MINDULLE is the 101st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning dandelion. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.
MINDULLE has made landfall near Tokyo with estimated typhoon intensity, and is now tracking across eastern Honshu. At 2 pm, MINDULLE was centred about 30 km (15 NM) NE of Tokyo.
MINDULLE is the 101st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning dandelion. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.
MINDULLE has crossed the subtropical ridge axis and is expected to accelerate towards the NNE in the next 24 hours along the northwestern periphery of the ridge, crossing Hokkaido tomorrow.
MINDULLE was developing a banding eye just before landfall, but its structure has deteriorated as it moved across eastern Japan. The storm is expected to weaken on land; it should start extratropical transition before reaching Hokkaido, and is likely fully extratropical before t+24.
MINDULLE is the 101st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning dandelion. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.
MINDULLE is expected to move N in the next 12 to 24 hours due to the combined influence of the subtropical ridge and LIONROCK, making landfall in southern Japan and crossing the Kanto region tomorrow. It should then recurve to the NNE along the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge, and reach Hokkaido on Tuesday.
MINDULLE has intensified slightly over the past 24 hours. The storm is expected to intensify slightly before landfall in a generally decent environment, and may reach typhoon strength at that time. Thereafter, the storm will weaken on land and extratropical transition is expected near t+48.
MINDULLE is the 101st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning dandelion. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.
MINDULLE is accelerating to the north along the western periphery of the subtropical ridge. The storm will continue to travel north in the next 24 hours, and then turn NNW due to the shape of the ridge and LIONROCK's presence. It is expected to make landfall at southeastern Japan on Monday, before recurving to the NNE.
MINDULLE has intensified in the past 24 hours. The storm is expected to intensify slightly in a generally decent environment until t+36, and should weaken later as it travels on land and later cooler seas. Extratropical transition is expected by t+72.
MINDULLE is the 101st name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by North Korea, meaning dandelion. This name was used in 2004 and 2010.
MINDULLE has been moving northwest over the past 12 hours, apparently due to the extension of the subtropical ridge to its east. The storm is expected to track north along the western periphery of the ridge, and may move NNW later on due to the combined influence of the ridge and 12W. The subtropical ridge is now expected to be the major steering mechanism, and this will see MINDULLE avoid being absorbed into the circulation of 12W. MINDULLE may make landfall at Japan in the extended forecast period and recurve to the NNE.
MINDULLE's cloud bands are developing and the wind field analysis this morning depicts a well-defined low-level circulation centre. The storm is expected to intensify in warm seas, reaching a peak strength of around 55 knots by t+48. There is high uncertainty to the intensity forecast due to the other tropical systems present in the region.
The low pressure area 99W within a large monsoon gyre in the Pacific has transformed into tropical storm 10W. At 2 pm, 10W was centred about 320 km (170 NM) NW of Guam.
The subtropical ridge is situated to the east of 10W. 10W should move NE in the short run along the NE-SW oriented ridge at lower latitudes, and turn north as it reaches higher latitudes where the ridge turns to NW-SE oriented. 10W is expected to be close to 12W at later taus and direct cyclone interaction is possible, causing 10W to be drawn into the circulation of 12W. There is however huge uncertainty on this part of the forecast, where numerical model solutions diverge considerably, and it is possible that 98W currently northeast of 10W will develop into a tropical cyclone.
With numerous vortices in the proximity of 10W competing for development, the storm is not expected to intensify quickly. Some intensification is possible in the earlier period when seas are relatively warm; its development at later taus depends on whether it can escape 12W's circulation and whether 98W develops.
Active Tropical Cyclone(s) 正活躍之熱帶氣旋
