MUJIGAE has weakened into a tropical storm. At 8 am, MUJIGAE was centred about 45 km (25 NM) N of Nanning. The tropical cyclone warning signal was lifted at 5:20 am.
MUJIGAE is the 87th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning rainbow. This name was last used in 2009, necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
MUJIGAE intensified significantly in the past 12 hours, and has just made landfall near Zhanjiang. At 2 pm, MUJIGAE was centred about 400 km (220 NM) WSW of Hong Kong. The #3 Strong Wind Signal remains in force.
MUJIGAE is the 87th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning rainbow. This name was last used in 2009, necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
MUJIGAE is expected to move further inland, in the NW direction turning to NNW along the southwestern turning to western periphery of the subtropical ridge.
預測彩虹將沿副熱帶高壓脊西南轉西部向西北轉西北偏北移動，深入內陸。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/5.5/D1.0/12 HRS
MUJIGAE's eye turned clear moments before landfall, and is currently assessed at category 3. The storm will start to weaken rapidly as it moves across land, and should dissipate by t+36.
Strong east to southeasterly winds are still observed in the territory. Winds will remain strong for most of today, together with squally showers. As MUJIGAE weakens on land, local winds are expected to subside later tonight and tomorrow morning.
MUJIGAE has intensified into a typhoon and is approaching western Guangdong. At 2 am, MUJIGAE was centred about 350 km (190 NM) SW of Hong Kong. The #3 Strong Wind Signal remains in force.
MUJIGAE is the 87th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning rainbow. This name was last used in 2009, necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
MUJIGAE is expected to move WNW along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge towards Leizhou Peninsula, and turn poleward after landfall as it reaches the western end of the ridge.
預測彩虹將沿副熱帶高壓脊西南部向西北偏西移動，大致趨向雷州半島，登陸後因到達副高西沿而轉北。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/D1.0/24 HRS
MUJIGAE has developed a banding eye but it is unstable at the moment. The storm is expected to maintain intensity before landfall, after which weakening is expected as land interaction increases.
彩虹發展出雲捲風眼，但現時型態較不穩定。預料風暴將於登陸前維持強度，隨後因陸地影響增加而減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
Strong force easterly winds are currently observed in some parts of the territory. MUJIGAE has reached its closest point of approach to Hong Kong, and will recede gradually during the day. Strong winds and squally showers will continue to affect the territory today.
MUJIGAE has intensified into a severe tropical storm and was moving northwest in the past 6 hours. At 8 am, MUJIGAE was centred about 410 km (230 NM) SSE of Hong Kong. The Observatory issued the #1 Standby Signal last night at 8:40 pm. [Update: The #3 Strong Wind Signal was issued at 10:20 am today.]
MUJIGAE is the 87th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning rainbow. This name was last used in 2009, necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
MUJIGAE is expected to move WNW along the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge towards western Guangdong.
預測彩虹將沿副熱帶高壓脊西南部向西北偏西移動，大致趨向廣東西部。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
MUJIGAE has strengthened over the past 24 hours. It is expected to intensify further in warm seas with little vertical wind shear, reaching typhoon strength by the time of landfall.
MUJIGAE's northwesterly track over the past few hours has brought the storm closer to the territory. According to the current forecast, MUJIGAE will pass at around 300 km southwest of Hong Kong as a typhoon. Local winds will strengthen significantly today from the east and squally showers will become more frequent as MUJIGAE's rainbands come closer. Winds will turn southeast tomorrow. Depending on MUJIGAE's development today, gale force winds are a possibility early tomorrow.
MUJIGAE is the 87th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning rainbow. This name was last used in 2009, necessitating the #3 Strong Wind Signal in Hong Kong.
The Pacific subtropical ridge is strengthening. MUJIGAE is expected to move WNW along its southwestern periphery in the next 72 hours towards western Guangdong or Hainan Island.
MUJIGAE is now crossing Luzon and is about to enter South China Sea. Decent development is expected as it is currently very warm in northern South China Sea and vertical wind shear is minimal. Intensification will continue until landfall, after which MUJIGAE will weaken rapidly.
As MUJIGAE moves across northern South China Sea, easterly winds in Hong Kong will strengthen later tomorrow and on Sunday. There will also be squally showers.
隨著彩虹橫過南海北部，本港東風將於明天較後時間及周日增強，並伴隨狂風驟雨。
Next Update
下次更新
2015/10/03 (Sat 六), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO within the next 3 days 未來三天香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Signal 信號
t+12
t+24
t+36
t+48
t+60
t+72
Standby 戒備 #1
Low 低
High 高
Very High 極高
Very High 極高
Medium 中等
Low 低
Strong Wind 強風 #3
Low 低
High 高
High 高
Low 低
Low 低
Gale/Storm 烈或暴風 #8
Low 低
Low 低
G/S Incr. 烈或暴風增強 #9
Hurricane 颶風 #10
Notes 註:
1) For issuance, "Signal" column represents having issued that signal or above. 有關發出機率，首欄指已發出該信號或更高信號。
2) "Low" = Probability from 5 to 20 per cent; "Medium" = 20 to 50%; "High" = 50 to 80%; "V High" = 80% or above.
"低" = 5% - 20% 的機率; "中等" = 20 - 50%; "高" = 50 - 80%; "極高" = 80% 或以上。
Tropical disturbance 90W east of the Philippines has intensified into tropical depression 22W. At 8 am, 22W was centred about 500 km (270 NM) E of Manila.
22W is currently situated in the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge, and is moving northwest quickly. A trough is present in eastern China, but it is expected to weaken soon and this will allow the subtropical ridge to strengthen. 22W is then forecast to move WNW in northern South China Sea.
22W is showing decent banding features, but it will need some time to consolidate and this is unlikely in the near future due to its imminent landfall in Luzon. More development is expected as the storm crosses the warm South China Sea with little vertical wind shear.
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
