GAEMI is the eleventh name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning ant. This name, previously KAEMI, was used in 2000 and 2006.
GAEMI is the eleventh name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning ant. This name, previously KAEMI, was used in 2000 and 2006.
A ridge has established in southern China. GAEMI is expected to move W to WSW along its southern periphery and make landfall in central Vietnam tonight.
一道脊場已於華南沿岸建立，預料格美將沿其南面向西或西南偏西移動，於今晚登陸越南中部。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
GAEMI's convections are sheared but situation has improved recently. However landfall is imminent and intensification is not expected. Rapid weakening follows once GAEMI makes landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
格美的對流仍然被切離，但情況開始轉好。可是，由於風暴將於短期內登陸，預料將不會明顯增強。格美登陸後將快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
格美於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/07 (Sun 日), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
GAEMI is travelling WSW steadily. At 08 HKT, GAEMI was centred about 900 km (490 NM) SSE of Hong Kong.
格美穩定向西南偏西移動。在上午 8 時，格美集結在香港東南偏南約 900 公里 (490 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
GAEMI is the eleventh name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning ant. This name, previously KAEMI, was used in 2000 and 2006.
A ridge is building north of GAEMI, and as it builds the storm is expected to accelerate west towards central Vietnam.
一道脊場正於格美以北建立，預料格美將加速向西移動，趨向越南中部。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
GAEMI's convections are still sheared. The storm is expected to maintain its current intensity or strengthen slightly in the next 24 hours, and after that proximity to land will hinder development. Rapid weakening follows once GAEMI makes landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
格美的對流仍然被切離。預料格美將於未來 24 小時維持強度或稍為增強，隨後風暴靠近陸地，其發展將受阻。格美登陸後將快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
格美於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/06 (Sat 六), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
GAEMI is the eleventh name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning ant. This name, previously KAEMI, was used in 2000 and 2006.
A weak steering environment kept GAEMI drifting slowly in the past 24 hours. As a ridge builds in China, GAEMI will soon accelerate towards the west in its southern periphery.
流場微弱令格美於過去 24 小時移動緩慢。隨著高壓脊於中國建立，格美將沿其南方向西加速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.5/3.0/W1.0/24 HRS
Shear increased appreciably near GAEMI's latitude during the past day, and as a result GAEMI's convections are sheared to its west, leaving the low-level circulation centre exposed. This increase in shear is expected to be temporary and, as the storm reverses its direction, wind shear will drop and this will allow the storm to intensify. Rapid weakening follows once GAEMI makes landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/3.0/W1.0/24 HRS
格美緯度一帶風切昨日明顯提升，令格美的對流向西切離，低層環流中心暴露。預測此上升為短期現象，當格美移向逆轉時風切有望紓緩，使格美得以增強。格美登陸後將快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
As GAEMI goes further south, it will be unlikely to cause significant effect on Hong Kong.
由於格美進一步南移，它為香港帶來明顯影響的機會降低。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/05 (Fri 五), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
GAEMI is the eleventh name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning ant. This name, previously KAEMI, was used in 2000 and 2006.
GAEMI is moving E under the steering influence from the equatorial ridge. The continental ridge is building in China and GAEMI is expected to halt and turn west in the next 48 hours. The storm will then accelerate westwards and should make landfall in central Vietnam between t+72 and t+96.
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
GAEMI's circulation becomes more organized and is expected to intensify in the next 36 to 48 hours under favourable conditions. The storm may weaken later as drier air mass from the northeast monsoon enters the system.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
格美的環流有所改善，預料在良好環境下將於未來 36 至 48 小時增強。其後東北季候風加強，其相關乾燥氣流將影響氣旋發展。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
GAEMI will steepen the pressure gradient in southern China. Coupled with the northeast monsoon, occasional strong winds may be observed in the territory in the next few days.
格美將加大華南氣壓梯度。受東北季候風的共同影響，本港未來數天或會間中吹強風。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/04 (Thu 四), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率，首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
A tropical cyclone developed within the South China Sea yesterday. It intensified into a tropical storm 21W and was named GAEMI. At 08 HKT, GAEMI was centred about 650 km (350 NM) S of Hong Kong.
GAEMI is the eleventh name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning ant. This name, previously KAEMI, was used in 2000 and 2006.
GAEMI is currently under weak steering influence. The storm will drift SE in the next 24 hours along the north to northeastern periphery of an equatorial ridge. After this, the continental ridge in China is expected to strengthen and will drive GAEMI towards the west, approaching central vietnam four days later.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
Current conditions in the South China Sea are favourable for storm development, but as the northeast monsoon strengthens later, the associated dry air mass will inhibit intensification.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
南海現時環境有利增強，但隨著東北季候風於本周後期增強，其相關乾燥氣流將影響氣旋發展。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
GAEMI will steepen the pressure gradient in southern China. Coupled with the northeast monsoon, occasional strong winds are expected in the territory in the next few days.
格美將加大華南氣壓梯度。受東北季候風的共同影響，本港未來數天將間中吹強風。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/03 (Wed 三), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率，首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
