SON-TINH has weakened into a low pressure area. At 08 HKT, SON-TINH was centred about 590 km (320 NM) W of Hong Kong.
山神已減弱為低壓區。在上午 8 時，山神集結在香港以西約 590 公里 (320 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
SON-TINH is the fourteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, meaning the God of mountain. This name replaced SAOMAI which caused significant damage to southeastern China in 2006.
SON-TINH made landfall at northeastern Vietnam and has weakened into a severe tropical storm. At 08 HKT, SON-TINH was centred about 750 km (410 NM) W of Hong Kong.
SON-TINH is the fourteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, meaning the God of mountain. This name replaced SAOMAI which caused significant damage to southeastern China in 2006.
SON-TINH is expected to recurve and move E along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge that is expected to weaken further. This should bring SON-TINH towards Leizhou Peninsula in the next day or two.
Current T-number: N/A
SON-TINH is weakening rapidly due to the lack of moisture inland and increase in vertical wind shear. The storm will continue to weaken under unfavourable environments and is expected to dissipate near Leizhou Peninsula near t+48.
現時的 T 號碼: 不適用
由於陸上缺乏濕氣且垂直風切變增加，預料山神將繼續減弱，並於兩天後在雷州半島一帶消散。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Apart from steepening the pressure gradient that brings stronger northeast monsoon, no significant effect to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
除增加氣壓梯度致東北季候風增強外，山神於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成明顯影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/30 (Tue 二), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率，首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
SON-TINH briefly intensified into a category 3 typhoon last night, but has weakened since then. At 08 HKT, SON-TINH was centred about 820 km (440 NM) WSW of Hong Kong.
SON-TINH is the fourteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, meaning the God of mountain. This name replaced SAOMAI which caused significant damage to southeastern China in 2006.
The subtropical ridge has weakened and retreated. SON-TINH is expected to move NW turning to N along the ridge's western periphery. As the ridge collapses further, SON-TINH may recurve to the northeast after making landfall.
Current T-number: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS
Last night a well-defined eye appeared within the central dense overcast. However the eye was short-lived and is now cloud-filled. SON-TINH is close to major landmass and this should inhibit its development. Rapid weakening follows once the storm makes landfall, but the rate will depend on how deep inland SON-TINH is when it starts to recurve.
現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.0/D1.0/24 HRS
昨晚山神的中心密集雲區發展出一明顯風眼，但稍縱即逝，雲層現已把其蓋過。隨著山神靠近陸地，其發展將受影響，登陸後更會快速減弱，但減弱速度取決於其轉向時深入內陸的幅度。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
山神於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/29 (Mon 一), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
SON-TINH is the fourteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, meaning the God of mountain. This name replaced SAOMAI which caused significant damage to southeastern China in 2006.
The subtropical ridge is expected to weaken soon. As a result, SON-TINH will decelerate gradually and is expected to track more poleward in the next 24 hours.
預料副熱帶高壓脊即將減弱，令山神逐漸減速並於未來 24 小時以較北方向移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
SON-TINH is developing a small central dense overcast. Due to decent sea temperatures, SON-TINH should intensify in the next 24 hours. The storm is expected to weaken rapidly as it makes landfall in northern Vietnam.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
山神正建立一細小中心密集雲區。由於南海海溫較高，山神應能於未來 24 小時增強。山神將於登陸越南北部後快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
The northeast monsoon will continue to be enhanced by SON-TINH in the next two days.
山神令氣壓梯度增加，東北季候風將於未來兩天維持。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/28 (Sun 日), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
SON-TINH is the fourteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, meaning the God of mountain. This name replaced SAOMAI which caused significant damage to southeastern China in 2006.
SON-TINH is expected to move WNW along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to weaken soon and SON-TINH may move northwest as a result.
山神將沿副熱帶高壓脊西南部向西北偏西移動。預料副高將會減弱，屆時山神路徑將轉為西北。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24 HRS
Due to low shear and favourable sea temperatures, SON-TINH should intensify as it approaches Vietnam. Rapid weakening occurs once SON-TINH makes landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24 HRS
由於風切頗低及海溫較高，山神將於靠近越南的同時逐漸增強。山神將於登陸後快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
SON-TINH is expected to enter the Cuming area soon. This may cause rainy weather to the territory on Saturday.
山神即將進入奎明範圍，本港於周末或會降雨。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/27 (Sat 六), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
SON-TINH is now crossing the Philippines. At 08 HKT, SON-TINH was centred about 220 km (120 NM) S of Manila.
山神正橫過菲律賓。在上午 8 時，山神集結在馬尼拉以南約 220 公里 (120 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
SON-TINH is the fourteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, meaning the God of mountain. This name replaced SAOMAI which caused significant damage to southeastern China in 2006.
SON-TINH is expected to move WNW in the South China Sea along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge may weaken towards the end of the forecast period and SON-TINH may move northwest as a result.
山神將沿副熱帶高壓脊西南部向西北偏西移動，橫過南海。副高或會於預測後期減弱，令山神路徑轉為西北。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
SON-TINH is slowly intensifying as it crosses the Philippines. Conditions in South China Sea are still favourable and should allow SON-TINH to intensify into a severe tropical storm. Rapid weakening occurs once SON-TINH makes landfall in Vietnam.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
山神橫過菲律賓的同時漸漸增強。由於南海環境頗佳，山神應能增強為強烈熱帶風暴。山神將於登陸越南後快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
SON-TINH is expected to enter the Cuming area on Friday to Saturday. This may cause rainy weather to the territory later this week.
預料山神會於周五至周六進入奎明範圍，本港於周末或會降雨。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/26 (Fri 五), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率，首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
The JTWC upgraded 92W into tropical depression 24W earlier today, and the system has intensified into a tropical storm. It was named SON-TINH by the JMA. At 08 HKT, SON-TINH was centred about 830 km (450 NM) SE of Manila.
SON-TINH is the fourteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, meaning the God of mountain. This name replaced SAOMAI which caused significant damage to southeastern China in 2006.
The subtropical ridge covering northern South China Sea and northwest Pacific is expected to be in place for the next 5 days, steering SON-TINH towards the WNW.
預料覆蓋南海北部及西北太平洋的副熱帶高壓脊將於未來五天維持強度，帶領山神向西北偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
SON-TINH's convective banding has become tighter in the past 24 hours. The storm should intensify in generally good environment in the next 72 hours, although the intensification rate is expected to be lower while the storm crosses the Philippines.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
山神的旋捲性於過去 24 小時有所改善。預料在良好環境下山神將於未來 72 小時增強，但風暴橫過菲律賓南部時增強速度或會放緩。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
SON-TINH is expected to enter the Cuming area on Saturday. This may cause rainy weather to the territory later this week.
預料山神會於周六進入奎明範圍，本港於周末或會降雨。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/25 (Thu 四), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
A broad subtropical ridge is covering northern South China Sea. 92W is expected to move W to WNW along the southern periphery of this ridge.
一道廣闊的副熱帶高壓脊正覆蓋南海北部，預料 92W 將沿該脊南部向西至西北偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
92W appears disorganized with shallow convective banding. The storm is expected to intensify gradually in warm seas, although intensification may slow down as it makes its way across southern Philippines.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
92W 組織鬆散，螺旋雲帶較淺。預料 92W 將於溫暖的海域中逐漸增強，但風暴橫過菲律賓南部時增強速度或會放緩。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
92W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/10/24 (Wed 三), near noon 接近中午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
