. At 14 HKT, NAKRI was centred about 1070 km (580 NM) SSW of Iwo Jima.
The ridge depicted earlier in JTWC prognostic reasoning has formed and its eastern extension provides the WNW motion that NAKRI is currently undergoing. As the mid-latitude trough arrives near t+24 to t+36, a weakness will be developed and this will allow NAKRI to recurve. NAKRI is expected to move slowly in the next 24 hours due to weak steering flow.
Current T-number: T6.5/6.5/D3.0/24 HRS
NAKRI intensified rapidly due to weak vertical wind shear and excellent equatorward outflow channel. This intensification is forecast to sustain for another 12 to 24 hours before NAKRI eventually reaches peak intensity at about t+24 to t+36. It will not be able to intensify further afterwards due to higher wind shear to the NW to N of the storm and it being a very strong system. It will further weaken as it recurves (due to higher vertical wind shear and lower sea surface temperatures) and will transit into an extratropical cyclone in a baroclinic environment after t+96.
Please click here for the plain text version of the track data. 請按此觀看純文字資料。
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象聽路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
06W, which was named NAKRI yesterday by JMA , intensified rather rapidly in the past 24 hours and is currently a severe tropical storm. At 14 HKT, NAKRI was centred about 680 km (370 NM) NNW of Yap.
The steering subtropical ridge is located E of the system, and the extension at its western end is contributing to a northwesterly to north-northwesterly movement. As the mid-latitude trough arrives near t+48 to t+72, the ridge will retreat and allow NAKRI to recurve. NAKRI is expected to move slowly in the next 48 hours due to weak steering flow.
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24 HRS
NAKRI will travel along a region with very little vertical wind shear and favorable sea surface temperatures, allowing it to intensify at greater than climatological rate up to t+48. This bulletin calls for a higher peak intensity than the previous bulletin due to the increase in time that NAKRI is expected to travel through warm water and in regions of low vertical wind shear. It will weaken as it recurves (due to higher vertical wind shear) and will transit into an extratropical cyclone in a baroclinic environment after t+120.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24 HRS 娜基莉將受較弱垂直風切變和稍高水溫的影響,於未來 48 小時以高於氣候平均值的速度增強。由於預料娜基莉將在良好環境中逗留較長時間,在本發佈中娜基莉之巔峰強度亦相應提高。娜基莉轉向後將會受較強垂直風切變影響而減弱,並在斜壓環境中於 120 小時後轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
娜基莉於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2008/05/29 (or earlier 或更早)
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Please click here for the plain text version of the track data. 請按此觀看純文字資料。
Overview 總覽
Other images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象聽路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
Tropical disturbance 91W was upgraded to tropical depression status by JTWC earlier today, and was given temporary number 06W. At 14 HKT, 06W was centred about 540 km (290 NM) N of Yap.
The steering subtropical ridge is located E of the system, contributing a north-northwesterly movement. As the mid-latitude trough arrives near t+48 to t+72, the ridge will retreat and allow 06W to move north. JTWC suggests that another subtropical ridge will develop to the west of the system which will put 06W into a pressure col and thus contribute to the significant slowdown in 06W's motion.
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
06W will travel along a region with very little vertical wind shear and favorable sea surface temperatures, allowing it to intensify at greater than climatological rate up to t+48.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS 06W 將受較弱垂直風切變和稍高水溫的影響,於未來 48 小時以高於氣候平均值的速度增強。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
06W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2008/05/28 (or earlier 或更早)
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率