TRAMI made landfall in Fujian earlier today and has now weakened into a tropical storm. At 2 pm, TRAMI was centred about 220 km (120 NM) WNW of Fuzhou.
TRAMI is the 28th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a kind of tree belonging to the rose family. This name was used in 2001 and 2006.
TRAMI is the 28th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a kind of tree belonging to the rose family. This name was used in 2001 and 2006.
TRAMI is expected to move W to WNW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge, passing just north of Taipei tonight and will make landfall near Fuzhou early tomorrow.
潭美將沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西或西北偏西移動,於今晚在台北以北近海掠過,明日凌晨登陸福州。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
TRAMI has developed a symmetrical banding structure. Land interaction is going to hamper storm development and rapid weakening will commence upon landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
潭美組織到對稱螺旋雲帶結構,但預料受陸地影響風暴發展將會受阻。風暴登陸後會快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Haze will continue to affect Hong Kong in the remainder of today. As TRAMI draws in southwesterly airstream upon landfall, there will be showers on Thursday and Friday, heavy at times.
香港今天餘下時間仍會有煙霞。潭美登陸後會引進西南氣流,香港於周四及周五將有驟雨,雨勢有時頗大。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/08/22 (Thu 四), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
TRAMI is the 28th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a kind of tree belonging to the rose family. This name was used in 2001 and 2006.
TRAMI is moving northwards along the western periphery of the subtropical ridge. It is expected to turn west in the next 24 hours as it reaches the ridge's southern edge, passing in close proximity to Taipei tomorrow night. It will continue to move W and is expected to make landfall at Fujian.
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24 HRS
TRAMI's northern semicircle appears partly exposed. Shear is still low while sea temperatures are favourable to storm development. TRAMI may reach typhoon strength as it nears Taiwan. Rapid weakening is expected after landfall in China.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D0.5/24 HRS
潭美北半圓部分外露。在低垂直風切變及高海溫的環境下,預料潭美仍能增強,於靠近台灣時或能增強至颱風強度。潭美在中國大陸登陸後將快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Hong Kong is affected by TRAMI's subsidence and haze is expected tomorrow. As TRAMI draws in southwesterly airstream upon landfall, there will be showers on Thursday and Friday, heavy at times.
TRAMI has intensified into a severe tropical storm. At 2 pm, TRAMI was centred about 880 km (480 NM) SE of Taipei.
潭美已增強為強烈熱帶風暴。在下午 2 時,潭美集結在台北東南約 880 公里 (480 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
TRAMI is the 28th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a kind of tree belonging to the rose family. This name was used in 2001 and 2006.
TRAMI dipped south yesterday evident from microwave satellite imagery. The ridge is expected to exert influence on the storm soon and guide it northwards, before turning to the west under its southern periphery.
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
TRAMI's convections have tightened but remain sparse in its northeastern quadrant. The storm is expected to intensify in warm seas and low shear environment, reaching typhoon strength before impacting Taiwan. Rapid weakening will take place after TRAMI makes landfall at mainland China.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS
潭美的環流變得較為緊密,但東北象限仍然缺乏對流。在低垂直風切變及高海溫的環境下,預料潭美會逐漸增強並以颱風強度靠近台灣,在中國大陸登陸後將快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
TRAMI's rainbands may bring unsettled weather to Hong Kong later this week. Exact influence depends very much on where TRAMI turns westwards.
潭美的雨帶或會於本周後期為本港帶來不穩定天氣,但確實影響取決於潭美何時開始西移。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/08/20 (Tue 二), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率,首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
TRAMI is the 28th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is a kind of tree belonging to the rose family. This name was used in 2001 and 2006.
As the ridge extends to the west, TRAMI is expected to turn poleward in the next 12 to 24 hours. Thereafter the ridge will steer TRAMI towards the west, and a landfall at Taiwan is expected between t+72 and t+96.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
TRAMI's northern structure is improving. In an area with low shear and high sea temperatures, TRAMI should be able to intensify gradually over the next 72 hours, with the possibility of reaching typhoon strength.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS
潭美北半圓結構正轉好。在低垂直風切變及高海溫的環境下,預料潭美會於未來 72 小時逐漸增強,並有可能達到颱風強度。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
潭美於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/08/19 (Mon 一), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
12W is situated in the northern periphery of an equatorial ridge. It is expected to move E slowly in the next 24 hours. Thereafter the subtropical ridge is expected to extend and push the storm back to the west. Interactions with 13W in close proximity will also help in this cyclonic motion.
Current T-number: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS
12W is gradually organizing itself. It is expected to intensify in a low shear environment with supply of moisture from the south although its northern channels could be slightly blocked by the presence of a weaker 13W. At later taus, 12W should become the dominating system between the two.