HAIMA is now traversing western Guangdong coastal areas. At 20 HKT, HAIMA was centred about 440 km (240 NM) WSW of Hong Kong. The Standby Signal was lifted at 20:45 HKT.
HAIMA is the 114th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by China, meaning seahorse. This name was last used in 2004.
海馬為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 114 個名字，由中國提供。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
HAIMA is expected to travel west into the Gulf of Tonkin. There is a possibility of slight interactions between HAIMA and MEARI that may cause HAIMA to dip southward.
海馬將西移至北部彎。隨著米雷西移，海馬或會受米雷影響而令前者的路徑再度出現偏南分量。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: N/A
Since HAIMA is still close to the shore, its rate of weakening is expected to be slower than previously projected. It is expected to lose strength gradually and dissipate in 48 hours' time.
現時的 T 號碼: 不適用
由於海馬仍接近海岸，預料減弱速度將比先前估計的慢。海馬將逐步減弱，並於約 48 小時後消散。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Winds and rain will subside gradually as HAIMA moves further away from Hong Kong.
隨著海馬遠離本港，風雨將逐步轉弱。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/06/24 (Fri 五) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
HAIMA picked up speed last night and has made landfall at Dianbai near 10 HKT today. At 08 HKT, HAIMA was centred about 270 km (150 NM) WSW of Hong Kong. The Standby Signal was issued at 10:25 HKT to replace the Strong Wind Signal.
HAIMA is the 114th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by China, meaning seahorse. This name was last used in 2004.
海馬為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 114 個名字，由中國提供。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
HAIMA is expected to track west after it makes landfall. There is a possibility of slight interactions between HAIMA and MEARI that may cause HAIMA to dip southward again.
預料海馬於登陸後將向西移。隨著米雷西移，海馬或會受米雷影響而令前者的路徑再度出現偏南分量。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/12 HRS
HAIMA is expected to weaken gradually after landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/12 HRS
海馬已經登陸，將逐步減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Hong Kong is being affected by south to southeasterly winds. Winds have subsided and strong winds are only confined to offshore locations and high grounds. It is expected that winds and rain will continue to weaken as HAIMA loses intensity.
香港正吹南至東南風，強風只於離岸和高地出現。隨著海馬減弱，本港風雨將逐步轉弱。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/06/23 (Thu 四) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1 (Cnl. 取消)
High 高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率，首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
HAIMA is the 114th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by China, meaning seahorse. This name was last used in 2004.
海馬為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 114 個名字，由中國提供。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
HAIMA is in a weak steering environment which contributes to its slow speed. It is expected that HAIMA will move WNW in the southwestern periphery of the western extension of the subtropical ridge. Some models predicts that HAIMA may react with another tropical cyclone MEARI as the latter draws nearer, which may provide southward component to HAIMA's track later.
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/06 HRS
HAIMA has strengthened slightly. It carries the typical characteristic of a monsoon depression that winds are stronger at its periphery. HAIMA is expected to maintain current strength until landfall, after which rapid weakening follows.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/06 HRS
海馬稍為增強。海馬周邊風速大於接近中心地區，顯示出季風低壓的特色。預料海馬將維持強度直至登陸，其後快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Most parts of Hong Kong are blowing strong east to southeasterly winds, with gale force winds observed over offshore waters and on high grounds. Winds will remain strong tonight and early tomorrow. Squally showers will continue to affect Hong Kong tomorrow.
HAIMA tracked WNW in the past 12 hours. At 14 HKT, HAIMA was centred about 250 km (130 NM) SSW of Hong Kong. The Strong Wind Signal was issued at 05:45 HKT.
HAIMA is the 114th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by China, meaning seahorse. This name was last used in 2004.
海馬為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 114 個名字，由中國提供。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
HAIMA resumes its WNW movement in the southwestern periphery of the western extension of the subtropical ridge. Such motion is expected to persist until landfall, after which steering will become weak again as the ridge is expected to retreat.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/S0.0/18 HRS
HAIMA's southern cloud bands tightened in the past 12 hours, but northern semicircle remains rather poorly organized. Proximity to landmass means that HAIMA does not have much room for intensification. HAIMA will start to weaken rapidly once it makes landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/S0.0/18 HRS
海馬南部的雲帶於過去 12 小時漸趨緊密，但北部型態仍然較差。由於海馬已頗為接近陸地，預料它將維持強度，登陸後快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Most parts of Hong Kong are blowing strong easterly winds, with gale force winds observed over offshore waters and on high grounds. Wind direction will turn southeast tonight and southerly winds should prevail later tomorrow. Strong force winds will continue to persist for the rest of today and early tomorrow. Squally showers will continue to affect Hong Kong in the next 24 hours.
