KHANUN is crossing the subtropical ridge axis, and is expected to move N to NNE along its western periphery.
卡努正橫過副熱帶高壓脊的脊線,預料沿該脊西面向北至東北偏北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.5/3.0/W1.0/24 HRS
Affected by the cool seas, KHANUN has diminished in size and its convections are thinning out. The storm will weaken rapidly into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/3.0/W1.0/24 HRS
受較冷海溫影響,卡努尺度縮小,對流變得稀疏。卡努將於未來 24 小時急速減弱為熱帶低氣壓。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
卡努於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2011/07/19 (Thu 四), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
The subtropical ridge was split and KHANUN is expected to round the eastern ridge which will result in an increasingly poleward track towards North Korea.
副熱帶高壓脊出現缺口,預料卡努將沿東面脊場西南部移動,路徑將逐漸轉為偏北,大致趨向北韓。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
KHANUN's spiraling bands are tightening up. The storm will continue to intensify in the next 12 hours, but after that it will enter much cooler seas which suppress further development.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
卡努的螺旋雲帶收緊,預料將於未來 12 小時繼續增強,但隨後將進入明顯較冷海域,並會開始減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
卡努於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2011/07/18 (Wed 三), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
KHANUN was relocated to the northwestern centre tracked by the JTWC, which eventually became the main circulation centre. The subtropical ridge is being eroded by a passing trough and a weakness will be induced. This will cause the ridge to split and KHANUN will move NW turning to N in the southwestern turning to western periphery of the eastern ridge.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24 HRS
KHANUN's convections are spinning nicely around the centre. Given its high speed, the storm will not have sufficient time to intensify before it enters cooler seas. KHANUN will weaken as it nears the Korean Peninsula.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/D1.0/24 HRS
卡努的對流沿中心旋轉,有一定組織。由於卡努移速較高,它很快便會進入較低海溫區域,增強空間有限。卡努將於靠近朝鮮半島時減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
卡努於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2011/07/17 (Tue 二), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
08W is situated in the southern periphery of the Pacific subtropical ridge. A break is expected within the ridge soon as it interacts with several mid-latitude troughs propagating east. The storm is expected to move WNW gradually turning to NNW in the next 72 hours.
There is considerable uncertainty in the current fix of the storm due to multiple vortices, with the JTWC fixing 08W some 300 km NW of the position of this bulletin which follows the centre tracked by JMA and on weather maps from KMA and HKO. There is a chance that relocation is needed as more information becomes available tomorrow.
Current T-number: T1.5/1.5/INT OBS
08W is in a region of high sea temperatures and low to moderate shear that will allow some development. As seas becomes cooler at higher latitudes, 08W will weaken after t+48.