NIDA will travel NW along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
妮妲將沿太平洋高壓脊西南面向西北移動。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/2.5/W1.0/18 HRS
NIDA will continue to weaken due to cooler seas and higher vertical wind shear. Dissipation is expected by t+24.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.5/W1.0/18 HRS 預料妮妲將受較涼海水和較高垂直風切變的影響而逐步減弱,並於一日內消散。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
This is the final bulletin on NIDA.
這是本站對妮妲的最後一次發佈。
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告 (請按發佈編號顯示內容)
NIDA is expected to track west slowly under the influence of the western ridge, followed by a recurvature along the westerm rim of the Pacific ridge.
預料妮妲西面的副熱帶高壓脊將影響它的路徑並令其西移,其後沿太平洋高壓脊西面轉向。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.5/W1.0/24 HRS
NIDA will continue to weaken due to cooler seas and higher vertical wind shear. Dissipation is expected by t+72.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.5/W1.0/24 HRS 預料妮妲將受較涼海水和較高垂直風切變的影響而逐步減弱,並於三日內消散。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2009/12/03 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA is expected to track west slowly under the influence of the western ridge.
預料妮妲西面的副熱帶高壓脊將影響它的路徑並令其西移。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/4.5/W0.5/18 HRS
NIDA will continue to weaken due to dry air entrainment, cooler seas and higher vertical wind shear. Dissipation is expected by t+72 to t+96.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.5/W0.5/18 HRS 預料妮妲將受乾空氣、較涼海水和較高垂直風切變的影響而逐步減弱,並於四日內消散。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2009/12/02 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA is expected to track west under the influence of the western ridge. As NIDA weakens the low-level northeast monsoon will guide NIDA towards the southwest.
Current T-number: T4.5/5.0/W1.0/30 HRS
NIDA will continue to weaken due to dry air entrainment, cooler seas and higher vertical wind shear. Dissipation is expected by t+120.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.0/W1.0/30 HRS 預料妮妲將受乾空氣、較涼海水和較高垂直風切變的影響而逐步減弱,並於五日內消散。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2009/12/01 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA is still deep in a pressure col and is moving slowly. It is now expected that the western ridge will have some influence over NIDA's track, and as NIDA weakens the low-level northeast monsoon will guide NIDA towards the southwest.
Current T-number: T5.5/6.0/W1.0/24 HRS
NIDA underwent another eyewall replacement cycle last night, and has weakened since then. NIDA is expected to weaken due to cooler seas with higher vertical wind shear.
現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/6.0/W1.0/24 HRS 妮妲昨夜再度經歷眼牆置換週期,其後逐漸減弱。預料妮妲將受較涼海水和較高垂直風切變的影響而逐步減弱。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2009/11/30 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA re-intensified into a category 5 super typhoon last night, but has weakened slightly since then. At 14 HKT, NIDA was centred about 670 km (360 NM) SSW of Iwo Jima.
NIDA is currently still expected to recurve along the western periphery of the steering subtropical ridge, although at a somewhat lower speed. The alternative scenario that NIDA will be rapidly weakened by an advancing cold dry air mass is depicted in some models, and if such situation occurs NIDA may be quasi-stationary later in the forecast period.
Current T-number: T6.5/7.0/D0.5/24 HRS
NIDA's cloud-top temperatures decreased last night together with a tightening eye wall. NIDA is expected to weaken due to cooler seas with higher vertical wind shear.
現時的 T 號碼: T6.5/7.0/D0.5/24 HRS 妮妲的眼牆雲頂溫度昨夜稍為下降,眼牆變得更為緊密。預料妮妲將受較涼海水和較高垂直風切變的影響而逐步減弱。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2009/11/29 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA is expected to recurve along the western periphery of the steering subtropical ridge. The alternative scenario that NIDA will be rapidly weakened by an advancing cold dry air mass is depicted in some models, and if such situation occurs NIDA may be quasi-stationary later in the forecast period.