06W was assigned the name HAIMA by the Japan Meteorological Agency this afternoon. At 20 HKT, HAIMA was centred about 370 km (200 NM) SSE of Hong Kong.
HAIMA is the 114th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by China, meaning seahorse. This name was last used in 2004.
海馬為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 114 個名字，由中國提供。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
HAIMA dips further south as it integrates with the southern patch of convections. With a lack of major steering influence HAIMA is expected to remain slow and track WNW in the southwestern periphery of the westward extension of the subtropical ridge towards western Guangdong.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24 HRS
HAIMA's spiraling cloud bands became more intense this afternoon, but convections are thinning out in the past few hours. Divergence remains rather weak in northern South China Sea. It is expected that HAIMA will intensify slightly under warm environment before landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24 HRS
海馬的雲帶今天下午變得更為緊密，但對流於晚間減弱。南海北部現時輻散仍較差，預料海馬將只能在登陸前稍為增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Hong Kong is now being affected by the outer rainbands of HAIMA, and strong easterly winds persist over offshore waters and on high grounds. As HAIMA passes south of Hong Kong, winds will veer from east to south tomorrow and on Thursday together with squally showers. Winds will strengthen gradually.
06W has entered the South China Sea and turned westward. At 20 HKT, 06W was centred about 460 km (250 NM) SE of Hong Kong. The Standby Signal was issued at 21:35 HKT.
06W is seen integrating with the convections to its south, which contributes to its slight southward track component. 06W is expected to dip further south as it continues to consolidate with the patch of convections, after which a WNW to NW track is expected along the southwestern periphery of the lower level ridge. The storm is expected to decelerate in the coming 48 hours as steering influence decreases.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
06W weakened slightly last night as it passed the Luzon Strait. However recent satellite imagery shows that it is now interacting with the convections to its south and the storm regains spiraling feature. However, as divergence remains weak 06W is not expected to intensify greatly before landfall. The storm is expected to intensify slightly under lower shear and in a region with sufficient moisture.
In the current forecast, 06W is expected to make landfall west of Hong Kong. Winds will veer from east to south tomorrow and on Wednesday. Affected by 06W's cloud bands, squally showers and strong force winds are expected around Wednesday and Thursday.
06W has been tracking NW along the southwestern periphery of the steering subtropical ridge. The western extension of the subtropical ridge is still covering areas near Taiwan and this will provide a more westward steering as 06W moves north. Certain numerical forecast models also call for interactions with an area of low pressure in the South China Sea which contribute to a westward track component. Current forecast retains yesterday's philosophy in which 06W will track increasingly poleward as it moves further north, but confidence in this forecast is low.
Current T-number: T2.0/2.5/W0.5/24 HRS
Although shear is not very high, restricted divergence and proximity to Philippine landmass have been inhibiting 06W's development. This is especially prominent in its northern semicircle where no deep convections exist. 06W will continue to struggle as it crosses Luzon Strait, but may strengthen slightly as it travels the South China Sea as land interactions weaken temporarily. Rapid weakening should commence once it makes landfall.
According to the present forecast track, northerly winds may affect Hong Kong on Tuesday, and squally showers may be observed in the middle of this week. Due to the great track uncertainty, no solid conclusions can be drawn on 06W's exact effects to Hong Kong.
06W is expected to track NW in the next 24 hours along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. Increase in westward track component is possible as it edges closer to the western extension of the ridge. Beyond 20°N the storm should track increasingly poleward as it approaches the ridge's western periphery.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
06W's low-level circulation centre was exposed this morning but convections had been flaring since then. Moderate shear exists near the storm, while water temperatures are high (about 29 degrees Celsius). 06W is expected to intensify gradually. Whether or not 06W makes landfall at Luzon remains the biggest uncertainty to its future strength.
According to the present forecast track, Hong Kong may be affected by 06W's peripheral cloud and/or rain bands in the middle of next week. However there exists great uncertainty to both its track and strength at this moment.
The area of low pressure east of the Philippines has intensified into tropical depression 06W. At 20 HKT, 06W was centred about 800 km (430 NM) ESE of Manila.
06W is currently situated in the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge, and is expected to track NW in the next 72 hours.
06W 正處於副熱帶高壓脊西南面，預料將於未來 72 小時穩定向西北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
06W appeared slightly disorganized this afternoon. It is expected to strengthen gradually in warm waters and areas with low to moderate vertical wind shear.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
06W 下午顯得較為鬆散。預料在溫暖的洋面和低至中等垂直風切變的環境下 06W 會逐漸增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
06W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/06/18 (Sat 六) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率，首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
