MOLAVE has weakened slightly. At 8 am, MOLAVE was centred about 1240 km (670 NM) E of Tokyo.

莫拉菲稍為減弱。在上午 8 時，莫拉菲集結在東京以東約 1240 公里 (670 海里)。

MOLAVE is the 80th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the Philippines, and is a popular hard wood used in furniture. This name was used in 2009, necessitating the #9 Increasing Gale or Storm Signal in Hong Kong.

莫拉菲為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 80 個名字，由菲律賓提供，為當地一種常用於製造傢俬的硬木。此名曾於 2009 年使用，該風暴令天文台發出九號烈風或暴風增強信號。

MOLAVE is expected to move ENE along the northern periphery of the subtropical ridge.

莫拉菲將沿副熱帶高壓脊北部向東北偏東移動。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/3.0/W0.5/24 HRS

Affected by heightened vertical wind shear, MOLAVE's convections are displaced again. The storm will start extratropical transition soon and is expected to become fully extratropical between t+24 to t+36.

受較高垂直風切變影響，莫拉菲的對流再度被切離。預料風暴即將開始溫帶氣旋轉化，並於 24 至 36 小時內完成。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料莫拉菲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2015/08/14 (Fri 五), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

MOLAVE is moving ENE steadily. At 8 am, MOLAVE was centred about 700 km (380 NM) ESE of Tokyo.

莫拉菲正穩定向東北偏東移動。在上午 8 時，莫拉菲集結在東京東南偏東約 700 公里 (380 海里)。

MOLAVE is the 80th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the Philippines, and is a popular hard wood used in furniture. This name was used in 2009, necessitating the #9 Increasing Gale or Storm Signal in Hong Kong.

莫拉菲為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 80 個名字，由菲律賓提供，為當地一種常用於製造傢俬的硬木。此名曾於 2009 年使用，該風暴令天文台發出九號烈風或暴風增強信號。

MOLAVE is expected to accelerate ENE along the northwestern to northern periphery of the subtropical ridge.

莫拉菲將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北至北部向東北偏東加速移動。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS

Much of MOLAVE's convections are displaced to its southeastern side, but there has been little change to its intensity over the past 24 hours. As the storm enters the baroclinic zone, extratropical transition is expected to start between t+24 and t+36 and should be complete by t+48. MOLAVE should maintain intensity throughout the transition.

莫拉菲的對流大多偏離至其東南面，但風暴整體強度於過去 24 小時沒有大變化。隨著莫拉菲進入斜壓區域，預計它將於 24 至 36 小時後開始溫帶氣旋轉化，並於 48 小時內完成，期間強度維持。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料莫拉菲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2015/08/13 (Thu 四), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

MOLAVE has turned east. At 8 am, MOLAVE was centred about 550 km (300 NM) SSE of Tokyo.

莫拉菲開始向東移。在上午 8 時，莫拉菲集結在東京東南偏南約 550 公里 (300 海里)。

MOLAVE is the 80th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the Philippines, and is a popular hard wood used in furniture. This name was used in 2009, necessitating the #9 Increasing Gale or Storm Signal in Hong Kong.

莫拉菲為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 80 個名字，由菲律賓提供，為當地一種常用於製造傢俬的硬木。此名曾於 2009 年使用，該風暴令天文台發出九號烈風或暴風增強信號。

MOLAVE is expected to accelerate ENE along the northwestern to northern periphery of the subtropical ridge.

莫拉菲將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北至北部向東北偏東加速移動。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS

MOLAVE's convections are wrapping closer to its centre. The storm is expected to strengthen slightly and then maintain intensity during extratropical transition, which should be complete between t+48 and t+72.

莫拉菲的對流開始靠近中心轉動。預料風暴將稍為增強，並於溫帶氣旋轉化時維持強度。預測莫拉菲將於 48 至 72 小時後轉化為溫帶氣旋。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料莫拉菲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2015/08/12 (Wed 三), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

MOLAVE is moving north. At 8 am, MOLAVE was centred about 650 km (350 NM) S of Tokyo.

莫拉菲正向北移。在上午 8 時，莫拉菲集結在東京以南約 650 公里 (350 海里)。

MOLAVE is the 80th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the Philippines, and is a popular hard wood used in furniture. This name was used in 2009, necessitating the #9 Increasing Gale or Storm Signal in Hong Kong.

莫拉菲為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 80 個名字，由菲律賓提供，為當地一種常用於製造傢俬的硬木。此名曾於 2009 年使用，該風暴令天文台發出九號烈風或暴風增強信號。

MOLAVE will turn east soon as the subtropical ridge has extended westward below the storm's latitude. It will accelerate after recurving as it travels along the northern periphery of the ridge.

副熱帶高壓脊已於莫拉菲以南西伸，預料風暴即將轉向偏東，並沿副高北部加速移動。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS

MOLAVE's intensity did not change much over the past 24 hours. It is expected to strengthen slightly as it recurves and then maintain intensity during extratropical transition, which should be complete by t+72.

莫拉菲的強度於過去 24 小時沒甚變化。預料它將略為增強，並於溫帶氣旋轉化時維持強度。預測莫拉菲將於 72 小時後轉化為溫帶氣旋。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料莫拉菲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2015/08/11 (Tue 二), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

MOLAVE has been moving rather west over the past 24 hours. At 8 am, MOLAVE was centred about 280 km (150 NM) N of Iwo Jima.

