MA-ON has transformed into an extratropical cyclone. At 20 HKT, MA-ON was centred about 730 km (400 NM) ESE of Sapporo.
馬鞍已轉化為溫帶氣旋。在下午 8 時,馬鞍集結在札幌東南偏東約 730 公里 (400
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
MA-ON is expected to travel NE in the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
馬鞍將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: N/A
MA-ON is now an extratropical cyclone.
現時的 T 號碼: 不適用
馬鞍已轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
This is the final bulletin on MA-ON.
這是本站對馬鞍的最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告
(請按發佈編號顯示內容)
MA-ON continued to travel NNE. At 20 HKT, MA-ON was centred about 580 km (310 NM) ESE of Tokyo.
馬鞍繼續向東北偏北移動。在下午 8 時,馬鞍集結在東京東南偏東約 580 公里 (310
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
MA-ON is expected to travel NNE in the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
馬鞍將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北偏北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
MA-ON will soon encounter very strong shear. Extratropical transition is expected to occur between t+24 and t+36.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
馬鞍即將進入風切較高的地區。預料馬鞍將於 24 至 36 小時後完成溫帶氣旋轉化。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/24 (Sun 日) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON made a turn to the NNE this afternoon. At 20 HKT, MA-ON was centred about 710 km (380 NM) SE of Tokyo.
馬鞍下午轉向東北偏北移動。在下午 8 時,馬鞍集結在東京東南約 710 公里 (380
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
MA-ON is expected to travel NE or NNE in the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
馬鞍將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北或東北偏北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS
MA-ON's low-level circulation is fully exposed. As MA-ON turns north, it will encounter stronger shear and will weaken gradually. Extratropical transition is expected to occur near t+48.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS
馬鞍的低層環流中心完全外露。隨著系統北移,它將進入風切較高的地區。預料馬鞍將逐步減弱並於兩天後完成溫帶氣旋轉化。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/23 (Sat 六) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON turned SE last night. At 20 HKT, MA-ON was centred about 620 km (330 NM) SSE of Tokyo.
馬鞍昨晚轉向東南移動。在下午 8 時,馬鞍集結在東京東南偏南約 620 公里 (330
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
MA-ON is currently situated north of a weakness in the subtropical ridge. It is expected to turn NE later along the periphery of the ridge.
馬鞍現處於副熱帶高壓脊弱點以北,預料將沿該脊於稍後轉向東北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS
MA-ON's deep convections are sheared to the southeastern side of the storm. Under moderate shear environment MA-ON is expected to maintain current intensity or weaken slightly, and will gradually transform into an extratropical cyclone as it reaches higher latitudes at t+72.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS
馬鞍的深層對流被切離至氣旋東南面。在中等垂直風切變環境下,預料馬鞍將維持強度或稍為減弱,並在到達較高緯度時逐步轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/22 (Fri 五) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON has weakened into a severe tropical storm. At 20 HKT, MA-ON was centred about 270 km (150 NM) SE of Osaka.
馬鞍減弱為強烈熱帶風暴。在下午 8 時,馬鞍集結在大阪東南約 270 公里 (150
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge will weaken in the next 24 hours. Together with the effect of a large cyclone near Kamchatka Peninsula, MA-ON will move ESE in the next 24 to 36 hours. The ridge is later expected to re-establish southeast of MA-ON, which will result in a turn to the NE.
Current T-number: T3.0/3.5/W1.0/24 HRS
MA-ON has weakened considerably as its central dense overcast disappears. Under higher shear, MA-ON is expected to weaken slightly as it moves over seas south of Japan. Extratropical transition should commence about two days later.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.5/W1.0/24 HRS
馬鞍的中心密集雲團消失,強度明顯下降。受較高風切影響,預料馬鞍將於橫過日本南部海域時稍為減弱,並於約兩天後開始溫帶氣旋轉化。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/21 (Thu 四) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON is now skirting southern Japan. At 20 HKT, MA-ON was centred about 210 km (120 NM) SW of Osaka.
馬鞍正掠過日本南部。在下午 8 時,馬鞍集結在大阪西南約 210 公里 (120
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
MA-ON will move east along the northern edge of the subtropical ridge. Southward track component may be observed near t+36 due to the shape of the ridge and a large cyclone near Kamchatka Peninsula.
Current T-number: T4.0/4.5/W0.5/24 HRS
MA-ON has weakened slightly in the past 24 hours. It is expected that proximity to landmass will limit MA-ON's strength, and extratropical transition should commence in around 72 hours' time.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.5/W0.5/24 HRS
馬鞍於過去 24 小時稍為減弱。預料陸地影響將限制馬鞍的強度,而溫帶氣旋轉化將於約三天後開始。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/20 (Wed 三) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
MA-ON will recurve along the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The shape of the ridge means that a sharp change in direction should occur at around t+24. The storm will then move east along the northern side of the ridge.
Current T-number: T4.5/5.0/W0.5/24 HRS
MA-ON continued to weaken in the past 24 hours. It is expected that proximity to landmass will limit MA-ON's strength, and extratropical transition should commence in around 72 hours' time.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.0/W0.5/24 HRS
馬鞍於過去 24 小時繼續減弱。預料陸地影響將限制馬鞍的強度,而溫帶氣旋轉化將於約三天後開始。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/19 (Tue 二) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON has weakened slightly. At 20 HKT, MA-ON was centred about 610 km (330 NM) E of Okinawa.
