HAISHEN is the 72nd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by China, meaning the God of the Sea. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
海神為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 72 個名字，由中國提供。此名曾於 2002 及 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
In an environment with competing steering forces, HAISHEN is expected to move slowly in the next 24 hours.
受兩股反方向力場影響，預料海神會於未來 24 小時移動緩慢。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T1.5/2.0/W1.0/24 HRS
HAISHEN's convections are constantly sheared to the east. The storm will not be able to develop and is expected to dissipate by tomorrow.
海神的對流一直向東切離，風暴將無法發展，並於明天消散。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料海神於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。
Next Update
下次更新
This is the final bulletin on HAISHEN.
這是本站對海神的最後一次發佈。
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO within the next 3 days 未來三天香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
N/A 不適用
Past Bulletins (click on the bulletin no. for the contents) 過往報告
(請按發佈編號顯示內容)
HAISHEN is the 72nd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by China, meaning the God of the Sea. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
海神為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 72 個名字，由中國提供。此名曾於 2002 及 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
HAISHEN is drifting slowly due to the competing steering forces from the subtropical ridge to its northwest and the equatorial ridge to the southeast. As a trough weakens the subtropical ridge, HAISHEN may move NW or NNW in the next two days.
Shear has strengthened at HAISHEN's current position, and the low-level circulation centre has drifted away from its main convections. It is unlikely that HAISHEN will be able to strengthen; as it goes north it should gradually weaken and dissipate by t+72.
HAISHEN is the 72nd name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by China, meaning the God of the Sea. This name was used in 2002 and 2008.
海神為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 72 個名字，由中國提供。此名曾於 2002 及 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
As the equatorial ridge develops to the southeast of HAISHEN, the storm will decelerate and remain quasi-stationary in the next few days. A very slow northward motion is expected; thereafter numerical models show substantial disagreement on HAISHEN's track, the forecast of which is complicated by the uncertainties in the future strengths of the subtropical ridge and the equatorial ridge.
HAISHEN demonstrates symmetrical circulation, and is expected to intensify in a region with low vertical wind shear and increased outflow from the arriving trough. The trough will also bring along higher vertical wind shear at later taus, which accounts for the storm's latter weakening trend.
Tropical disturbance 99W over the NW Pacific has intensified into tropical depression 05W. At 2 pm, 05W was centred about 400 km (210 NM) ENE of Chuuk.
05W is currently moving west along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. An equatorial ridge is expected to develop to the southeast of 05W. The storm will then be situated between these two opposite steering forces, which will cause the storm to decelerate and stagnate before turning north as the equatorial ridge assumes influence.
05W is in a region with low shear and warm sea temperatures. It will take some time for the storm to consolidate, before showing signs of intensification as it benefits from increased outflow ahead of a passing trough. The trough will also bring along higher vertical wind shear, which accounts for the storm's latter weakening trend.
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