莫拉菲於過去 24 小時之移向較為偏西。在上午 8 時，莫拉菲集結在硫磺島以北約 280 公里 (150 海里)。

MOLAVE is the 80th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the Philippines, and is a popular hard wood used in furniture. This name was used in 2009, necessitating the #9 Increasing Gale or Storm Signal in Hong Kong.

莫拉菲為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 80 個名字，由菲律賓提供，為當地一種常用於製造傢俬的硬木。此名曾於 2009 年使用，該風暴令天文台發出九號烈風或暴風增強信號。

A trough currently in northeastern China is propagating eastward and the ridging northwest of MOLAVE is expected to weaken. Meanwhile, the subtropical ridge to the east of MOLAVE is extending westward at below MOLAVE's latitude. The storm is thus expected to move north over the next 24 hours, and turn east sharply near t+36. As the storm enters the westerlies, its track speed will increase.

一道西風槽正處於中國東北部，並逐漸向東移動，預料將令莫拉菲西北面的脊場減弱。與此同時，莫拉菲以東的副熱帶高壓脊正於較低緯度西伸，預料風暴會於未來 24 小時北移，並於 36 小時後轉向偏東移動。隨著風暴其後進入西風帶，其移速將加快。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24 HRS

MOLAVE's circulation becomes more symmetric, although convections are still thin in its northern side. It is expected to strengthen as environmental conditions become better, and weaken beyond t+72 due to higher vertical wind shear. Extratropical transition should be complete by t+96.

莫拉菲的結構變得較為對稱，但北面對流仍然較薄。由於大氣環境有所改善，預料莫拉菲將逐漸增強，但會於 72 小時後因垂直風切變增強而減弱。預計莫拉菲將於約 96 小時後完成溫帶氣旋轉化。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料莫拉菲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2015/08/10 (Mon 一), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

15W has intensified into a tropical storm, and was named MOLAVE. At 8 am, MOLAVE was centred about 320 km (170 NM) ENE of Iwo Jima.

15W 已增強為熱帶風暴，被命名為莫拉菲。在上午 8 時，莫拉菲集結在硫磺島東北偏東約 320 公里 (170 海里)。

MOLAVE is the 80th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by the Philippines, and is a popular hard wood used in furniture. This name was used in 2009, necessitating the #9 Increasing Gale or Storm Signal in Hong Kong.

莫拉菲為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 80 個名字，由菲律賓提供，為當地一種常用於製造傢俬的硬木。此名曾於 2009 年使用，該風暴令天文台發出九號烈風或暴風增強信號。

Ridging to the north and east of MOLAVE is pushing the storm towards the NW. MOLAVE will continue to move NW over the next 12 to 24 hours, turning to N as the subtropical ridge to its north is eroded by a passing mid-latitude trough. A sharp recurvature is forecast as the eastern ridge then extends to the west south of MOLAVE.

莫拉菲北及東面皆有脊場，令風暴整體向西北移動。預料莫拉菲將於未來 12 至 24 小時繼續向西北移動，並隨北面副熱帶高壓脊被西風槽侵蝕而轉為北移。此後，其東面脊場將於莫拉菲以南西伸，令風暴明顯轉向。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24 HRS

Upper-level divergence is weak south of MOLAVE; together with moderate vertical wind shear, MOLAVE is still struggling to develop. As environmental conditions improve, MOLAVE is expected to intensify gradually in the next 48 hours. Extratropical transition will start by t+96.

莫拉菲以南的高空輻散較弱，加上垂直風切變不低，令風暴難以發展。隨著大氣環境改善，預料莫拉菲將於未來 48 小時逐漸增強。風暴將於約 96 小時後開始溫帶氣旋轉化。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料莫拉菲於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2015/08/09 (Sun 日), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)

Tropical disturbance 96W's low-level circulation centre has tightened over the past 12 hours and was upgraded into tropical depression 15W this morning. At 8 am, 15W was centred about 750 km (410 NM) ESE of Iwo Jima.

熱帶擾動 96W 的低層環流中心於過去 12 小時變得緊密，今早被升格為熱帶低氣壓 15W。在上午 8 時，15W 集結在硫磺島東南偏東約 750 公里 (410 海里)。

N/A 不適用

Influence of the subtropical ridge persists north and east of 15W. The combined effect is that 15W will move NNW in the next 24 hours, turning to NW as it reaches higher latitudes and gets closer to the base of the ridge to its north. A mid-latitude trough will propagate and erode the northern ridge near t+72, leading to a decrease in track speed and a poleward turn.

副熱帶高壓脊處於 15W 北方及東方，預料將令 15W 於未來 24 小時向西北偏北移動，隨後因 15W 到達較高緯度並靠近北方脊場的邊緣而向西北移動。一道西風槽會於約 72 小時後侵蝕北方脊場，令 15W 減速並轉向北移。

Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T2.0/2.0/INT OBS

15W's low-level circulation centre is exposed, with most convections sheared to its northeastern side. Affected by strong subsidence to its west and moderate to strong vertical wind shear, initial development will be very limited. However the environmental conditions are expected to improve and the storm will be able to intensify at a faster pace after t+24 or t+36.

15W 的低層環流中心外露，對流被切離至風暴東北面。風暴西面高空輻合較強，加上附近垂直風切變中等至偏高，預料 15W 初時難以有效發展。可是，隨著大氣環境改善，預料 15W 的增強速度將於 24 至 36 小時後加快。

No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.

預料 15W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。

2015/08/08 (Sat 六), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)