馬鞍稍為減弱。在下午 8 時,馬鞍集結在沖繩島以東約 610 公里 (330
海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge is gradually retreating. MA-ON is expected to recurve along its western periphery, striking southern Japan.
副熱帶高壓脊逐漸東退,預料馬鞍將繞其西部轉向,趨向日本南部。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T5.0/5.5/W1.0/24 HRS
MA-ON has undergone an eyewall replacement cycle (ERC). The cloud bands immediately surrounding the eye appear loose and the intensity is adjusted downward. As MA-ON finishes ERC, it may intensify slightly in the next 12 hours. MA-ON will weaken as it reaches higher latitudes due to proximity to land and cooler sea temperatures.
現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.5/W1.0/24 HRS
馬鞍曾作眼牆置換,風眼附近的雲帶顯得較為鬆散,強度亦因此下調。隨著馬鞍完成眼牆置換週期,它將有望於未來 12 小時內稍為增強。當馬鞍到達較高緯度,它將受較低海溫和陸地影響而開始減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/18 (Mon 一) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge has re-orientated in a NW-SE direction which is causing MA-ON to gain latitude more rapidly. Affected by a mid-latitude trough, the ridge is expected to retreat, allowing MA-ON to recurve.
Current T-number: T6.0/6.0/S0.0/24 HRS
MA-ON's eye becomes clearer on IR satellite imagery and its strong wind radius is extremely large in the southern semicircle. MA-ON is expected to intensify in favourable environment, until it reaches higher latitudes where seas are cooler.
現時的 T 號碼: T6.0/6.0/S0.0/24 HRS
馬鞍的風眼在紅外線衛星雲圖上變得更為清晰,其南半圓強風圈亦非常廣闊。預料在良好環境下馬鞍將增強,直至到達較高緯度,海溫較低的環境下才開始減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/17 (Sun 日) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge north of MA-ON is about to be eroded by a mid-latitude trough currently in eastern China. MA-ON is expected to round the ridge in its western periphery, moving towards Japan.
Current T-number: T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24 HRS
MA-ON's central dense overcast is well-established and the eye starts to become clear within the CDO. MA-ON is expected to intensify in the next 24 hours in an area of warm seas. As it moves north cooler seas and higher shear will bring its strength down.
現時的 T 號碼: T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24 HRS
馬鞍的中心密集雲區已形成,在內的風眼也漸變明顯。預料在海溫高的環境下馬鞍將於未來 24 小時繼續增強,當它到達較高緯度,海溫較低且風切較高的環境下才開始減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/16 (Sat 六) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge north of MA-ON has remained more or less stationary. It is expected to steer MA-ON in a W/WNW direction in the next 48 hours. A mid-latitude trough will erode the ridge at that time to allow a recurvature.
Current T-number: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS
MA-ON's eye is consolidating. The storm is expected to intensify further in favourable environment with good outflow and high sea temperatures. MA-ON will start to weaken as it enters regions with lower sea surface temperatures.
現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS
馬鞍的風眼正在整固。預料在海溫高且輻散良好的環境下馬鞍將繼續增強,當它到達較高緯度海溫較低的環境下才開始減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/15 (Fri 五) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge north of MA-ON is expected to steer the storm in a W/WNW direction in the next 72 hours. A mid-latitude trough will erode the ridge at that time to allow a recurvature.
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/D1.5/24 HRS
MA-ON becomes more symmetrical and a banding eye has developed. Shear is also favourable in MA-ON's vicinity. Together with high sea temperatures and good divergence, MA-ON will continue to intensify in the next three to four days.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/D1.5/24 HRS
馬鞍變得對稱,亦已形成雲捲風眼。馬鞍一帶垂直風切變頗低,海溫高且輻散良好,預料它將於未來 3 至 4 天繼續增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/14 (Thu 四) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
MA-ON is the 116th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, which is the name of a mountain. This name was last used in 2004.
馬鞍為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 116 個名字,由香港提供,為一山名。這個名稱曾於 2004 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge is still firmly anchored east of Japan. MA-ON is expected to move W or WNW along the southern periphery of the ridge in the next 72 hours. Recent numerical forecasts show that a mid-latitude trough will cause the ridge to retreat after t+72, which will allow a poleward turn in the extended forecast period.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
MA-ON appears elongated on satellite images, and convections in its southern periphery are rather loose. Nevertheless, in a region with high sea temperatures and good divergence, MA-ON will intensify gradually over the next 5 days.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
馬鞍現呈橢圓狀,南部對流較為鬆散。雖然如此,馬鞍所在位置海溫高且輻散良好,預料它將於未來 5 天逐漸增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
馬鞍於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/13 (Wed 三) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Tropical disturbance 90W in the northwestern Pacific Ocean has intensified into tropical depression 08W. At 20 HKT, 08W was centred about 1420 km (770 NM) ENE of Guam.
A broad subtropical ridge is anchored east of Japan. With the ridge migrating to the north on the next few days, 08W is expected to move W/WNW in the next three days in its southern periphery.
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
08W's convections start to spiral around its centre. The storm is in an area of warm sea surface temperatures and good divergence. Gradual strengthening is expected in the next three days.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
08W 對流開始沿中心旋轉。08W 所在位置海溫高且輻散良好;預料它將於大致良好的環境下在未來三日逐步增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
08W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
23 HKT, 2011/07/12 (Tue 二) or earlier 或更早
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率