PABUK is transforming into an extratropical cyclone. At 2 am, PABUK was centred about 920 km (500 NM) ENE of Tokyo.
帕布正轉化為溫帶氣旋。在上午 2 時,帕布集結在東京東北偏東約 920 公里 (500 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
PABUK is the 34th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Laos, and is a big fresh water fish. This name was used in 2001 and 2007, with the latter occurrence necessitating the #8 Gale or Storm Signal.
PABUK is the 34th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Laos, and is a big fresh water fish. This name was used in 2001 and 2007, with the latter occurrence necessitating the #8 Gale or Storm Signal.
PABUK is expected to accelerate NE along the NW periphery of the subtropical ridge.
帕布將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北加速移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/S0.0/24 HRS
Sea temperatures have dropped to below 26 degrees along PABUK's path. The storm is expected to weaken and transform into an extratropical cyclone by t+36.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/4.5/S0.0/24 HRS
帕布路徑一帶海溫已跌穿 26 度,預料風暴將逐漸減弱,並於 36 小時內轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料帕布於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/09/27 (Fri 五), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
PABUK is now recurving. At 8 am, PABUK was centred about 810 km (440 NM) S of Tokyo.
帕布現正轉向。在上午 8 時,帕布集結在東京以南約 810 公里 (440 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
PABUK is the 34th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Laos, and is a big fresh water fish. This name was used in 2001 and 2007, with the latter occurrence necessitating the #8 Gale or Storm Signal.
PABUK is expected to accelerate NE along the NW periphery of the subtropical ridge.
帕布將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部向東北加速移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.5/4.5/D0.5/24 HRS
PABUK continued to intensify over the past 24 hours. Slight intensification is possible until t+12, but lower sea temperatures will soon set in and cause the system to weaken. Extratropical transition is expected at around t+48.
PABUK is the 34th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Laos, and is a big fresh water fish. This name was used in 2001 and 2007, with the latter occurrence necessitating the #8 Gale or Storm Signal.
The subtropical ridge north of PABUK has weakened, revealing a weakness through which PABUK is expected to recurve.
帕布以北的副熱帶高壓脊被西風槽侵蝕並出現弱點,預料帕布將沿該弱點轉向。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
PABUK's eye has consolidated in the past 24 hours. Slight intensification is possible as outflow improves, but lower sea temperatures will soon set in and cause the system to weaken. Extratropical transition is expected at around t+72.
現時的 T 號碼: T4.0/4.0/D0.5/24 HRS
帕布的風眼於過去 24 小時整固。隨著輻散改善,帕布或可稍為增強,但較低海溫將令系統減弱。預料帕布會於 72 小時後轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料帕布於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/09/25 (Wed 三), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
PABUK is the 34th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Laos, and is a big fresh water fish. This name was used in 2001 and 2007, with the latter occurrence necessitating the #8 Gale or Storm Signal.
The subtropical ridge N of PABUK and the high pressure cell E of the storm will act together and cause PABUK to move NW. The subtropical ridge will be weakened by a passing trough, allowing PABUK to recurve along the weakness.
帕布以北的副熱帶高壓脊及東面的高壓將令風暴向西北移動。預料副高將被西風槽侵蝕,帕布將沿弱點轉向。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/S0.0/24 HRS
PABUK is forming a ragged eye. The storm is expected to intensify in warm seas with decent divergence in the next 48 hours, and weaken later as sea temperature drops. Extratropical transition is expected by t+120.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/S0.0/24 HRS
帕布正形成一不規則風眼。預料風暴將於溫暖海域及良好輻散的環境下在未來 48 小時增強,隨後因海溫下降而減弱,最後於 120 小時後轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料帕布於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/09/24 (Tue 二), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
PABUK is the 34th name in the tropical cyclone name list. It was contributed by Laos, and is a big fresh water fish. This name was used in 2001 and 2007, with the latter occurrence necessitating the #8 Gale or Storm Signal.
The subtropical ridge N of PABUK and the high pressure cell E of the storm will act together and cause PABUK to move NW. As the subtropical ridge weakens, PABUK is expected to recurve along the weakness created.
帕布以北的副熱帶高壓脊及東面的高壓將令風暴向西北移動。隨著副高減弱,預料帕布將沿弱點轉向。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
PABUK's circulation has expanded and become more organized over the past 24 hours. The storm is expected to intensify in warm seas with decent divergence in the next 72 hours.
現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24 HRS
帕布的環流於過去 24 小時擴展並變得更有組織,預料風暴將於溫暖海域及良好輻散的環境下在未來 72 小時增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料帕布於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成任何影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2013/09/23 (Mon 一), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO 香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
The subtropical ridge N of 19W and the high pressure cell E of the storm will act together and cause 19W to move NW. As the subtropical ridge weakens, 19W is expected to recurve along the weakness created.
Current T-number: T2.5/2.5/INT OBS
19W's low-level circulation centre has improved significantly in the past 24 hours. The storm is expected to intensify in warm seas with decent divergence in the next 72 hours.