02W briefly intensified after relocation and the JMA upgraded it into a tropical storm, giving it the name SHANSHAN. Due to the storm's poor structure, HKWW maintains the tropical depression category but a bulletin is re-issued. At 14 HKT, SHANSHAN was centred about 680 km (370 NM) SSE of Ho Chi Minh City.
SHANSHAN is the eighteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Hong Kong, and is a common girl's pet name. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
Steering force near SHANSHAN has reduced. The storm is expected to remain quasi-stationary in the next 12 to 24 hours.
珊珊附近的流場減弱,預料它將於未來 12 至 24 小時處於停滯狀態。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T1.5/1.5/S0.0/24 HRS
Due to high wind shear, SHANSHAN is struggling to maintain convections and its low-level circulation centre is completely exposed. Under such environment the storm is not expected to survive for long.
現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/1.5/S0.0/24 HRS
由於風切較高,珊珊的對流不斷被切離,其低層環流中心完全外露。在此惡劣大氣環境下,珊珊將難以維持強度。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
珊珊於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
Unless SHANSHAN reintensifies, this is the final bulletin on 02W.
除非珊珊再度增強,否則這是本站對 02W 的最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
>
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告
(請按發佈編號顯示內容)
Due to 02W's unstable structure, multiple vortices emerged and the storm was relocated today. At 14 HKT, 02W was centred about 770 km (420 NM) ESE of Ho Chi Minh City.
02W is expected to move W to WSW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
02W 將於沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西或西南偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T1.5/2.0/W0.5/24 HRS
02W fails to consolidate, and it is currently situated in an area of high wind shear. The storm is expected to disintegrate and dissipate over water soon.
現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/2.0/W0.5/24 HRS
02W 未能整固,現時更於垂直風切變高的區域。預料 02W 將逐步解體並於海上消散。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
02W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
This is the final bulletin on 02W.
這是本站對 02W 的最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
>
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
02W has intensified slightly. At 14 HKT, 02W was centred about 800 km (430 NM) S of Manila.
02W 稍為增強。在下午 2 時,02W 集結在馬尼拉以南約 800 公里 (430 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
N/A 不適用
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
02W is expected to move W turning to WSW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
02W 將於沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西轉西南偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24 HRS
Although 02W's convections are still loose, the banding structure becomes more apparent. 02W is entering a region of very high vertical wind shear and significant intensification appears unlikely. The storm is expected to dissipate over water in two to three days' time.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24 HRS
雖然 02W 的對流仍然較為鬆散,但其旋捲性有所改善。02W 即將進入非常高垂直風切變的區域,預料將不大可能明顯增強,並於兩至三天內在海上消散。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
02W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/02/21 (Thu 四), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
>
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
A tropical disturbance near the Philippines has intensified into tropical depression 02W. At 14 HKT, 02W was centred about 920 km (500 NM) SSE of Manila.
02W is expected to move WNW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 12 to 24 hours, and turn westward along the low-level easterly flow.
02W 將於未來 12 至 24 小時沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西北偏西移動,隨後沿低層偏東氣流西移。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T1.5/1.5/INT OBS
02W is in a region of high sea temperatures which should allow slight intensification. However, wind shear is very high in the South China Sea; the storm is not expected to survive for long in such environment.
現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/1.5/INT OBS
02W 一帶海溫較高,預料它可稍為增強,但由於南海風切非常高,02W 將不能在此環境下生存。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
02W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/02/20 (Wed 三), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率