SOULIK crossed northern Taiwan this morning and has made its final landfall at Fujian Province this afternoon. At 8 pm, SOULIK was centred about 55 km (30 NM) WNW of Fuzhou.
SOULIK is the 23rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, and is the traditional Pohnpei Chief's title. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
SOULIK is expected to move NW to NNW along the southwestern to western periphery of the subtropical ridge.
蘇力將沿副熱帶高壓脊西南至西部向西北或西北偏北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: N/A
SOULIK has weakened into a severe tropical storm. As the storm moves deeper inland, it will weaken rapidly into an area of low pressure.
現時的 T 號碼: 不適用
蘇力已減弱為強烈熱帶風暴。隨著蘇力深入內陸，它將快速減弱為低壓區。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
SOULIK's influence to Hong Kong will diminish as it weakens.
隨著蘇力減弱，對香港的影響亦會減低。
Next Update
下次更新
This is the final bulletin on SOULIK.
這是本站對蘇力的最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告
(請按發佈編號顯示內容)
SOULIK is the 23rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, and is the traditional Pohnpei Chief's title. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
SOULIK is expected to move WNW turning gradually to NW/NNW along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
蘇力將沿副熱帶高壓脊西南部向西北偏西轉西北至西北偏北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.5/5.0/S0.0/24 HRS
SOULIK is still exhibiting double eyewall feature. The storm will strike northern Taiwan tomorrow morning and is unlikely to intensify much before then. Weakening speed will increase once SOULIK moves into southeastern China tomorrow night.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.0/S0.0/24 HRS
蘇力仍擁有雙重眼壁結構。風暴將於明早登陸台灣北部，在此之前不太可能大幅增強。當蘇力於明晚登陸中國東南部，其減弱速度將會加快。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
SOULIK's subsidence will continue to bring very hot and hazy weather to Hong Kong tomorrow.
蘇力的下沉氣流將於明天繼續為本港帶來酷熱有煙霞的天氣。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/07/13 (Sat 六), nighttime 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
SOULIK is the 23rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, and is the traditional Pohnpei Chief's title. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
SOULIK turned west early today. As the western edge of the subtropical ridge thins out, SOULIK is expected to resume its WNW movement soon, gradually turning poleward as it reaches eastern China.
Current T-number: T4.5/5.0/W1.5/24 HRS
SOULIK is undergoing an eyewall replacement cycle and a double eyewall structure can now be clearly seen on satellite images. This contributed to its decrease in intensity over the past 24 hours. As the cycle ends and SOULIK continues to track through areas with high ocean heat content, the storm is expected to intensify before reaching Taiwan although there will not be enough time for the storm to reach its previous peak intensity. Increasing land interaction will cause SOULIK to weaken as it nears Taiwan and eastern China.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.0/W1.5/24 HRS
蘇力正進行眼牆置換周期，於衛星雲圖上明顯看到其雙重眼壁結構，這令風暴於過去 24 小時明顯減弱。隨著周期完結而蘇力繼續橫過高海洋熱含量區域，預料蘇力可於到達台灣前增強，但應沒有足夠時間增強至先前巔峰強度。陸地影響將令蘇力於靠近台灣及中國東部時減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
SOULIK's subsidence will bring very hot and hazy weather to Hong Kong in the next two days.
蘇力的下沉氣流將於未來兩天為本港帶來酷熱有煙霞的天氣。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/07/12 (Fri 五), nighttime 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率，首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
SOULIK is the 23rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, and is the traditional Pohnpei Chief's title. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
SOULIK will continue to move WNW towards northern Taiwan. The subtropical ridge is expected to retreat by t+72, causing a poleward turn as the storm makes landfall in eastern China.
Current T-number: T6.0/6.5/D1.0/24 HRS STT: W0.5/06 HRS
SOULIK's eye is becoming clearer but eyewall cloud top temperatures have risen over the past 6 hours, indicating a slight decrease in intensity. SOULIK is expected to intensify slightly in the next 24 hours into a super typhoon, but higher wind shear near Taiwan may cause the storm to weaken before landfall. Rapid weakening will take place once SOULIK makes landfall in either Taiwan or eastern China.
SOULIK has intensified into a typhoon. At 8 pm, SOULIK was centred about 600 km (320 NM) SW of Iwo Jima.
蘇力已增強為颱風。在下午 8 時，蘇力集結在硫磺島西南約 600 公里 (320 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
SOULIK is the 23rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, and is the traditional Pohnpei Chief's title. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
A southern extension of the subtropical ridge is detected east of the storm. Under the influence of the ridge, SOULIK will move WNW in the next 72 hours. The ridge is expected to weaken near t+72, inducing more poleward track component as the storm approaches Taiwan.
Current T-number: T5.0/5.0/D1.5/24 HRS
SOULIK continued to intensify, forming an eye within its symmetrical central dense overcast. The storm is expected to intensify further in the next 72 hours under very favourable environmental conditions, and weaken later as it nears land.
現時的 T 號碼: T5.0/5.0/D1.5/24 HRS
蘇力繼續增強，於其極為對稱的中心密集雲區裡發展出一風眼。在良好大氣環境下蘇力將於未來 72 小時增強，隨後於靠近陸地時減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
SOULIK's subsidence will bring very hot and hazy weather to Hong Kong starting on Thursday or Friday.
蘇力的下沉氣流將於周四或五開始為本港帶來酷熱有煙霞的天氣。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/07/10 (Wed 三), nighttime 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
92W was assigned storm number 07W by the JTWC today and was later named SOULIK. The storm has consolidated quickly in the past 24 hours and is now a severe tropical storm. At 8 pm, SOULIK was centred about 680 km (370 NM) NNW of Guam.
SOULIK is the 23rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Micronesia, and is the traditional Pohnpei Chief's title. This name was used in 2000 and 2006.
SOULIK will move W in the next 24 hours in the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to extend at lower latitudes later on, causing SOULIK to track WNW towards seas east of Taiwan.
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D2.0/24 HRS
SOULIK intensified quickly in the past 24 hours with cloud bands wrapping around the centre tightly. As vertical wind shear is expected to remain low, sea temperatures will stay warm and outflow channels are maintained, SOULIK will intensify steadily in the next 72 to 96 hours into a significant typhoon.
SOULIK will not affect Hong Kong in the next 72 hours. However, as SOULIK nears Taiwan, its subsidence is expected to bring very hot and hazy weather to Hong Kong towards this weekend.
A broad subtropical ridge is situated to the north of 92W. The storm is expected to travel west steadily in the next 48 hours, with possible southward track component due to the shape of the ridge. The ridge may extend at lower latitudes at later taus which will result in a WNW movement.
Current T-number: T1.5/1.5/INT OBS
92W is situated in an area of low to moderate vertical wind shear. As the storm tracks west into a pool of even warmer water (in excess of 30 degrees), steady and gradual intensification is expected throughout the forecast period.
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
