DAMREY is the first name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Cambodia, meaning elephant. This name was used in 2000 and 2005, with the latter occurrence necessitating the Strong Wind Signal No. 3 in Hong Kong.
DAMREY is about to make landfall at eastern China. At 20 HKT, DAMREY was centred about 380 km (200 NM) NNW of Shanghai.
達維即將登陸中國東部。在下午 8 時,達維集結在上海西北偏北約 380 公里 (200 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
DAMREY is the first name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Cambodia, meaning elephant. This name was used in 2000 and 2005, with the latter occurrence necessitating the Strong Wind Signal No. 3 in Hong Kong.
DAMREY is situated at the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge and is expected to move NW after landfall.
達維正處於副熱帶高壓脊西南部,預料將於登陸後向西北移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/D0.5/30 HRS
An eye was clearly visible earlier today. DAMREY is expected to make landfall as a typhoon, and weaken rapidly afterwards.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/D0.5/30 HRS
今天較早時達維的風眼清晰可見。預料達維將以颱風強度登陸,隨後快速減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
達維於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/08/03 (Fri 五), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
DAMREY is the first name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Cambodia, meaning elephant. This name was used in 2000 and 2005, with the latter occurrence necessitating the Strong Wind Signal No. 3 in Hong Kong.
DAMREY is moving W to WNW rapidly along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. This is expected to continue until landfall at eastern China, after which the storm should decelerate inland.
達維正沿副熱帶高壓脊南部向西至西北偏西高速移動。預料此路徑將持續直至達維登陸,隨後將於內陸減速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/S0.0/18 HRS
DAMREY is expected to maintain current intensity or intensify slightly before landfall, and rapid weakening will then follow. SAOLA is not expected to interact greatly with DAMREY.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/S0.0/18 HRS
預料達維將於登陸前維持強度或稍為增強,其後快速減弱。目前預計達維將不會與蘇拉發生明顯相互影響。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
達維於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/08/02 (Thu 四), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
DAMREY has started to pick up speed. At 20 HKT, DAMREY was centred about 690 km (370 NM) ESE of Kagoshima.
達維移速開始加快。在下午 8 時,達維集結在鹿兒島東南偏東約 690 公里 (370 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
DAMREY is the first name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Cambodia, meaning elephant. This name was used in 2000 and 2005, with the latter occurrence necessitating the Strong Wind Signal No. 3 in Hong Kong.
Under the influence of the subtropcal ridge to its north, DAMREY is now moving WNW steadily. This should continue until t+36 when DAMREY reaches the southwestern periphery of the ridge, where it is expected to recurve.
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/D1.0/24 HRS
DAMREY's convective banding has improved significantly in the past 24 hours. The storm will continue to intensify in the next 12 to 24 hours, but the intensity afterwards depends on how great the influence from SAOLA is.
DAMREY is the first name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Cambodia, meaning elephant. This name was used in 2000 and 2005, with the latter occurrence necessitating the Strong Wind Signal No. 3 in Hong Kong.
Due to the combined effect of the subtropical ridge to its north and the extension of the ridge to its south, DAMREY is moving slowly at the moment. The northern subtropical ridge will become the dominant steering force and will drive the storm WNW towards the East China Sea. In the current forecast, DAMREY is expected to reach the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge by t+72, after which the storm will move in an increasingly poleward direction.
Current T-number: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/30 HRS
DAMREY is expected to intensify slightly in the next 36 to 48 hours under generally favourable environment, but intensification beyond that will likely be inhibited by the developing SAOLA that brings high shear and disrupts DAMREY's outflow channels. Weakening will continue as DAMREY moves into cooler seas and/or makes landfall.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/D0.5/30 HRS
在大致良好環境下,預料達維於未來 36 至 48 小時可稍為增強,但隨後蘇拉北移將抑制達維的幅散,且為該區帶來較高風切,達維的發展將受限制。預測後段達維進入較冷海域甚或登陸,這些因素皆會令系統減弱。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
達維於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/07/31 (Tue 二), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
DAMREY is the first name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Cambodia, meaning elephant. This name was used in 2000 and 2005, with the latter occurrence necessitating the Strong Wind Signal No. 3 in Hong Kong.
Due to the combined effect of the subtropical ridge to its north and the extension of the ridge to its south, DAMREY is moving slowly at the moment. The northern subtropical ridge will become the dominant steering force and will drive the storm WNW towards the East China Sea. It is possible that interactions between SAOLA and DAMREY may affect the latter's track after t+96 when the two move closer to each other.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/S0.0/18 HRS
DAMREY's structure improved slightly over the past 12 hours. The storm is expected to intensify slowly in the next 72 hours in areas with acceptable sea temperatures and moderate shear, but intensification will likely be inhibited by the developing SAOLA that brings high shear and disrupts DAMREY's outflow channels.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/S0.0/18 HRS
達維的結構於過去 12 小時稍為改善。預料在可接受海溫和中等垂直風切變的環境下,達維將於未來 72 小時以較慢速度增強。隨後蘇拉移近將抑制達維的幅散,且為該區帶來較高風切,達維的發展將會受阻。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
達維於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/07/30 (Mon 一), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
Another tropical disturbance 95W in the northwestern Pacific has also intensified into a tropical storm and was named DAMREY. At 20 HKT, DAMREY was centred about 450 km (250 NM) ENE of Iwo Jima.
DAMREY is the first name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Cambodia, meaning elephant. This name was used in 2000 and 2005, with the latter occurrence necessitating the Strong Wind Signal No. 3 in Hong Kong.
DAMREY is currently steered by the subtropical ridge to its north, and the storm is expected to move WNW at a gradually increasing speed. There is a chance of interactions between DAMREY and SAOLA later when the two move closer to each other, adding uncertainty to the track forecast.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
DAMREY's convections are concentrated at its eastern semicircle. Sea temperatures are marginal but will improve as DAMREY moves west; meanwhile divergence has yet to improve especially to the west of the storm. Slight intensification is expected at the early taus, but as SAOLA develops it will inhibit DAMREY's intensification if the two are close enough.
現時的 T 號碼: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
達維的對流集中在其東半圓。該區水溫尚可,但西面則較高。輻散則有待改善,尤其是達維以西區域。預料達維將於早段稍為增強,但隨著蘇拉發展且二旋距離漸近,達維的增強將受限制。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
達維於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2012/07/29 (Sun 日), night 晚間 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台 (已) 發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率