Current T-number: T6.0/6.5/W0.5/24 HRS
NIDA maintained a clear eyewall structure, but recent imageries show that the coverage of deep convection has reduced. NIDA will experience cooler seas with higher vertical wind shear, and should weaken gradually.
現時的 T 號碼: T6.0/6.5/W0.5/24 HRS 妮妲維持清晰風眼和眼牆結構,但最近衛星圖像顯示深層對流覆蓋範圍稍為減少。預料妮妲將受較涼海水和較高垂直風切變的影響而逐步減弱。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
19 HKT, 2009/11/28 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA intensified further last night, reaching a maximum intensity of 160 knots (295 km/h) shortly after midnight. This is the highest intensity assigned by the JTWC to a tropical cyclone in the northwestern Pacific Ocean since 1997. NIDA has weakened slightly but is still a category 5 cyclone. At 20 HKT, NIDA was centred about 610 km (330 NM) WNW of Guam.
NIDA is expected to recurve along the western periphery of the steering subtropical ridge. It will decelerate as it crosses the weakness of the ridge. Track speed is expected to increase after recurvature due to the interaction of the mid-latitude westerlies.
Current T-number: T6.5/7.0/W1.0/24 HRS
An eyewall replacement cycle is underway, which reveals deteriorating environments. NIDA will experience cooler seas with higher vertical wind shear, and should weaken gradually. Extratropical transition is expected in the extended forecast period.
現時的 T 號碼: T6.5/7.0/W1.0/24 HRS 妮妲正進行眼牆置換,附近環境開始轉差。預料妮妲將受較涼海水和較高垂直風切變的影響而逐步減弱,並於延伸預測期開始溫帶氣旋轉化。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2009/11/27 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
N/A 沒有資料
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA underwent rapid deepening in the past 24 hours, strengthening from a severe tropical storm into a typhoon of the highest category. NIDA is also the third category 5 super typhoon in northwestern Pacific Ocean this year, and is probably the strongest among them. At 20 HKT, NIDA was centred about 300 km (160 NM) WSW of Guam.
NIDA is now moving NW along the southwestern periphery of the Pacific subtropical ridge. The cyclone is expected to decelerate as it nears the ridge axis, and now a recurvature is expected as it is likely that NIDA will be strong enough not to be guided by the low-level northeasterlies.
Current T-number: T7.5/7.5/D4.0/30 HRS
NIDA intensified explosively in an extremely favourable environment - outflow is very good and the level of vertical wind shear is virtually nil. NIDA is expected to peak in strength very soon, and as it moves north it will encounter cooler waters which will initiate weakening.
現時的 T 號碼: T7.5/7.5/D4.0/30 HRS 妮妲於極佳的週邊環境下大幅增強,該區輻散良好而垂直風切變甚低。預料妮妲即將到達巔峰強度,其後將受較涼海水的影響而逐步減弱。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2009/11/26 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
N/A 沒有資料
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
N/A 沒有資料
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA is expected to travel NW in the next 72 hours. However, models start to diverge after t+72, with some depicting recurvature as the ridge will not be strong enough to prevent NIDA from penetrating. This bulletin reduces the magnitude of the westward turn in the extended forecast period to reveal a greater uncertainty in NIDA's track at that time.
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/18 HRS
NIDA is expected to pick up strength gradually in moderate environments with low shear and warm seas. Typhoon status is imminent.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/18 HRS 妮妲將於低垂直風切變和高水溫的環境下逐漸增強,於短期內增強為颱風。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
妮妲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2009/11/25 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
N/A 沒有資料
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
N/A 沒有資料
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
NIDA is expected to travel NW in the next 48 to 72 hours. The subtropical ridge is expected to strengthen north of NIDA three days later and NIDA should then assume a more westerly track. Some models are predicting interactions between NIDA and 27W, which may complicate the prediction of NIDA's movement.