NEOGURI is the 53rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning raccoon. This name was used in 2002 (as NOGURI) and 2008, with the latter necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
NEOGURI is now crossing southern Japan. At 8 pm, NEOGURI was centred about 120 km (65 NM) SSE of Osaka.
浣熊正橫過日本南部。在下午 8 時, 浣熊集結在大阪以南約 120 公里 (65 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
NEOGURI is the 53rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning raccoon. This name was used in 2002 (as NOGURI) and 2008, with the latter necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
NEOGURI is the 53rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning raccoon. This name was used in 2002 (as NOGURI) and 2008, with the latter necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
NEOGURI is expected to accelerate to the E along the westerlies and the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge. It should turn back to NE gradually as it moves to eastern Japan.
浣熊將沿西風帶及副熱帶高壓脊北面向東移動,當到達日本東部時會轉回東北路徑。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.5/W2.5/24 HRS
NEOGURI has lost its eye and its convections are becoming loose. As it encounters heightened shear, lower sea temperatures and landmass, it is expected to weaken and transform into an extratropical cyclone by t+48.
NEOGURI has weakened into category 3. At 8 pm, NEOGURI was centred about 260 km (140 NM) NW of Okinawa.
浣熊減弱為三級颱風。在下午 8 時, 浣熊集結在沖繩島西北約 260 公里 (140 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
NEOGURI is the 53rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning raccoon. This name was used in 2002 (as NOGURI) and 2008, with the latter necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
NEOGURI will move N along the western periphery of the subtropical ridge in the next 12 hours. Thereafter, induced by the mid-latitude trough, the ridge is expected to reshape itself. This will place NEOGURI to its north and an abrupt turn to the east is predicted by most numerical models. As NEOGURI crosses Japan, its track speed should increase and it should move in a ENE or NE direction.
NEOGURI has reached its peak and is weakening gradually. As conditions deteriorate, NEOGURI will continue to weaken; extratropical transition is expected to start after t+48.
NEOGURI is the 53rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning raccoon. This name was used in 2002 (as NOGURI) and 2008, with the latter necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
The subtropical ridge has now retreated and NEOGURI is expected to move N along the western periphery of the ridge, turning NE as it moves to higher latitudes.
副熱帶高壓脊已經東退,預料浣熊將沿該脊西部向北移動,到達較高緯度後轉向東北。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/6.5/S0.0/24 HRS W0.5/06 HRS
NEOGURI intensified last night, but seems to be weakening now as its western eyewall becomes thinner over the past 12 hours. The storm is expected to maintain intensity in the next 24 hours, before weakening rapidly as it approaches land and seas become cooler.
NEOGURI is the 53rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning raccoon. This name was used in 2002 (as NOGURI) and 2008, with the latter necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
The western edge of the subtropical ridge is weakening, and will soon create a break which allows NEOGURI to move poleward along the western periphery of the ridge. The storm is expected to cross the ridge axis by t+36, and recurve into Japan afterwards.
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/6.0/S0.0/24 HRS W0.5/06 HRS
NEOGURI maintains a large, round eye with intense convections. As environmental conditions are still favourable, NEOGURI is expected to intensify in the next 24 to 36 hours. Cooler seas will weaken the storm after that.
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours. However, depending on the location and intensity of the cyclone, its subsidence may be able to influence Hong Kong, producing very hot and hazy weather on Monday and Tuesday.
NEOGURI has intensified into a category 3 typhoon. At 8 pm, NEOGURI was centred about 1360 km (730 NM) SE of Okinawa.
浣熊已增強為三級颱風。在下午 8 時, 浣熊集結在沖繩島東南約 1360 公里 (730 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
NEOGURI is the 53rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning raccoon. This name was used in 2002 (as NOGURI) and 2008, with the latter necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
NEOGURI will move NW along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. As a passing trough erodes the ridge, NEOGURI is expected to recurve in East China Sea.
浣熊會沿副熱帶高壓脊西南部向西北移動。隨著西風槽到達並侵蝕副高,預料浣熊將於東海轉向。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/5.5/D1.5/24 HRS
NEOGURI continues to consolidate and its eye has become clearer over the past 24 hours. With low shear and warm seas, NEOGURI should be able to intensify further, peaking in intensity near t+48.
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours. However, depending on the location and intensity of the cyclone, its subsidence may be able to influence Hong Kong, producing very hot and hazy weather on Monday.
NEOGURI is the 53rd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning raccoon. This name was used in 2002 (as NOGURI) and 2008, with the latter necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
NEOGURI is moving NW in the southern periphery of a subtropical ridge which extends southwards east of the storm. As NEOGURI nears the southern edge of the ridge, it may travel in a slightly more equatorward direction in the short run. However the ridge is expected to be eroded by a passing trough, and NEOGURI will recurve along the western periphery of the ridge.
NEOGURI is developing a banding eye. Minimal vertical wind shear coupled with very warm sea temperatures implies that the storm will continue to intensify quickly. It is expected to reach category 4 in the next 48 to 72 hours.
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours. However, depending on the location of the cyclone, its subsidence may be able to influence Hong Kong, producing very hot and hazy weather early next week.
A tropical disturbance in the northwest Pacific intensified into tropical depression 08W today. At 8 pm, 08W was centred about 390 km (210 NM) S of Guam.
A subtropical ridge is positioned north of 08W, with a southern extension east of the storm. Under its influence, 08W is expected to move NW in the next 48 hours. The ridge is expected to weaken following a passing trough, allowing 08W to recurve eventually.
08W is drawing in an appreciable amount of moisture from the south, but development of its northern periphery appears to be limited by the strong subtropical ridge. In a very favourable environment with high sea temperatures and very low vertical wind shear, 08W will intensify gradually into a typhoon in the next 48 to 72 hours.