JANGMI is moving across Sulu Sea. At 2 pm, JANGMI was centred about 900 km (480 NM) SSW of Manila.
薔薇正橫過蘇祿海。在下午 2 時, 薔薇集結在馬尼拉西南偏南約 900 公里 (480 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
JANGMI is the 67th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning rose. This name was used in 2002 (as Changmi) and 2008.
薔薇為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 67 個名字,由南韓提供。此名曾於 2002 及 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
JANGMI is expected to move WSW along the southeastern periphery of the ridge that covers South China Sea.
薔薇將沿覆蓋南海的高壓脊之東南部向西南偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/1.5/S0.0/24 HRS
JANGMI's low-level circulation centre is still exposed. Although shear has decreased somewhat, the storm is expected to weaken into an area of low pressure at or near Borneo soon.
JANGMI is the 67th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning rose. This name was used in 2002 (as Changmi) and 2008.
薔薇為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 67 個名字,由南韓提供。此名曾於 2002 及 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
JANGMI is expected to move WSW along the southeastern periphery of the ridge that covers South China Sea.
薔薇將沿覆蓋南海的高壓脊之東南部向西南偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/2.0/W1.0/24 HRS
JANGMI's low-level circulation centre is drifting away from the main patch of convections, apparently due to increasing vertical wind shear. Considering this very high shear along its forecast track, the storm will likely not intensify again and dissipate north of Borneo.
JANGMI is moving west steadily. At 2 pm, JANGMI was centred about 490 km (270 NM) S of Manila.
薔薇正穩定西移。在下午 2 時, 薔薇集結在馬尼拉以南約 490 公里 (270 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
JANGMI is the 67th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning rose. This name was used in 2002 (as Changmi) and 2008.
薔薇為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 67 個名字,由南韓提供。此名曾於 2002 及 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
As the ridge in South China Sea strengthens, JANGMI is expected to move WSW along its southeastern periphery.
隨著覆蓋南海的高壓脊增強,薔薇將沿其東南部向西南偏西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS
JANGMI showed no substantial change in intensity over the past 24 hours. It is expected to intensify slightly when it re-enters open seas, but will start to weaken as it reaches western South China Sea due to lower sea temperatures and unfavourable environment associated with a surge of northeast monsoon.
JANGMI is the 67th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by South Korea, meaning rose. This name was used in 2002 (as Changmi) and 2008.
薔薇為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 67 個名字,由南韓提供。此名曾於 2002 及 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
JANGMI is currently south of a shallow weakness in the broad subtropical ridge that covers western Pacific and South China Sea. As JANGMI moves west and the western ridge strengthens, the storm will move W to WSW under its influence into South China Sea.
JANGMI's convections continued to tighten in the past 24 hours. Land interaction should cause development to cease in the next 12 to 24 hours, and the storm is expected to re-intensify as it enters open seas again. JANGMI will weaken slowly as it reaches western South China Sea due to lower sea temperatures and unfavourable environment associated with a surge of northeast monsoon.
23W is currently south of a shallow weakness in the broad subtropical ridge that covers western Pacific and South China Sea. It is expected to move WNW in the next 24 hours, followed by a westward turn as the ridge recovers.
23W is picking up convections and will strengthen in warm seas before landfall. Land interaction will limit 23W's development until it exits the country and enters South China Sea.