The ridge currently east of 14W will be its primary steering force and 14W should move northwards in the remainder of the forecast period.
14W 東面的副熱帶高壓脊將於餘下時間帶領 14W 向北移動。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T1.5/2.0/W0.5/24 HRS
Shear is moderate in Luzon Strait but moisture is lacking. 14W is expected to weaken further as it comes closer to Taiwan.
現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/2.0/W0.5/24 HRS 呂宋海峽附近的垂直風切變中等,但水氣不足。隨著 14W 移近台灣,它將繼續減弱並消散。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
14W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
This is the final bulletin on 14W.
這是本站對 14W 的最後一次發佈。
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台(已)發出熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Not Applicable 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告 (請按發佈編號顯示內容)
Tropical disturbance 98W east of the Philippines intensified into a tropical depression last night (14W). At 14 HKT, 14W was centred about 410 km (220 NM) NNE of Manila.
A weak ridge of high pressure is found north of 14W, and another anticyclone east of the system is giving northward component to 14W's track. As the steering forces remain weak, it is expected that 14W will track WNW to NW slowly past northern Philippines. As it enters the South China Sea, a mid-latitude trough is expected to weaken the northern ridge and 14W is expected to track NW to NNW after 48 to 72 hours.
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
14W has a fully exposed low level circulation centre now. It is expected to remain weak as it interacts with the terrain of Luzon. It should be able to intensify gradually as it moves into the South China Sea to become a tropical storm in 48 to 72 hours. There is a chance that it will dissipate if it stays inland for too long.