CONSON has made landfall in northern Vietnam and has now weakened into a tropical depression. At 08 HKT, CONSON was centred about 80 km (45 NM) WNW of Hanoi.
CONSON is the 98th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a place in Haihung province of that country. This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
CONSON is the 98th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a place in Haihung province of that country. This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
CONSON continued to intensify and has made landfall near Sanya. At 20 HKT, CONSON was centred about 670 km (360 NM) SW of Hong Kong. The Standby Signal was lifted at 21:15 HKT.
CONSON is the 98th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a place in Haihung province of that country. This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
CONSON is now moving along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge, and a persistent NW track is expected.
康森已處於副熱帶高壓脊之西南部，預料它將會持續向西北移動。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/D0.5/24 HRS
Ambient environment remained favourable for CONSON to intensify. As land interaction increases, CONSON should weaken slightly while it crosses Hainan and rapidly after making its final landfall in northern Vietnam.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/D0.5/24 HRS 良好的周邊環境令康森於今天繼續增強。隨著康森橫過陸地，它將於經過海南期間稍為減弱，並於登陸越南後急速減弱並消散。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Fresh southeasterly winds are expected in Hong Kong tomorrow with occasional squally showers.
明日香港將受清勁東南風影響，並間有狂風驟雨。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2010/07/17 (Sat 六) or earlier 或更早
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
CONSON regains typhoon status as it successfully wraps clouds in its northern semicircle. At 20 HKT, CONSON was centred about 630 km (340 NM) S of Hong Kong.
CONSON is the 98th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a place in Haihung province of that country. This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
CONSON is still travelling along the southern edge of a westward extension of the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to retreat, bringing an increasingly poleward movement.
康森仍於副熱帶高壓脊的西部延伸之南端向西移動。預料副高即將東退並令康森逐漸轉向西北移動。
Intensity Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
Vertical wind shear in the South China Sea has eased off, and CONSON is seen reorganizing itself today. A banding eye seems to be forming as well. CONSON should remain as a minimal typhoon until making landfall at Hainan, after which it should gradually weaken.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS 南海的垂直風切變進一步減弱，而康森於今天整固，並似乎正形成雲捲風眼。預料康森將於登陸海南島前維持接近颱風下限強度，其後逐漸減弱。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Winds in Hong Kong will strengthen from the east/southeast, and squally showers are possible this weekend.
東至東南風將於明早增強，而週末可能會有狂風大驟雨。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2010/07/16 (Fri 五) or earlier 或更早
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1 (Cnl 取消)
Low 低
Medium 中等
High 高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) "Signal" represents having issued that signal or above. "信號" 指該信號或更高。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的概率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
CONSON is the 98th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a place in Haihung province of that country. This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
CONSON has turned to the northwest starting this afternoon, and is now situated in the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. A NW/WNW movement is expected while CONSON travels in the South China Sea. The ridge should weaken later, which will contribute to a lower speed.
Current T-number: T3.0/3.5/W0.5/24 HRS
The Philippine landmass has slightly weakened CONSON. Meanwhile, the vertical wind shear in the northern South China Sea remained rather high for most of today. Together with an area of very low divergence aloft north of the storm, CONSON has been struggling to maintain its intensity and the low-level circulation centre was exposed in the afternoon. There are signs of weakening of the wind shear in the area, but it may take a while for CONSON to reorganize itself, and thus it is expected that CONSON will maintain its current intensity or may be able to intensify a little while it traverses the South China Sea. Rapid weakening follows as it makes its final landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.5/W0.5/24 HRS 菲律賓大陸令康森稍為減弱。南海的垂直風切變今天大部分時間處於頗高水平，而康森北面高空亦出現大範圍低輻散區域。這些因素均令康森難以維持強度，而其低層環流中心更於下午外露。該區的垂直風切變有減弱之勢，但康森仍需一段時間來重新整固。預料康森將於橫過南海期間維持強度或稍為增強，並將於登陸華南後急速減弱。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
According to the present forecast track, winds in Hong Kong will strengthen from the east on Thursday or early Friday, gradually turning to the southeast. Squalls and heavy showers are possible during the weekend.
按照目前預測路徑，東風將於本周四或周五初段增強，而週末更可能會有狂風大驟雨，而風向則逐漸轉向東南。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2010/07/15 (Thu 四) or earlier 或更早
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Medium 中等
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
High 高
Medium 中等
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Low 低
Medium 中等
High 高
Medium 中等
Low 低
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
Low 低
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) "Signal" represents having issued that signal or above. "信號" 指該信號或更高。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的概率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
CONSON strengthened into a typhoon earlier today, but weakened back into a severe tropical storm in the evening. At 20 HKT, CONSON was centred about 140 km (80 NM) E of Manila.
