BAVI is the 70th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is the name of a mountain chain in the country. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
BAVI will move west along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
巴威將沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/2.0/W0.5/24 HRS
BAVI has weakened slightly over the past 24 hours. In a region with low sea temperatures and weak upper-level divergence, BAVI will not be able to sustain itself. Dissipation is expected in the next 24 hours.
BAVI is the 70th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is the name of a mountain chain in the country. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
BAVI will move W to WNW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. Its track speed is expected to decrease gradually.
巴威將沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西或西北偏西移動，並逐漸減速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24 HRS
BAVI's convections are gradually thinning out, but the centre has become less exposed thanks to reduced shear. The storm has travelled further north with sea temperatures lingering around 25 degrees. This is insufficient to sustain tropical cyclone development, and BAVI will weaken gradually in the next 48 to 72 hours.
BAVI is the 70th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is the name of a mountain chain in the country. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
BAVI will move west steadily along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
巴威將沿副熱帶高壓脊南部穩定向西移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.5/W1.0/24 HRS
BAVI's low-level circulation centre is partially exposed. The storm is expected to weaken in cool seas, and should weaken into an area of low pressure before reaching the Philippines.
巴威的低層環流中心部分外露。在較冷海溫下，預料巴威將減弱，並於到達菲律賓前在海上減弱為一低壓區。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料巴威於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2015/03/17 (Tue 二), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
BAVI is the 70th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is the name of a mountain chain in the country. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
As BAVI reaches the southern edge of the subtropical ridge, it is expected to move W while keeping a rather high speed.
隨著巴威到達副熱帶高壓脊南沿，預料它將向偏西移動，並保持較高移速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
Affected by moderately strong easterly shear, BAVI's convections are displaced to its west. Sea temperatures remain marginal. BAVI is expected to maintain current intensity or strengthen slightly in the next 12 to 24 hours. Cooler seas and sustained strong shear will eventually cause the storm to weaken before it reaches the Philippines.
BAVI is the 70th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is the name of a mountain chain in the country. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
As BAVI reaches the southern edge of the subtropical ridge, it is expected to turn W soon while maintaining a high speed.
隨著巴威到達副熱帶高壓脊南沿，預料它將轉向偏西移動，並保持較高移速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
BAVI is experiencing fairly strong vertical wind shear. Sea temperatures are marginal, but should allow BAVI to maintain current intensity or strengthen slightly. Cooler seas and sustained strong shear will eventually cause the storm to weaken before it reaches the Philippines.
BAVI is the 70th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is the name of a mountain chain in the country. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
BAVI is currently accelerating WNW along the southern periphery of a broad subtropical ridge. Such motion is expected to continue through t+48, after which it should turn W in response to the shape of the ridge. Some models are even predicting a southward dip as the storm tracks beyond Guam.
BAVI is in rather warm seas but the vertical wind shear is quite strong. It is expected to intensify slowly in a marginal environment. As it reaches higher latitudes, sea temperatures will drop and the storm may start to weaken.
Tropical depression 03W was formed last night. It intensified into a tropical storm today and was named BAVI. At 2 pm, BAVI was centred about 1560 km (840 NM) E of Chuuk.
BAVI is the 70th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Vietnam, and is the name of a mountain chain in the country. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
BAVI is currently accelerating WNW along the southern periphery of a broad subtropical ridge. Such motion is expected to continue through t+72, after which it should turn W in response to the shape of the ridge.
BAVI is a broad system with convections spanning more than 10 degrees of longitude. Its core can be seen tightening over the past 12 hours, and the storm is expected to intensify gradually in warm seas. At higher latitudes sea temperatures are substantially cooler and this will be the main factor leading to its weakening.
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
