YAGI is the nineteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Japan, meaning constellation Capricornus. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
The ridge has re-oriented such that YAGI is now in its northern periphery. The storm is expected to move E to ENE slowly in the next 24 hours.
副熱帶高壓脊型態有所改變，摩羯現在處於其北沿。預料摩羯於未來 24 小時向東或東北偏東緩慢移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T2.0/3.0/W1.5/24 HRS
YAGI has lost almost all of its deep convections in its western semicircle. At seas of just 23 degrees the storm is not expected to survive for long. It will gradually weaken into a tropical depression in the next 24 hours.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/3.0/W1.5/24 HRS
摩羯西部的深層對流幾乎完全消失。在只得 23 度的海面預料摩羯會於未來 24 小時減弱為熱帶低氣壓。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
摩羯於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
Unless YAGI shows little signs of weakening by tomorrow, this is the final bulletin on the storm.
除非摩羯明天仍未有減弱跡象，否則這是本站對其最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
>
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告
(請按發佈編號顯示內容)
YAGI is the nineteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Japan, meaning constellation Capricornus. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
YAGI is moving NNE along the western periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to re-orient and shrink substantially over the next 48 hours, causing YAGI to turn east and stagnate in seas south of Japan.
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24 HRS
Due to significant wind shear, YAGI's western periphery is still rather poorly developed. Sea temperatures in YAGI's vicinity have dropped to less than 22 degrees, which coupled with high shear as YAGI moves northeast will cause the storm to weaken rapidly and degenerate in the next few days.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24 HRS
由於垂直風切變不低，摩羯西部的發展仍然頗差。由於摩羯附近的海溫只得低於 22 度且其東北部風切漸猛，預料摩羯將於未來數天急劇減弱並逐漸消散。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
摩羯於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/06/12 (Wed 三), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
>
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
YAGI has strengthened into a severe tropical storm in 1-minute average wind standard. At 14 HKT, YAGI was centred about 730 km (390 NM) ESE of Okinawa.
YAGI is the nineteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Japan, meaning constellation Capricornus. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
YAGI is reaching the western periphery of the subtropical ridge and is forecast to turn north shortly. As it moves towards Japan the ridge is expected to re-orient and diminish in size. This will cause YAGI to decelerate and turn towards the NE again.
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
YAGI's convective banding has tightened, although clouds still appear thin on its western semicircle. Sea temperatures are still favourable and slight intensification is possible in the next 24 hours. However seas are much cooler north of 25°N and the storm is expected to lose strength gradually, and dissipate as it reaches Japan.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
摩羯的螺旋雲帶變得更緊密，但西面仍較缺乏對流。在良好海溫下預料摩羯能於未來 24 小時稍為增強，但北緯 25 度以北的海溫明顯較冷，屆時摩羯將逐步減弱並於靠近日本前後消散。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
摩羯於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/06/11 (Tue 二), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
>
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Tropical disturbance 98W east of the Philippines intensified into tropical depression 03W last night, and is now a tropical storm. The storm was named YAGI by the JMA. At 14 HKT, YAGI was centred about 770 km (420 NM) SSE of Okinawa.
YAGI is the nineteenth name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Japan, meaning constellation Capricornus. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
A southwesterly airstream is currently bringing YAGI towards the NE. The storm is reaching the western periphery of a subtropical ridge and is thus expected to turn north. Slight westward track component may be observed due to the shape of the ridge. By t+72, the storm is expected to have moved to the northwestern periphery of the ridge, which will then lead to its turn to the northeast again across Japan.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
YAGI's cloud signature is gradually improving as the storm strengthens in an area of high sea temperatures. As shear is pretty strong in that region, only modest intensification is projected. The storm is expected to peak in strength at t+48, after which rapidly declining sea temperatures will start to impact its development. Interaction with Japan landmass will further weaken the storm at later taus.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
受惠於良好海溫，摩羯的雲帶正逐漸發展。由於該區垂直風切變不弱，預計風暴只能稍為增強。預料摩羯於 48 小時後到達巔峰強度，隨後海溫急劇轉冷將限制風暴發展。隨著摩羯接觸陸地，它將於預測後期快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
摩羯於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/06/10 (Mon 一), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
>
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