CONSON is the 98th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a place in Haihung province of that country. This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
CONSON is moving rather fast in the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge, which remained largely intact today. The storm should move to its southwestern periphery later this week, and the ridge is expected to weaken somewhat and shift north at that time. Thus, CONSON should initially move west, followed by a gradual turn to the northwest. Due to CONSON's previous fast movement towards the west, the forecast track is shifted towards the same direction. CONSON's track inside the South China Sea is still subject to large uncertainty as interactions with the Philippines may add instability to its position.
Current T-number: T3.5/4.0/S0.0/24 HRS
The vertical wind shear in CONSON's vicinity has risen. As CONSON is making landfall in the Philippines, the amount of moisture available will also decrease. These will weaken CONSON until it emerges from land. The South China Sea is currently very warm and has sufficient moisture, but shear level is rather high. The extent of intensification while CONSON is in the South China Sea will depend critically on the shear level at that time.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/4.0/S0.0/24 HRS 康森附近的垂直風切變於過去一天增強。同時，由於康森正登陸菲律賓，其可用水氣量將降低。這些情況都會令康森於橫過菲律賓時減弱。現時南海頗為濕潤，而海溫亦高，但該區垂直風切變對氣旋增強不利。康森於南海時的增強幅度將很大程度取決於當時南海的大氣環境，尤其是現在處於較高水平之垂直風切變。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
According to the present forecast track, winds in Hong Kong will strengthen from the east on Thursday, gradually turning to the southeast. Squalls and heavy showers are possible on Friday and Saturday.
按照目前預測路徑，東風將於本周四增強，而周五至周六更可能會有狂風大驟雨，而風向則逐漸轉向東南。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2010/07/14 (Wed 三) or earlier 或更早
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Medium 中等
High 高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Low 低
Medium 中等
High 高
High 高
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
Low 低
Medium 中等
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Low 低
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) "Signal" represents having issued that signal or above. "信號" 指該信號或更高。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的概率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
03W intensified at a rather fast pace in the past 24 hours, attaining severe tropical storm status this afternoon. It has also been named CONSON by the JMA early today. At 20 HKT, CONSON was centred about 720 km (390 NM) E of Manila.
CONSON is the 98th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a place in Haihung province of that country. This name was last used in 2004, the storm associated with which necessitated the Standby Signal in Hong Kong.
CONSON is moving rather fast in the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The storm should move to its southwestern periphery later this week, and the ridge is expected to weaken somewhat and shift north at that time. Thus, CONSON should initially move west, followed by a gradual turn to the northwest.
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24 HRS
CONSON's ambient environment is excellent. Coupled with its relatively small size, the rate of intensification is rather rapid. Further intensification into a typhoon is expected before landfall. CONSON should weaken as it interacts with land, but upon entry to the South China Sea a second round of intensification is possible. The rate of this will depend, among other things, the shear level in the South China Sea at that time, which is rather high at this moment.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.5/24 HRS 康森附近環境良好，而且由於康森為較細小的氣旋，它的增強速度頗高。預料康森將可於登陸菲律賓前增強為颱風，但橫過陸地時將稍為減弱。康森有望於進入南海後再度增強，但其增強速度將視乎該區的大氣環境，尤其是現在處於較高水平之垂直風切變。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
According to the present forecast track, Hong Kong may be affected by showers and stronger winds from the east three days later.
按照目前預測路徑，本港於三天後可能受驟雨及較強東風影響。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2010/07/13 (Tue 二) or earlier 或更早
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Medium 中等
High 高
Very High 極高
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Low 低
Low 低
Medium 中等
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
Low 低
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) "Signal" represents having issued that signal or above. "信號" 指該信號或更高。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的概率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
93W over the northwestern Pacific Ocean has intensified into a tropical depression (03W). At 20 HKT, 03W was centred about 1290 km (700 NM) E of Manila.
03W is currently situated south of a subtropical ridge which is giving the cyclone a westward movement. The ridge is expected to maintain its strength until 3 days later after which it is forecast to weaken and shift north. Thus, a track with more northward component after t+48 is predicted in this bulletin.
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
Shear is low to moderate in 03W's vicinity with sufficient sea temperatures. Intensification is expected until 03W makes landfall at the Philippines. 03W should weaken considerably as it moves across land.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS 03W 附近垂直風切變屬低至中等，而海溫頗高。預料 03W 將於登陸菲律賓前增強，並於橫過呂宋一帶時減弱。
Effects on Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
03W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update 下次更新
23 HKT, 2010/07/12 (Mon 一) or earlier 或更早
Other Images 其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
